Early Belmont Stakes thoughts

[Liberty Bell]

Journalism and Baeza are co-favorites at 2-1. I think Baeza will go up a little and Journalism stay about the same.

[Bitter Truth]

He thought about it for two weeks.

[Papillon]

He thought about it for two weeks.

the guy is an idiot

on any topic

[Bitter Truth]

Agreed. I called for his dismissal earlier on the Allard thread and had several supporters.

[Hambletonian46]

if you look at the WPS pools, Baeza has significantly more money than the others in the place and show pools. The win pool is something different altogether. Wouldn't be surprised if it was a few very large win only bets on Journalism.

The exacta pool indicates that Journalism would  be 8-5 or 9-5, with the others 2-1. I am guessing that is where they will all end up.

[Jctoronto]

At least he didnt drug his A.E. Triple Crown horse Rich Strike...we think...maybe.

https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/284952/reed-suspended-15-days-fined-for-gabapentin-positive

[Liberty Bell]

It's still very early but as of 7:00 AM today, Journalism is currently 1-1, Baeza, 7-2, and Sovereignty, 9-2. Currently the Win pool is 1.4 million, estimated final Win pool, 20 million.. Definitely looks like it's going to be a sloppy track.

[Dingus]

1st 3 races today all won by closers.  Track sloppy for now.

[Bllack Bridle]

Rodriguez is a speed horse … Baeza is a closer …

My pick is Sovereignty 

The race is wide open …

[Bitter Truth]

I said they'd be nearly co-faves and that Sovereignty would sit just off the speed
 and wait for Journalism, and Sovereignty would win again.

[Pacer 2]

YES   I told you guys Sovereignty 3 times!   He should've been favored!   ANOTHER BIG SCORE FOR ME!   

[Grandstand Handicapper]

Interesting article.....

https://www.thoroughbreddailynews.com/seven-takeaways-from-belmont-stakes-saturday-at-the-spa/

Also of note, from the DRF:

"As Aron Wellman, whose Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners is part owner of Journalism, pointed out, it’s not that Journalism has had three races in five weeks, it’s that he’s had five races in 14 weeks, when you throw in victories in the San Felipe on March 1 and Santa Anita Derby on April 5.

“I think we saw two amazing horses and both trainers delivered,” Wellman said. “For Michael [McCarthy] to have Journalism fire time and again - not just three races in five weeks, but five races in 14 weeks, travel, four different racetracks - Michael did his job and had this horse prepared to fire and he did.

“Bill Mott,” Wellman continued, “he had that horse ready to the second for the Derby and the Belmont.”