Author Topic: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*  (Read 110341 times)

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Trigger

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*SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« on: August 16, 2025, 02:07:49 AM »
Very nice racing weather forecasted for the SPA, a bit overcast, mediocre humidity, low to mid 80's temperature, FAST & FIRM surfaces expected. 

A couple of big stakes at the SPA - the Skidmore and Alabama (GI).

At Woodbine, a big stakes day, the EP Taylor (GI), Kings Plate.

At Monmouth the Iselin stakes (GIII), Del Mar Oaks (GI).

That's the t-bred story  ngc3 Now the harness story.

A major Poconos Downs day starting at 230pm with 14 stakes ---Kawartha Downs has stakes --- Sciota  - Mohawk Sucker Track two opens, Brue's running there --- Red Shores, ATLANTIC LOTTERY GOLD CUP & SAUCER Final - may the best garbage pail win in PEI.

I'm looking at 22 races, budget is a G.  Good Luck!   ;D

POCO (251pm) 2-
MONMOUTH (251pm) 5-
WOODBINE (414pm)
WOODBINE (449pm) 8-
SPA (511pm) 9-
WOODBINE (534pm) 9-
POCO (539pm) 10-
SPA (544pm) 10-
POCO (600pm) 11-
WOODBINE (611pm) 10-
POCO (621pm) 12-
KAWARTHA (623pm) 2-
POCO (642pm) 13-
POCO (703pm) 14-
MOHAWK (708pm) 2-
KAWARTHA (709pm) 4-
MOHAWK (754pm) 4-
DEL MAR (833pm) 8-
KAWARTHA (841pm) 8-
KAWARTHA (927pm) 10-
SCIOTO (932pm) 11-
RED SHORES (1015pm)15-

Calhoun

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2025, 08:47:22 AM »
I'll put this here.

I'm not there today (wish I was) but Deauville has a good card today.

I'm betting the 5th race .. 9:50am.

#2 Caulificar .. short price but looks solid.

Calhoun

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2025, 10:20:40 AM »
I'll put this here.

I'm not there today (wish I was) but Deauville has a good card today.

I'm betting the 5th race .. 9:50am.

#2 Caulificar .. short price but looks solid.
very bad 3rd at odds on.  angbk angbk

Papillon

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2025, 10:29:57 AM »
if I am not mistaken......did n't Andre Fabre train Arazi and Arcangue?
« Last Edit: August 16, 2025, 10:31:39 AM by Papillon »

Papillon

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2025, 10:41:01 AM »
my picks at Saratoga have been terrible...but here is a try with my goose shit....

race 10-Alabama Stakes--obvious exacta box Nitrogen/La Cara 4/6

Good Cheer is a solid bet against--typical early season 3yo filly who was far ahead of her opponents earlier in her career-and to me they have caught up and surpassed her..

good luck to everyone today tmbz1

JT

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2025, 10:58:58 AM »
my picks at Saratoga have been terrible...but here is a try with my goose shit....

race 10-Alabama Stakes--obvious exacta box Nitrogen/La Cara 4/6

Good Cheer is a solid bet against--typical early season 3yo filly who was far ahead of her opponents earlier in her career-and to me they have caught up and surpassed her..

good luck to everyone today tmbz1
Good luck to you as well Pap.  tmbz1

Papillon

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2025, 11:16:33 AM »
Good luck to you as well Pap.  tmbz1

thanks JT tmbz1

you have hit a few pick 5s--hope you hit a big one with that effective ALL button

Calhoun

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2025, 11:33:03 AM »
if I am not mistaken......did n't Andre Fabre train Arazi and Arcangue?
Arcaugnes yes. Then Mandella after the BC. Arazi was Francis Boutin. I remember Arazi's BC Juvenile very well. He passed 12 horses in about 20 seconds. Biggest move I ever saw.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwlNybRNnOk

JT

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2025, 11:35:17 AM »
thanks JT tmbz1

you have hit a few pick 5s--hope you hit a big one with that effective ALL button
A little icy the last couple days, but today is a new day. The wife and I are going to Scioto tonight., so I'll have one eye on the end of Pocono's card and one eye on Scioto. I won't be posting much tonight.. gotta save my phone battery for betting ;D Im going to play a few before leaving for Scioto. Im excited, only been there once this year.

