SPA Friday, Day XII, 7/25/25

[Trigger]

I'm on a mini streak, but it's absolute torture that in the 3 for 3 I've won over the last 2 days I have not capitalized nearly as good as I should of.  Shame on me!

The forecast is nice weather at the SPA, however the forecast is 1/3" rain but over 2 hours.  I'm handicapping for a FAST Track, unsure of predicting the Turf condition.

Only one race for me today, again lol, the 6 1/2 furlong Amsterdam G2 Stakes.  Good Luck!

(5:53 pm) 9 -

1 - Winner of non-graded stakes and a G2, took 20 days off last race and then back in training, last wo super and has first time King Irad.  Castellano tossed, must be because of going 108 3/5 in the mud and finishing 6th in his last race.  Big Contender.

2 - Tossing even with the 1 graded stakes placing, 2 wins on lasix and 2 zeros without and both of those were clean starts.  A 4th place contender if that.

3 - Multiple non-graded stakes wins and places, and graded stakes places.  Last worked out at Churchill a week a go, why not ship this horse in earlier and settle in. Horse is 2 races 0-0-1 at the SPA.  Contender.

4 - The 4 took a solid shot to his rib cage in last and was 1/1 on wet coming in, was a respectable effort after getting slammed and in the mud, I think this horse prefers it wet.  Has been working out at the SPA since May.  Lightweight contender.

5 - Davis was listed on this 8 horse yesterday but horse scratched, this is a live horse here.  Go back to Feb 1, beautiful easy race in a non graded sprint with a 99 speed figure at GP same track config as SPA dirt, then....fountain of youth and loses to Sovereignty by  4 1/2, then 2 more graded stakes on the wet that he doesn't like.  Has been working out at the SPA since May.  I think he is ready to explode back on Fast track sprint!  Pletcher, Donegal Racing who has won $15m in 15 years and has had multiple graded stakes winning horses - my solid pick for 1st or 2nd!

6 - 2 wins with lasix, 2 w/o, here w/o, had some excuses when w/o.  Cox, $410k purchase.  Lightweight contender.

7 - Horse last race 4th of July then ends up here with no wo's.  Can race w/o lasix juts not at this caliber.  4th place contender.

8 -  Looked awful in a GP sprint on 3/2 on lasix and had no excuses.  Trains to run with the best but can't. Likes the Spa when wet sort of.  Underestimate Pletcher???  Contender for 4th or so. 


Going 177.60 beans here:

50 wp 5 = 100
4 ex ky bx 5/1346 = 32
2 ex ky bx 5 / 278 = 12
.50 tri and rev 5/1346 = 12
.20 sup and rev 5/1346 = 9.60
.10 sup and rev 5/1346/1346/all =12



 

[Trigger]

Going 177.60 beans here:

50 wp 5 = 100
4 ex ky bx 5/1346 = 32
2 ex ky bx 5 / 278 = 12
.50 tri and rev 5/1346 = 12
.20 sup and rev 5/1346 = 9.60
.10 sup and rev 5/1346/1346/all =12

Weather looks FAST and FIRM now, here is today's radar there:

https://weather.com/weather/radar/interactive/l/4ba10d6d9c4e4298b963b064ecca4c7080ea71e8d89423f711d2c2e36d272bf2

The #8 in my selected 9th race is scratched so wagers will eliminate him and will change a bit too and be posted.

Here are today's early scratches and changes at the SPA:

4    #6    I'm Solo N in Love    6 GOGGLES OFF    
 
5    #6    Aunt Nona    Scratched @ 10:04 AM    
 
7    #1    Sharing Wisdom (GB)    Scratched @ 10:05 AM    
   #8    Ms Daredevil    Scratched @ 10:05 AM    
   #9    Mappy    Scratched @ 10:05 AM    
 
9    #8    Uncaged    Scratched @ 10:06 AM    
 
10    #7    Purest Performance    Scratched @ 10:06 AM    

[Trigger]

Total in for the 9th race is now $178.70, and pretty much the same bets as posted previously with the exception of the scratched #8 and adding a couple of more small wagers:

WP - Saratoga - R9 - $100
   
1st: 5
Bets (2) Amount: $50 Total: $100

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:45 AM
EX - Saratoga - R9 - $32
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets ( 8 ) Amount: $4 Total: $32

