Author Topic: I like betting Hawthorne  (Read 6644 times)

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goblue

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I like betting Hawthorne
« on: August 04, 2018, 11:35:36 PM »
I'm probably going to get a lot of shit for saying this but.....

I actually enjoy betting Hawthorne.  Mostly because it's the worst track in America to bet favorites.  More horses between 6-1 and 16-1 come in at Hawthorne than any other track in the country.  If you like betting the longshots (WPS especially.... exotics are total randomness), there is definitely money to be made...

I know it's a very unpopular opinion, but it's my unpopular opinion  ngc3 ngc3

Icyunvme

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2018, 02:03:52 AM »
42% favorites this weekend won

Smalltimer7932

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #2 on: August 05, 2018, 12:17:36 PM »
But some of those who won we're 1-5 or 1-9odds so say 3races a night were favorite s in the pools everything paid well pic 4s@5s all weekend if you were forunate to cash some paydays people say it's crap but I'd try there as apposed to tracks that 8favorites out of 10races win perfect example Northfield park 14races a night most times and almost all fav or second choice wins unless there's carryovers you can get well paid ...........,exept unless playing $20tickets hit it hard for which I don't have bankroll for that you can make money

Smalltimer7932

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2018, 12:20:49 PM »
Your 42percent was 6horses of less than 1-2odds so changes the game at most 28to 30 percent topps

Rabbi Of Racing

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #4 on: August 05, 2018, 03:01:32 PM »
excellent product!

Fatboy

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #5 on: August 05, 2018, 03:35:22 PM »

Icyunvme

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #6 on: August 05, 2018, 06:35:49 PM »
Simple math....19 races....8 winning favorites....42% period

Smalltimer7932

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #7 on: August 05, 2018, 08:16:36 PM »
But look at the payoffs ......people bet morning line favor they lost resulting in good payoffs ones that were not picked as morning line favorite won referiing to morning line odds  As result horse morningline 10-1 wins but bet8/5 wins alot of people are led to favorites those whobet against win a collect good moneyon pic4sand 5 and pic 3 even though horse paid $5.80

Fatboy

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #8 on: August 05, 2018, 08:19:12 PM »
But look at the payoffs ......people bet morning line favor they lost resulting in good payoffs ones that were not picked as morning line favorite won referiing to morning line odds  As result horse morningline 10-1 wins but bet8/5 wins alot of people are led to favorites those whobet against win a collect good moneyon pic4sand 5 and pic 3 even though horse paid $5.80

WHAT IS % OF WINNING FAVORITES FOR THE MEET?

Smalltimer7932

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #9 on: August 05, 2018, 08:21:23 PM »
Simple math i dont care what he pays as long as you can make money with very little invested because thats the problem in Chicago now cant bet like before. Have to play lite to cash in sometimes even you cash you dont make much

Smalltimer7932

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #10 on: August 05, 2018, 08:22:46 PM »
I dont really care about that as long as i beat morning line favorite

viking55

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #11 on: August 05, 2018, 09:02:41 PM »
I guess you like root canals too.  ngc3 ngc3 ngc3

Powerful Patricks Ghost

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #12 on: August 05, 2018, 10:47:46 PM »
excellent product!

For a morgue, maybe  ngc3

Powerful Patricks Ghost

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #13 on: August 05, 2018, 10:48:05 PM »
Drivers so dumb here they can't line up in order on the gate.

arniesarmy

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Re: I like betting Hawthorne
« Reply #14 on: August 05, 2018, 11:40:03 PM »
Fucked up. The twinspires feed delays every 10 seconds and they've had scratches just before their delayed post times the last three races total shitshow.

 

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