26' Kentucky Derby - Recap

[Sweet]

19 horses before Great White reared up and fell over and Jock Alex Achard making a great move to not get squashed...
At 40 seconds...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L0cRYKUwL8Y

That was sad for the big guy, just a beautiful big grey horse and jock where this derby was his first!

18 horses 

Jose Ortiz / Golden Tempo gave one of the greatest rides ever - just as he's about to get squashed at the start he squeezes out of it, pulls back to last and sits 18th to the 3/4 pole and navigates an amazing victory.  Not flawless as he slams his bro and Renegade in the stretch.

No (public) inquiry (and no objections) in the race, lol could of been dozens.  In the stretch alone lmao. 

Renegade is durable, hands down the best horse, and best horse who didn't win for the amount of punishment and body brutality he took from start to finish, hit so hard at the beginning of the race with the momentum of not one but a half dozen horses of impact.  Heart of a beast!

Ocelli is a non winner of 7 races, still a maiden with earnings now of $609,800 

Incredibolt is a real deal, pummeled in the stretch (and pin-balled twice at the start) and still gliding rapidly faster than anyone once untangled.

Danon Bourbon, tough, took early punishment and still floated to the lead, lost by 0.55 seconds, wilted to 5th.

Awful ride on Pavlovian by Edwin Maldonado, clean break and rated horse to go 6-7 wide around first turn instead of jetting.  Speed on tap to pull this stunt, I think the last time the horse and jockey will be paired.  Finished dead last, final time 210.55! 

Now with the head on replay...Commandm ent and Emerging Market, have no excuses.  So Happy caused pin-balling and suffered.  Further Ado got squashed, beginning and stretch, real bad.  Sorry to see JV even have to use the whip. 

No one hit the high 5, $1,177,720 wagered $848,360 carryover.

Future pool exactas paid between $165.86 - 1,571.74, win from $4.58 - $74.90.

Total WPS Pool: $114,208,047


19
Golden Tempo
$48.24
$19.14
$11.90
 
1
Renegade
$7.14
$5.46
 
22
Ocelli
$36.34

$2.00 Exacta
19-1
$278.86
29,976,612

$0.50 Trifecta
19-1-22
$5,625.39
34,087,943

$1.00 Superfecta
19-1-22-12
$94,489.95
16,183,741

 
I'll never forgive myself for jumping off GT to DB  jk 

JT, has great instincts (that I usually follow  ), said before the start, box the top 5 jocks, 30 bux took down a $5k+ tri.

T O Elvis goes in every virtual stable, 108 E speed figure.  Was a big star on the card!

Congratulations to all the winning Plop cappers! 

Until Saturday, May 1, 2027....be well, and let's do this again! 

[Dingus]

Is jimmy Devaux, the Saratoga driver, the trainer’s brother, uncle?

[talkstohisself]

Trigger  recap perfect!    here is my two cents   Emerging markets got the cleanest trip was empty late I am sure  I  stopped him Th Ortiz bros can work the double team better than the  Dudley boys(WWE)

[Sweet]

Is jimmy Devaux, the Saratoga driver, the trainer’s brother, uncle?

Brother.

Trigger  recap perfect!    here is my two cents   Emerging markets got the cleanest trip was empty late I am sure  I  stopped him Th Ortiz bros can work the double team better than the  Dudley boys(WWE)

Jinxing believer  stop lol!

For a fast track, the time wasn't mind blowing.  Something to remember, a win is a win.  I'd love to see the vet report on all the horses, I hope not but it wouldn't surprise me if they were bruised up - it was brutal!

[JT]

Pretty much spot on assessment. Incredibolt was the longshot I used on my tickets. He was coming in the stretch and got wiped out, probably not a winner, but would have gotten a piece. I faded the Florida Derby runners, which was mostly the right decision. Chief Wallabe looked the best of them. He was stuck behind a wall of horses at the top of the stretch, finally got through and then got smashed into and still rallied for 4th. I watched Emerging Market when the race was live..because I had him and Renegade boxed. Perfect stalking trip, a path opened for him in the stretch and he didn't have the juice. Renegade ran a huge race. It played out how I thought with him, going to the back and coming from the clouds. I think the colder weather contributed to the slower time. Last thought..very doubtful for a Triple Crown winner this year. In the Preakness you can't come from that far back and win. Golden tempo wasn't even on the screen at the 4f point lol
 

