I don't think ml is solid at big m. Doesn't matter to me - I just use it as a potential job indicator of where public $ might go. I actually like when ml guy has a horse 5-2 favorite that should be 5 or 6 to 1.
I like to play horizontals and think many bettors are unwilling to not use ml favorite in horizontals. As a bettor, I'd just as soon toss and take my chances with who I think is best. In my opinion, a bad ml adds some dead money to pool. Guy at woodbine is better than browser but not perfect. In 4th race trot tomorrow for example has the 9 ml favorite and not on either of my p5 or p4 plays. Henry jumped off 9 to drive horse to immediate inside. I think auciellos two horses on inside will compete for favoritism at post time.
Saw - I don't think theirs any redboarding going on here. Just people's opinion. The race I mentioned above at Mohawk turned out just as I predicted. The ml favorite ended up going off at 10-1. There were five horses more favored than the 9. The two auciellos horses were indeed the favorite and second choice.
Fact - this was a bad ml. And the guy at woodbine is way better than browser. If a slightly above average handicapper like me can see in advance how the odds are going to pan out then the guy paid to do it should do a better job.
I forgive the guy at Mohawk since as you say this is a tough gig and he's pretty close usually. But browser I don't. He sets a bad morning line.
