Author Topic: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts  (Read 120715 times)

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

dougie

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2053
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #15 on: May 19, 2025, 11:04:09 PM »
Grandstand Handicapper.....I agree with you. I do think that both of them will be running in the Belmont Stakes. If they do, it will be great for racing.

Grandstand Handicapper

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2545
  • Which wolf wins? The one you feed.
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #16 on: May 19, 2025, 11:26:08 PM »
I am not a t-bred guy. But I hear all day long about "key" races, horses, whatever. IDK if that holds true or not. But I can see it.

Too bad the race isn't at Belmont and at a mile and a half.

gh2009

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1606
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #17 on: May 20, 2025, 05:51:42 AM »
I always feel when a horse is making a wide move like Journalism was in the Derby, the horse following him actually has the better trip because he's kind of drafting off the other horse. Would have been interesting to see what would have happened had the trips been reversed.

Grandstand Handicapper

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2545
  • Which wolf wins? The one you feed.
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #18 on: May 20, 2025, 10:41:30 AM »
While it makes sense, I always found it ironic that generically speaking, between harness and t-breds, "first over" vs. "stalking" is kind of like "worst and "ideal" so to speak. 

Grandstand Handicapper

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2545
  • Which wolf wins? The one you feed.
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #19 on: May 20, 2025, 10:43:31 AM »
Do the t-breds really "draft" or get cover so to speak? Totally different racing obviously. I always heard that with the t-breds, generally, the jockey and most often the horse don't want to be directly behind the horse in front of them, and would rather be just outside them in the clear so to speak.

gh2009

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1606
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #20 on: May 20, 2025, 11:10:52 AM »
I always felt the horse following the one making the 3 wide move first is at an advantage because he's being carried into the race by the other horse who has probably used up more energy making that move, so the one following is the fresher horse. Is it drafting, not really, but I'd rather be the one following than making the move first. This also applies to harness racing.

gh2009

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1606
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #21 on: May 20, 2025, 11:13:49 AM »
While it makes sense, I always found it ironic that generically speaking, between harness and t-breds, "first over" vs. "stalking" is kind of like "worst and "ideal" so to speak.

What I hate in T-Breds is when the horse I cold punched for 2nd is pressing the pace of the odds-on favorite instead of sitting 2nd and waiting for the stretch to move. Most times it winds up costing them second. Except for the top jockeys my opinion of most jockeys is they're not too bright. Why get in a speed duel with a longshot and burn your horse up yet it happens all the time.
« Last Edit: May 20, 2025, 11:15:53 AM by Scooteroo »

Grandstand Handicapper

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2545
  • Which wolf wins? The one you feed.
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #22 on: May 20, 2025, 11:18:18 AM »
Speed duel, yes, obviously. I was speaking to a normal pace. I get it though. Like I said, totally different racing, and horses.

gh2009

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1606
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #23 on: May 20, 2025, 11:23:14 AM »
Speed duel, yes, obviously. I was speaking to a normal pace. I get it though. Like I said, totally different racing, and horses.
 

Another thing that stupid jockeys do particularly in a sprint. If their horse breaks poorly they rush up to press the pace in the fastest quarter of the race using up all their energy before fading. They would be alot smarter to be patient and try to close in the final 1/4 mile, which is the slowest quarter of the race in sprints.

Pacer 2

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2260
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #24 on: May 20, 2025, 12:42:02 PM »
Sovereignty deserves to be a big favorite....

Pacer 2

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2260
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #25 on: May 20, 2025, 12:43:10 PM »
 

Another thing that stupid jockeys do particularly in a sprint. If their horse breaks poorly they rush up to press the pace in the fastest quarter of the race using up all their energy before fading. They would be alot smarter to be patient and try to close in the final 1/4 mile, which is the slowest quarter of the race in sprints.
   
Maybe you should ride?    ngc3 ngc3 ngc3

kantseeback

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 4447
  • TDS HAS INFESTED THIS PLACE LIKE A ROACH NEST
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #26 on: May 20, 2025, 12:55:01 PM »
Do the t-breds really "draft" or get cover so to speak? Totally different racing obviously. I always heard that with the t-breds, generally, the jockey and most often the horse don't want to be directly behind the horse in front of them, and would rather be just outside them in the clear so to speak.

I have heard jockeys comment that tbreds don't like kickback in their face, so the jockeys try to avoid being directly behind another horse.

Papillon

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2609
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #27 on: May 20, 2025, 01:01:20 PM »
Sovereignty deserves to be a big favorite....

he wont even be the favorite-let alone a big one

Bitter Truth

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2199
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #28 on: May 20, 2025, 01:11:25 PM »
He will be when Journalism sits out.

Pacer 2

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2260
Re: Early Belmont Stakes thoughts
« Reply #29 on: May 20, 2025, 01:17:03 PM »
he wont even be the favorite-let alone a big one
 

     Disagree

 

shout out

Refresh History
  • Sound off !
  • Sweet: Calhounitic, your bride Kirby's Ace wants a divorce, kids are off limits, you violated Mike's family.  KA  tmbz1
    June 16, 2026, 08:27:21 PM
  • Ignorance Is Bliss: Calhoun begets ZERO horses..
    June 16, 2026, 08:15:34 PM
  • Sweet: It's Calhoun's no show 2 mo anniversary Mike  tmbz1
    June 16, 2026, 08:06:11 PM
  • Sweet: You'd get more respect in this forum if you changed your screename to "Diarrhea"  ngc3 Go get therapy you @sshole, coward and lying prick!  ;D
    June 16, 2026, 08:04:46 PM
  • Ignorance Is Bliss: Still waiting for you to log into the Livestream.  ngc3
    June 16, 2026, 08:03:54 PM
  • Calhoun: I sent the Petrelli kid the matching dust pan that syncs with her wedding gift broom. Trash begets trash.
    June 16, 2026, 07:57:28 PM
  • Calhoun: White Trash Potatoe with his one note song. Busted out, eh? What did you send the PEtrelli girl?
    June 16, 2026, 07:56:17 PM
  • Sweet: i often find myself jealous of a No Show Lying PUSSY  ngc3
    June 16, 2026, 07:51:08 PM
SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2026, SimplePortal