[Dingus]

Pretty much spot on assessment. Incredibolt was the longshot I used on my tickets. He was coming in the stretch and got wiped out, probably not a winner, but would have gotten a piece. I faded the Florida Derby runners, which was mostly the right decision. Chief Wallabe looked the best of them. He was stuck behind a wall of horses at the top of the stretch, finally got through and then got smashed into and still rallied for 4th. I watched Emerging Market when the race was live..because I had him and Renegade boxed. Perfect stalking trip, a path opened for him in the stretch and he didn't have the juice. Renegade ran a huge race. It played out how I thought with him, going to the back and coming from the clouds. I think the colder weather contributed to the slower time. Last thought..very doubtful for a Triple Crown winner this year. In the Preakness you can't come from that far back and win. Golden tempo wasn't even on the screen at the 4f point lol

I wouldn’t be surprised if the winner of the Pat Day Stakes, Crude Velocity, goes in the Preakness.  1:33:87 for 1 turn mile vs 2:02:27 for the 2 turn 1 1/4 mile.  That’s 28:4 seconds difference.

[dougie]

Great recap! A fun day yesterday!

[JT]

I wouldn’t be surprised if the winner of the Pat Day Stakes, Crude Velocity, goes in the Preakness.  1:33:87 for 1 turn mile vs 2:02:27 for the 2 turn 1 1/4 mile.  That’s 28:4 seconds difference.

I am pretty sure Trigger mentioned in the shout out section yesterday that maybe he should have been in the Derby.Totally agree with ya Dingus.  When I watched his 2nd race at Santa Anita won in 114 at 6.5f without being asked, I was sold on him. He's got wicked speed. Could he last at Pimlico with the extra distance is the question?

[bello]

I saved my bet for Renegade. Just win. Dougie, I wish I bet place like you yesterday but I dont think I ever made a place bet.

How a horse can get slammed loke him and still race his heart out is amazing.

IMO he is by far the best 3 yr old racing and I look forward to his next race and I will be pounding him. Had to leave the the thread yesterday. hope you boys did ok.

Regarding the Deveaux family, really glad for Cherie. She is a genuine horse lover.

What is amazing is she comes from a family with Kenny, the biggest whipper abuser I ever saw. Horses he drove would come back to the paddock at Monti with bloody whip slashes and welts. Not sure where he is these days.

Jimmy was only a bit better. But he seems to have stopped the slashing for the last few years.

[dougie]

I saved my bet for Renegade. Just win. Dougie, I wish I bet place like you yesterday but I dont think I ever made a place bet.

How a horse can get slammed loke him and still race his heart out is amazing.

IMO he is by far the best 3 yr old racing and I look forward to his next race and I will be pounding him. Had to leave the the thread yesterday. hope you boys did ok.

Regarding the Deveaux family, really glad for Cherie. She is a genuine horse lover.

What is amazing is she comes from a family with Kenny, the biggest whipper abuser I ever saw. Horses he drove would come back to the paddock at Monti with bloody whip slashes and welts. Not sure where he is these days.

Jimmy was only a bit better. But he seems to have stopped the slashing for the last few years.

Over the years, i've made some big hits on my place bets. I was amazed he paid $7.14 to Place. A lot of crazy money pouring through those pools yesterday. I met a guy yesterday who bet $500 to place on #16 Pavlovian looking to cash a big ticket. 

[talkstohisself]

did anyone notice the last flash drop on the Japan horse Elvis ho i think that's the name 12-1 t0 5 that's a lot of Yen!

[darnoldrocks]

Exciting race :

From last to first by the winner Golden Tempo.

From mugged at the start to second for Renegade.

From AE to third for Ocelli.

Three amazing performances. 

[The Answer]

Excellent review by Trigger.

It ended up being a closers race. If bumping didn’t happen to Renegade and was closer might have hurt his chances. The best closer won the race.

[Sweet]

Thanks fellas, I'm sure there is plenty to add to the race recap 

[helpplease]

did anyone notice the last flash drop on the Japan horse Elvis ho i think that's the name 12-1 t0 5 that's a lot of Yen!

It was mentioned on the NBC telecast. With such a huge handle it is incredible to think of the amount that must have been bet for the odds to move that drastically.