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:46 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $6
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (12) Amount: $0.50 Total: $6

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:46 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $6
   
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
2nd: 5
   
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (12) Amount: $0.50 Total: $6

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:46 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
4th: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (24) Amount: $0.20 Total: $4.80

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:47 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
   
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
2nd: 5
   
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
4th: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (24) Amount: $0.20 Total: $4.80

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:47 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
4th: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Bets (48) Amount: $0.10 Total: $4.80

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:47 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
   
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
2nd: 5
   
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
4th: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Bets (48) Amount: $0.10 Total: $4.80

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:48 AM
EX - Saratoga - R9 - $8
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 5
   
2nd: 2, 7
Bets (4) Amount: $2 Total: $8

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:48 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
   
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
   
3rd: 5
   
4th: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (24) Amount: $0.20 Total: $4.80

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:49 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $1.5
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1
   
3rd: 3, 4, 6
Bets (3) Amount: $0.50 Total: $1.50

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:50 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $1.2
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1
   
3rd: 3, 4, 6
   
4th: 3, 4, 6
Bets (6) Amount: $0.20 Total: $1.20

Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:50 AM

[JT]

Bonus bet.. Saratoga coming shortly
Gulfstream Park Pick 5
3,4,6,7/6/2,3,7/6,7/1,4,5,6,7.. $60 bucks

[JT]

Saratoga Pick 5
1,2,4,5/1,2,3,4/4,5,6/5/3,5,7..$72 beans

[Papillon]

my picks have been horrible all meet..so here is one you can toss out

race 9--#6 Gunmetal--faced a much tougher field on a muddy oval in last effort-before that won at KEE in a good race

combine that with the fact I do NOT like the favorite from post #1...Saez can have #6 in good spot turning for home

win bet #6

[JT]

Bonus bet.. Saratoga coming shortly
Gulfstream Park Pick 5
3,4,6,7/6/2,3,7/6,7/1,4,5,6,7.. $60 bucks

Bonus bet.. Saratoga coming shortly
Gulfstream Park Pick 5
3,4,6,7/6/2,3,7/6,7/1,4,5,6,7.. $60 bucks

Just missed it, the 6 got me in leg 3.. my 2 finished 2nd at the same odds. It paid $2,380.. OUCH!!

[Trigger]

Just missed it, the 6 got me in leg 3.. my 2 finished 2nd at the same odds. It paid $2,380.. OUCH!!

I feel the gut punch, it's a mother fucker!

3 5 7 magnum baby let's get this one home!   

[JT]

I feel the gut punch, it's a mother fucker!

3 5 7 magnum baby let's get this one home!   

$336, $487, $395 are the potential payouts.. needed the 1 to hang on in race 2 for double those amounts at least.. I'll still take it though .. makes up for yesterday's losses

[Trigger]

JT & I & Dougie & Papi & Bello and the all the other T-bred faithful here being the bridesmaids never the bride lately, grinding out a fucking something here lol, but, one of these days, I'm feeling we all put together a winning pick 6. 

[Trigger]

Saratoga Pick 5
1,2,4,5/1,2,3,4/4,5,6/5/3,5,7..$72 beans

JT, the cashing machine!   

[bello]

Way to go JT!   I was alive with 5 and 7 for the p4. I didnt use the 3 as he was coming off both a voided claim and a vet scratch. I read too much into it. Nice job.

Race 6  p5   7/346/367/12/3

[JT]

Thank you both, that's a bummer Bello. $263 profit on that one, but that one at Gulfstream was tough to take.. happens all the time. Let's parlay some of the winnings..

Pick 5: 2,5,6,7/ 3,4,5,6/3,4,6/1/4,5,9..$72 donuts

Even with a fail , up $131 for the day. Not bad for betting at work .. I study in the morning and bet on my breaks

[bello]

Thank you both, that's a bummer Bello. $263 profit on that one, but that one at Gulfstream was tough to take.. happens all the time. Let's parlay some of the winnings..

Pick 5: 2,5,6,7/ 3,4,5,6/3,4,6/1/4,5,9..$72 donuts

Even with a fail , up $131 for the day. Not bad for betting at work

Betting at work ehhhh. I remember those days.

[JT]

Betting at work ehhhh. I remember those days.

I usually don't but I make an exception for the spa and sometimes Finger Lakes and occasionally Horseshoe Indiana.