JT

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2025, 11:36:29 AM »
thanks JT tmbz1

you have hit a few pick 5s--hope you hit a big one with that effective ALL button
You will love my SPA early Pick 5 then tmbz1

Papillon

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2025, 11:44:10 AM »
Arcaugnes yes. Then Mandella after the BC. Arazi was Francis Boutin. I remember Arazi's BC Juvenile very well. He passed 12 horses in about 20 seconds. Biggest move I ever saw.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwlNybRNnOk

i recall the Arazi move-.

https://youtu.be/mYIQttbYOOs?si=LuDoNr8HfltMDL1r--the race starts around the 3:38 mark

it was the 2yo Breeders Cup Juvenile at Churchill

that move sucked me in to betting him in the Kentucky Derby--he was horrible
« Last Edit: August 16, 2025, 11:51:27 AM by Papillon »

dougie

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2025, 11:46:58 AM »
With my starting bankroll of $5000 for this summer now down to $4789, my bankroll will be $500 today.

I am focusing on a few races today. My big bet will be in the Alabama on #1 Margie's Intention. I expect Irad at a price and will be betting $50Win and $150Place in this small field.

Taking a shot with Horacio De Paz's Palace Boss (#1) in the 8th at that Spa, I'm not a big fan of jockey Luis R. Rivera, Jr. who I consider light years behind the top 20 at the Spa. But I think the inside post will be a big help, and the horse might get a nice trip at a price. Betting $20Win $40Place here.

One of the trainers i've actually made money with is Antonio Sano. I hit a big number early in this meet with a bomb trained by this sharp guy. Today he's got II Sciiliano with Lius Saez up in the 5th at the Spa. I expect Saez will get this horse close and make the one run in the lane. If he makes the lead early and gets soft fractions, he'll be tough.
$20Win $20Place on #5 in the 5th at the Spa.

That's $300 of my stake already "sent in". I'll fool around with the other $200 as we go.

Good luck to all you "plungers" today!!!!! Let's get 'em!!!!!

bello

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #12 on: August 16, 2025, 11:52:06 AM »
A little icy the last couple days, but today is a new day. The wife and I are going to Scioto tonight., so I'll have one eye on the end of Pocono's card and one eye on Scioto. I won't be posting much tonight.. gotta save my phone battery for betting ;D Im going to play a few before leaving for Scioto. Im excited, only been there once this year.

I handicapped Scioto today. A rarity for me. Many of the races look mismatched, another word for easy. Enjoy your night.

JT

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #13 on: August 16, 2025, 11:57:37 AM »
With my starting bankroll of $5000 for this summer now down to $4789, my bankroll will be $500 today.

I am focusing on a few races today. My big bet will be in the Alabama on #1 Margie's Intention. I expect Irad at a price and will be betting $50Win and $150Place in this small field.

Taking a shot with Horacio De Paz's Palace Boss (#1) in the 8th at that Spa, I'm not a big fan of jockey Luis R. Rivera, Jr. who I consider light years behind the top 20 at the Spa. But I think the inside post will be a big help, and the horse might get a nice trip at a price. Betting $20Win $40Place here.

One of the trainers i've actually made money with is Antonio Sano. I hit a big number early in this meet with a bomb trained by this sharp guy. Today he's got II Sciiliano with Lius Saez up in the 5th at the Spa. I expect Saez will get this horse close and make the one run in the lane. If he makes the lead early and gets soft fractions, he'll be tough.
$20Win $20Place on #5 in the 5th at the Spa.

That's $300 of my stake already "sent in". I'll fool around with the other $200 as we go.

Good luck to all you "plungers" today!!!!! Let's get 'em!!!!!
Good luck Dougie! and hit em hard as my Grandpa used to say. I love the 5 in race 5 at the Spa.

JT

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Re: *SPA XXVIII, Saturday, 8/16/25 - Major US, CAN Stakes*
« Reply #14 on: August 16, 2025, 12:01:29 PM »
I handicapped Scioto today. A rarity for me. Many of the races look mismatched, another word for easy. Enjoy your night.
Thanks bello. Good to know that you handicapped Scioto. I will have to check in from time to time to see your picks. Good Luck today  tmbz1

 

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