Early Belmont Stakes thoughts

[Pacer 2]

     Jealous much?   

[Ignorance Is Bliss]

[dougie]

I'm still leaning toward Baeza but it will be 'odds driven" to get a big bet outta me. LOL!

[Pacer 2]

   Im certain you dont have the money or the brains to win like I do.   

[Ignorance Is Bliss]

[Papillon]

I had Sovereignty in The Derby. I see no reason why he shouldn't win this race. He has the
freshness advantage on Journalism. If it were a larger field, I would worry about the post.
I think he'll outbreak the one and from there, sit behind the speed and wait for Journalism
to move. From there, it's on. Saratoga is where favorites go to die however.

the saying goes ...."Saratoga is the graveyard of champions"



Upset beat Man O' War
Onion beat Secretariat
Keen Ice beat American Pharaoh

over the years, folks have twisted the words around somehow involving the favorite.... every time a favorite loses there, it gets repeated......-its hilarious

[Bitter Truth]

Thanks for clearing that up. I was in the ballpark. Glad I could provide a chuckle for you.

[Papillon]

Thanks for clearing that up. I was in the ballpark. Glad I could provide a chuckle for you.

good luck in the race saturday

I will go with an exacta box....Baeza/Journalism--no strong opinion

[dougie]

My wager will be a exacta 6/127
My tri will be 6/127/1237
Mu super will be 6/127/1237/all

[Bllack Bridle]

Sovereignty

[dougie]

At Saratoga today and the folks I chat with, most think Sovereignty with the 5 week break will win. Journalism and Baeza have their fans. But the majority like the Derby Winner. It's pretty surprising that very few people even mention the rest of the field. LOL!

[gh2009]

If Journalism happens to run poorly he can use the excuse of 3 races in 5 weeks, Soveignty and Baeza can't.

[dougie]

Scooteroo.....I agree with you.

[Grandstand Handicapper]

All things being equal, 3 races in 5 weeks has to have an impact on those two horses. If it doesn't, and Sovereignty is 100%, then those two are much, much better than Sovereignty. LOL. I don't see that. But then again, that's why they run the races.

[dougie]

Grandstand Handicapper.....m ost of the folks think Crudo and Rodriguez will be on the engine early wih Hill Road laying third. I think the 3 favorites can't be to far back if the fractions are soft early. This is a very interesting race.