SARATOGO OPENING DAY

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PIGLAND

Living Legend
Posts: 165118

SARATOGO OPENING DAY

« on: February 16, 2020, 09:36:39 AM »

LOOKS EASY

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EPM

Elite
Posts: 5537

Re: SARATOGO OPENING DAY

« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2020, 09:59:45 AM »

571 race 2..

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Sound off !
Trigger: We better focus like Calhoun said on doing the homework, as of now we couldn't pick a show winner in a 4 horse race. Then we'll take down a score.
Today at 03:28:12 PM
Papillon: I don't think they are playing every combo, but they are betting more $ in the carryover races
Today at 03:25:17 PM
Trigger: Flawed, if there is a carryover not every combo is being played. You can't make money having playing AAAAAA if there 200 winners. If CAW is winning everything why play, they're surviving off a low % of rebate against win/loss and work with gigantic volume.
Today at 03:23:38 PM
Papillon: o agree with MTP1972-much more CAW action in the carryovers-not sure how much more than standard-the carryover is a mirage
Today at 03:12:37 PM
MTP1972: I have a different take on carryovers. If you're betting a track who has a good handle like Mohawk the Early Pick 5 pool is around $100,000, maybe $50,000 for the Pick 4 pool. When there's a carryover the CAW's bet thousands into the pool and have every combination covered multiple times. In a smaller pool there's a better chance for a big score because less of their money is in there, same for the Pick 6 in California.
Today at 02:57:34 PM
Trigger: Thanks Calhoun, GL to you too, big scores ahead! Check out Mohawk last Sat early p5, $67891.89 .20 payout w/ 3 horses < 3-1 odds, the other 2 races, nw1 and claimers, wow, the perfect storm.
Today at 02:47:14 PM
Calhoun: Yeah, moron is way too lazy.
Today at 02:34:32 PM
Calhoun: Trigger, $25k/$500per week. Sounds great. IMO, you have 2 best options. 1) 100% of play on certain CarryOvers. Pick-5 Carryovers are best. Pro is Near EV or +EV. Con is it's a ton of work in 1 day at worst or 3/4 days at best. But $500 gets you a lot of coverage. ..2) Focus 100% on one track, WITHOUT a lot of ship Ins. Woodbine, Remington, SoCal and Texas fit. WDB and Rem closed/closing. Whichever you choose, you need to know every single horse. You MUST have access to workout videos. You need to learn trainers. Good Luck
Today at 02:32:39 PM