The first race looks like a cold 2-3 to me. The 12.5K horses aren't in good form, and I could see only the 2 and 3 going to the top.
$20 Exacta 2-3 (hope for $8)
The 2nd race has a classy horse in the 7 who isn't on top of the game right now, I think it could be a beatable favorite (if even the favorite at post time)
$10 D-D 2 with 4/6 for $20
$40 in plays
