Author Topic: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?  (Read 11519 times)

0 Members and 8 Guests are viewing this topic.

Papillon

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1856
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #30 on: July 16, 2025, 09:09:46 PM »
There has to be a reason they won't let Ahle grab him, maybe choking or breathing. If you noticed his last 1/4s are getting slower. But Either way he's way better than these.

why would you want Ahle "grabbing him"?--curious as to why you think that is a good idea

he is not runaway speed--just about 20 lengths better than the MDSS horses right now

just because he opens up double digit leads doesn't necessarily suggest he is "out of control" or "unrate-able"

Harness racer

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 3849
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #31 on: July 16, 2025, 09:34:37 PM »
Definitely isn’t a runaway.  My concern would be his last quarter being so slow if he ever faces real, stakes level competition.

Papillon

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1856
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #32 on: July 16, 2025, 09:38:59 PM »
Definitely isn’t a runaway.  My concern would be his last quarter being so slow if he ever faces real, stakes level competition.

it is difficult to judge a horse by his last quarter. when you are 3-4 seconds faster than the competiton..but many obsess over it

Ahle hasn't asked him for any speed all year so its hard to tell how much is in the tank

when you are up 10-20 lengths obviously there is no need to push him-so I don't understand what his final quarter has to do with anything

Harness racer

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 3849
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #33 on: July 16, 2025, 09:45:02 PM »
Agree to a certain extent.  Just not a fan of having a horse get used to lazy last quarters.  But agree no need to push him for no reason.

Sovereigntyplop

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1160
  • My parents didn't beat me enough :)
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #34 on: July 16, 2025, 10:06:02 PM »
Super Chapter ran 2/5 off the Hambo stakes record, 3/5's and he'd beat it.  Bad post and Monserrate good post, well it's a race then.


"Be kind to animals and care for them." - Roy Rogers

(I lost a prop bet to Papi 7/26, I have to be Sovereigntyplop until 6pm 8/2 :) ) - Trigger

Papillon

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1856
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #35 on: July 16, 2025, 10:26:10 PM »
Super Chapter ran 2/5 off the Hambo stakes record, 3/5's and he'd beat it.  Bad post and Monserrate good post, well it's a race then.

unless Super Chapter gets beat in his Hambo elim-he wont draw a bad post-and he will probably be 1/5 in his elim since they "seed" the horses in the elims

most likely Maryland will be seeded in the other elim and it wont be a coincidence

Sovereigntyplop

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1160
  • My parents didn't beat me enough :)
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #36 on: July 16, 2025, 10:43:35 PM »
unless Super Chapter gets beat in his Hambo elim-he wont draw a bad post-and he will probably be 1/5 in his elim since they "seed" the horses in the elims

most likely Maryland will be seeded in the other elim and it wont be a coincidence

Maryland has been pushed to the brink in her last two races, should be interesting if she either busts out of it or is a bust out.

She can't beat horses that can't seemingly beat Super Chapter. 

Let's call the last 2 races vigorous exercise.

It's still early.   tmbz1
"Be kind to animals and care for them." - Roy Rogers

(I lost a prop bet to Papi 7/26, I have to be Sovereigntyplop until 6pm 8/2 :) ) - Trigger

All trot

  • NW-1
  • *
  • Posts: 24
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #37 on: July 17, 2025, 12:12:55 AM »
Strong winds tonight, horse is extremely handy

Kirbys Ace

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2765
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #38 on: July 17, 2025, 10:37:01 AM »
why would you want Ahle "grabbing him"?--curious as to why you think that is a good idea

he is not runaway speed--just about 20 lengths better than the MDSS horses right now

just because he opens up double digit leads doesn't necessarily suggest he is "out of control" or "unrate-able"

His last quarters are starting to show you why it's a bad idea and how much is in the "tank". Maybe ok against this bunch but what about when he meets real horses that can keep up with him. After he figures out, he's only got one way to race he will most likely sore up and start to regress. No competition will bore him, and he'll start to wait on them. Like I said there's a reason they are racing him this way and was wondering why? Thats all. I wish them the best with him!

But what do I know. Only been in the business since 1967 as Groom, Owner, Trainer Driver and Judge.

