Author Topic: Is this the most wide open Hambo/Hambo Oaks in history  (Read 1248 times)

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Laag

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Is this the most wide open Hambo/Hambo Oaks in history
« on: July 30, 2023, 09:03:37 AM »
Some of the talked about faves either got hurt or failed to fire in the elims. Bambino was really good last night but its not as if he is unbeatable. Oh Well does not seem to want to win in the lane. Point of Perfect is a young upstart but will not get that trip again. Post draw looms large for both races.  Is Bond even bettable after last nights performance. Walner Payton was impressive and will be the fave but again isnt beatable in a race where upsets are common

Bernie Madoff

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Re: Is this the most wide open Hambo/Hambo Oaks in history
« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2023, 10:13:01 AM »
Some of the talked about faves either got hurt or failed to fire in the elims. Bambino was really good last night but its not as if he is unbeatable. Oh Well does not seem to want to win in the lane. Point of Perfect is a young upstart but will not get that trip again. Post draw looms large for both races.  Is Bond even bettable after last nights performance. Walner Payton was impressive and will be the fave but again isnt beatable in a race where upsets are common



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  • Papillon: I don't think they are playing every combo, but they are betting more $ in the carryover races
    Today at 03:25:17 PM
  • Trigger: Flawed, if there is a carryover not every combo is being played.  You can't make money having playing AAAAAA if there 200 winners.  If CAW is winning everything why play, they're surviving off a low % of rebate against win/loss and work with gigantic volume.
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  • Papillon: o agree with MTP1972-much more CAW action in the carryovers-not sure how much more than standard-the carryover is a mirage
    Today at 03:12:37 PM
  • MTP1972: I have a different take on carryovers. If you're betting a track who has a good handle like Mohawk the Early Pick 5 pool is around $100,000, maybe $50,000 for the Pick 4 pool. When there's a carryover the CAW's bet thousands into the pool and have every combination covered multiple times. In a smaller pool there's a better chance for a big score because less of their money is in there, same for the Pick 6 in California.
    Today at 02:57:34 PM
  • Trigger: Thanks Calhoun, GL to you too, big scores ahead!  Check out Mohawk last Sat early p5, $67891.89 .20 payout w/ 3 horses < 3-1 odds, the other 2 races, nw1 and claimers, wow, the perfect storm.
    Today at 02:47:14 PM
  • Calhoun: Yeah, moron is way too lazy.
    Today at 02:34:32 PM
  • Calhoun: Trigger, $25k/$500per week. Sounds great. IMO, you have 2 best options. 1) 100% of play on certain CarryOvers.  Pick-5 Carryovers are best. Pro is Near EV or +EV. Con is it's a ton of work in 1 day at worst or 3/4 days at best. But $500 gets you a lot of coverage. ..2) Focus 100% on one track, WITHOUT a lot of ship Ins. Woodbine, Remington, SoCal and Texas fit. WDB and Rem closed/closing. Whichever you choose, you need to know every single horse. You MUST have access to workout videos. You need to learn trainers. Good Luck
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  • Trigger: I guess I took offense that he called me a moron twice in the post while being factual wrong about the subject.  I'd prefer he call me an asshole!  ;D
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