Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??

[Partywiththebigdog]

Barnsdale singles his best bet tomorrow night, the brilliant Shower Play, who will face elders in the 2nd race, a NW16K L5 event.  I don’t think Roy will go all out here for the 22K purse.   She’s had a tough schedule already and has bigger dates starting with an August 19 Gold.  Hamilton puts her on top, too, and she probably will be singled a lot.  Solid bet against!

Race 1 for 2YO Trotters is interesting, as well.  Five of 7 are paid to the Wellwood, and looks like 3 & 4 will take all the money.  I think Keeling’s Smart As Hill, #6, is great value.  Superbly bred and any advancement here should dominate.  Saver on #2, Peck firster by Trixton, with Roy booked! 

Pick 5s starting with “34 with 3” will take up huge portion of the pool and I’ll be betting against it. 

Any other views?

[Field_In_Motion]

Is barnsdale any good at his picks?

[whiptherabbit]

95% of the races I watch are WEG. With that being said I very seldom look at the analyst pics & for the most part pay little attention to them.

However, I do enjoy reading Hamiltons views & tidbits of relevant information he provides.

[Powerful Patricks Ghost]

Just peaked but Exhilarated is sitting on a win in a field devoid of front enders.

[Field_In_Motion]

I googled Garnet Barnsdale it states he is a public handicapper for DRF

[pylon]

95% of the races I watch are WEG. With that being said I very seldom look at the analyst pics & for the most part pay little attention to them.

However, I do enjoy reading Hamiltons views & tidbits of relevant information he provides.

he must spend most of his day researching trivia..lol...

[Equus Caballus]

Shower play bet against agree

She is in pretty tough
As long as it isn’t a walk around the track

[oh canada]

95% of the races I watch are WEG. With that being said I very seldom look at the analyst pics & for the most part pay little attention to them.

However, I do enjoy reading Hamiltons views & tidbits of relevant information he provides.

Mike Hamilton is an interesting character and a good guy who loves the sport....met him when he arrived here from the West coast.

[MR.DALRAE]

Very interesting to say the least ,,,, and a class act

[shuffledagain]

P5: 4/3/2/all/3

[Calhoun]

Barnsdale singles his best bet tomorrow night, the brilliant Shower Play, who will face elders in the 2nd race, a NW16K L5 event.  I don’t think Roy will go all out here for the 22K purse.   She’s had a tough schedule already and has bigger dates starting with an August 19 Gold.  Hamilton puts her on top, too, and she probably will be singled a lot.  Solid bet against!

Race 1 for 2YO Trotters is interesting, as well.  Five of 7 are paid to the Wellwood, and looks like 3 & 4 will take all the money.  I think Keeling’s Smart As Hill, #6, is great value.  Superbly bred and any advancement here should dominate.  Saver on #2, Peck firster by Trixton, with Roy booked! 

Pick 5s starting with “34 with 3” will take up huge portion of the pool and I’ll be betting against it. 

Any other views?

R1... I'd probably go with 6-5-2 in that order while tossing 3-4.  Maybe the 2 is ok off the one Qual but it was 22 days ago. 

R2... If I'm tossing the 3, I'm tossing the 4 as well for facing older.  I don't think the 2 is good enough.  Looks like 6-1-5 which is not especially clever.

I didn't look at the other races but if If I were to play the pick 5, my tickets would be based on this for the first 2 races:
R1:  A=6 B=5 C=2
R2:  A=6 B=1 C =5

I'd also definitely play the DD something like
6-6 for $35
6-1 for $25
5-6 for $25
5-1 for $15
on a $100 basis
 
To me, betting a p-5 based on tossing a likely 3/5 or less Shower Play in a 6-horse field plus going 2-3 deep in a 6-horse field in the first leg isn't a play I'd make unless I had VERY strong opinions in the other legs where I could make my ticket fairly cheap.

Basically, playing against a real short price I want a short ticket. 

If it is me, I'm playing the Double expecting I'm right about one of my two top selections and hoping I'm right about both or get lucky otherwise.

Best thread I've seen here in months.  Good luck.

[whiptherabbit]

I totally agree, Hamilton is a great guy who loves the game 

[Artsplace]

race 2
Shower Play's slowest back half last 4 races is 54.1. Now shes in a 6 horse field. Plus she was off a month last race Wont be worse than 2nd guaranteed.No reason to believe that Exhilarated wont give it up late again, plus shes dropping a win line tnite. Carm will not have her at her best tonight. Action Matjesty is the only one in here that I think can beat Shower Play.Action is starting to find those 26 and 27 last quarters she was famous for last year. The only way the 6 will be dangerous is if she just sits quietly at the back until the stretch. Shes a 1 trick pony. . Im lovin the 3-2 xacta box with a cover xacta of 3-6.

[Powerful Patricks Ghost]

Have to agree with Calhoun on the play against on Shower Play, especially since this a bad pick 5 sequence.  Two 7 horse fields and 6 horse fields cuts down big time on the combinations too. Don't think I'll be playing this one tonight.  I appreciate what Artsplace has to say about Exhilarated but I think this one is playing catch me if you can. Switches from blind to blinkers too tonight. Right now 3rd choice in DD with the 3/3 combo paying $4 bucks right now.

Card is pretty bad from a betting perspective. GL to everyone playing.

[whiptherabbit]

Best of luck guys! Card is worth watching but not betting, dont like anything...