I'll listen to you professional trainers post your opinions just like I posted mine.



 tmbz1
SCM getting ready for the big race!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ruQryPkB5w0

SCM Harness Racing new Pope!
https://www.youtube.com/live/n1mA_lT3WMI

Papillon

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1856
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #39 on: July 17, 2025, 10:52:01 AM »
His last quarters are starting to show you why it's a bad idea and how much is in the "tank". Maybe ok against this bunch but what about when he meets real horses that can keep up with him. After he figures out, he's only got one way to race he will most likely sore up and start to regress. No competition will bore him, and he'll start to wait on them. Like I said there's a reason they are racing him this way and was wondering why? Thats all. I wish them the best with him!

But what do I know. Only been in the business since 1967 as Groom, Owner, Trainer Driver and Judge.

I'll listen to you professional trainers post your opinions just like I posted mine.



 tmbz1

when a trotter has a 15-20 length lead and the driver is sitting motionless and never asking for any speed--why would anyone stare at the final quarter and obsess over it? To me, the final quarter in these situations is completely meaningless and has NO indication about "how much is left in the tank"

we can have a difference of opinion--thats perfectly fine and why horse racing is great

we can disagree--no?
« Last Edit: July 17, 2025, 10:55:45 AM by Papillon »

makesbreaks

  • 4 claimer
  • **
  • Posts: 57
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #40 on: July 17, 2025, 12:52:06 PM »
His starts at chester tell you all you need to know. Not a runaway. Sat in a hole perfectly, moved first over, and passed good horses. Including daiquiri hanover (breeders crown elim winner who recently sold for 90 something thousand). Why are they rolling him at ocean? I dont know but I also dont think he is a runaway who can only beat slow rats.

Papillon

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1856
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #41 on: July 17, 2025, 01:53:18 PM »
His starts at chester tell you all you need to know. Not a runaway. Sat in a hole perfectly, moved first over, and passed good horses. Including daiquiri hanover (breeders crown elim winner who recently sold for 90 something thousand). Why are they rolling him at ocean? I dont know but I also dont think he is a runaway who can only beat slow rats.

for easy MDSS money

last nights purse was $95k and later in the fall there will be another final for about the same purse where he will be 1/9 again

Hans would have to supplement to face the top 3yos

bello

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 3181
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #42 on: July 17, 2025, 02:01:29 PM »
I didnt watch the replay but did Ahle take him wide entering the far turn?  There may have been geese or birds on the track?  Or I may be totally imagining it as I was 1/2 asleep.

Papillon

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1856
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #43 on: July 17, 2025, 02:03:54 PM »
I didnt watch the replay but did Ahle take him wide entering the far turn?  There may have been geese or birds on the track?  Or I may be totally imagining it as I was 1/2 asleep.

it appears to me Ahle is intentionally playing the turns safely and going wide on all four of them

he raced him similarly last week

All trot

  • NW-1
  • *
  • Posts: 24
Re: Is there a better half mile 3 year old trotter in the USA?
« Reply #44 on: July 17, 2025, 04:41:14 PM »
Why would he take the turns tightly? Think we all know tight turns are  hard on a horse.
Have you seen the drivers at ocean downs?? Play it safe and stay clear!

 

shout out

Refresh History
  • Sound off !
  • dougie: Nice wins Sovereigntyplop!
    July 30, 2025, 11:18:48 PM
  • Sovereigntyplop: A great night for Horseplop's Superstars LUCPARK & Polish Jola and their Baby's Victories - Congratulations on your WINS!!!   86z.st
    July 30, 2025, 11:08:39 PM
  • Unclejerry: Scioto 7 Race #7 USD 1 Trifecta (2, 3 / 2, 3 / 1, 4, 5, 9)
    July 30, 2025, 08:25:47 PM
  • Unclejerry: R5 Scioto Trifecta (1, 2, 4, 5 / 1, 2, 4, 5 / 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 8)
    July 30, 2025, 07:34:57 PM
  • Unclejerry: Confirmation #: 6266213   Ticket time: 2025/07/30 06:59:52 PM Trifecta   2025/07/30   Scioto Downs (Harness) Race #4 USD 1.5 Trifecta (2, 4, 6 / 2, 4, 6 / 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 10) Bet detail Risk   Return   Net Ticket total 36.00   0.00   0.00
    July 30, 2025, 07:01:30 PM
  • Sovereigntyplop: JMac at RED Mile 7/30 has 3 horses in the races - 666  68xv.2
    July 29, 2025, 11:28:18 PM
  • Sovereigntyplop: Patrick Hudon just won the 8th at Mohawk with a 19-1.  He celebrated like it was 1999!  Good for him!   ;D
    July 29, 2025, 09:43:05 PM
  • rainman2: KSB—a legend in his own mind!!!
    July 29, 2025, 05:46:47 PM
SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2025, SimplePortal