Author Topic: Question for owners  (Read 4082 times)

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Winners Win

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Question for owners
« on: March 01, 2025, 11:05:57 PM »
Are you happy sucking a long for 3rds if its profitable or would you rather have your horse put in a spot to win if he is good enough?   


I would rather have him in play rather than racing for third.  If best he can get is third, I need to upgrade my horse or move him to a softer spot.

Grandstand Handicapper

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2025, 01:23:46 AM »
It takes four third place checks to almost equal one win----and that's four more races; four more races out of the horse, and more maintenance, overhead, expenses, whatever you want to call it. While it's purely hypothetical, in overnight races, if you are in the right race, then you should be favorite (second choice, maybe third choice). Thus, you should be looking to win.

Brown jug

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2025, 07:49:24 AM »
agreed
the only way to make money is with wins
the thirds fourths help out but only when being added to the wins

MCR

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #3 on: March 02, 2025, 08:02:20 AM »
If mine aren't first or second you're not making money. Drop them down or move them along

Stan durbread

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #4 on: March 02, 2025, 09:51:00 AM »
Most owners are in the game for the wins. I know a lot of fools on here think owning horses is an investment. It is not it is a hobby no different than owning a boat or a golf course membership. Being heavily involved in the sport for the last 40 years I can assure you the owners that getting to make money very rarely last for more than 5 years

Kirbys Ace

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #5 on: March 02, 2025, 02:11:36 PM »
If I had a nw1 or nw2 and he was competitive he's never winning until I have no choice. They go for good money and race almost every week!
Back by popular demand!

firhill

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #6 on: March 02, 2025, 02:38:59 PM »
The $8k claiming non-winners of a ham sandwich class at Western Fair is the worst of the worst horses in Ontario.
Purse is $5200 Condition was for nw $2500l5
Race secretary now allows nw 2races in 2024/25 in.

If I enter under the new condition, I'm finishing 2nd every week for the remainder of the year.

$1300/week for five weeks is $6500
A win every five weeks is $2600


ferdinand the bull

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #7 on: March 02, 2025, 03:07:18 PM »
The $8k claiming non-winners of a ham sandwich class at Western Fair is the worst of the worst horses in Ontario.
Purse is $5200 Condition was for nw $2500l5
Race secretary now allows nw 2races in 2024/25 in.

If I enter under the new condition, I'm finishing 2nd every week for the remainder of the year.

$1300/week for five weeks is $6500
A win every five weeks is $2600
That's good management as is having a well educated nw1 or nw2 before they have to graduate
Few of today's drivers can skillfully do so without being very obvious

Sunmoon 1219

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #8 on: March 02, 2025, 09:13:35 PM »
Out here you have to be 1 or 2nd consistently to make money . 3rds do not break you even . Your losing money big time 4th - whatever

GETSOME

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #9 on: March 02, 2025, 09:21:31 PM »
If I had a nw1 or nw2 and he was competitive he's never winning until I have no choice. They go for good money and race almost every week!
Hopefully none of the "plop" gamblers read this one!

Open bridle

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #10 on: March 02, 2025, 10:04:51 PM »
Too many variables that can play out against your horse every week to be a consistent money making winner. From bad draws to bad drives to health problems. You better have very deep pockets to stay in this game very long.

Meadow Ford

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #11 on: March 02, 2025, 10:33:06 PM »
If I had a nw1 or nw2 and he was competitive he's never winning until I have no choice. They go for good money and race almost every week!
Here is an example of the problems with that plan.
A few years ago I raced two three year olds at several mid-west fairs. Each winning about half their starts.
First start a Maywood NW/PM I raced them both very conservative.
Same night two divisions.
One finished 2nd other one 3rd.
I went home thinking"Dam this will be a fun winter".
Next morning one had a bowed tenton the other a broken knee.
One never raced again.
The other not till the next year.
IMHO
Most times it is best to get all you can all the time!
I am just an old horse trainer still going around in circles. Sometimes Fast. Sometimes Half-Fast.

rainman2

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #12 on: March 02, 2025, 10:44:38 PM »
Here is an example of the problems with that plan.
A few years ago I raced two three year olds at several mid-west fairs. Each winning about half their starts.
First start a Maywood NW/PM I raced them both very conservative.
Same night two divisions.
One finished 2nd other one 3rd.
I went home thinking"Dam this will be a fun winter".
Next morning one had a bowed tenton the other a broken knee.
One never raced again.
The other not till the next year.
IMHO
Most times it is best to get all you can all the time!

Did the fair tracks you raced on have surfaces like Buffalo Raceway or were the surfaces as good at let's say Vernon Downs (supposedly the best surface) or a better pari-mutuel track?

Dingus

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #13 on: March 02, 2025, 10:55:54 PM »
The other problem with 3rds and 4ths is your earnings last 4 starts don’t change much after each start.  At least when you win, that large amount of $ drops off and allows you to drop down to a class you can win in.

SeattleSlew

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Re: Question for owners
« Reply #14 on: March 03, 2025, 01:47:33 AM »
Example:

Buy nice 5 yo trotter for $50,000 and race him at YR (assuming he has shown comfort on a 1/2 mile track).  Just let the horse perform as he has better and lesser form periods, but races over a range of NW7500 through NW20000.  Assuming he is just "average" for that grouping and races 32 times and gets 4 wins, 4 seconds, 4 thirds etc....4 last.  The "average" purse in that range where he is highly competitive is $17,000 over the season and thus he puts $68,000 on his card for the year.  That, less driver, trainer, groom tips is a shade under $60,000 net.  Assuming, again, he is "average horse", the bills for training, vet, shoe etc. are around $4,000/month (or $48,000 in a year.)  Since you are racing at YR and he/she is older horse, no stakes fees, no major shipping fees (if in one of the stables that is still based there).  That gives you a return of $12,000 on your $50,000 investment and he is one year older. 

Again, I am speaking "averages" and clearly many at YR do better (concentrated in 5 or 6 barns).  However, unless you get "lucky" with a very young horse, "step up" an older horse or crash the windows this would be "hobby" money for most if you have 8 or 10 horses like this.
« Last Edit: March 03, 2025, 01:52:33 AM by SeattleSlew »

 

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