Author Topic: 2025 Track Speed Variants  (Read 3788 times)

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A Merliner

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2025 Track Speed Variants
« on: November 26, 2025, 05:05:43 PM »
US Tracks

1:54.0 Lex1
1:54.4 ScD5/8
1:55.0 M1
1:55.1 HoP7/8
1:55.1 Mea5/8
1:55.1 Dtn5/8
1:55.1 RcR5/8
1:55.2 VD7/8
1:55.2 MVR5/8
1:55.2 PcD5/8
1:55.4 Spr1
1:55.4 PRc5/8
1:55.4 Phl5/8
1:55.4 CbRn5/8
1:56.0 Haw1
1:56.0 TgDn5/8
1:56.0 Del
1:56.0 OakGr5/8
1:56.1 DuQ1
1:56.1 DD5/8
1:56.1 Aces5/8
1:57.1 Nfld
1:57.3 Har
1:57.3 Stga
1:57.3 Wdstk
1:57.3 OD
1:57.4 YR
1:58.0 Btva
1:58.0 BR
1:58.2 MR
1:58.4 Bang
1:59.2 Cumb
2:00.0 Hstng
« Last Edit: November 26, 2025, 05:50:05 PM by A Merliner »

A Merliner

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Re: 2025 Track Speed Variants
« Reply #1 on: November 26, 2025, 05:06:17 PM »
Canadian Tracks

1:54.4 Wbsb7/8
1:55.4 Grvr5/8
1:56.1 TkT1
1:56.1 RidC5/8
1:56.4 Cnml1
1:56.4 Cnd11/16
1:56.4 GeoD5/8
1:56.4 KD5/8
1:56.4 Chrtn
1:57.0 Sar5/8
1:57.1 FlmD
1:57.4 Truro
1:57.4 Summ
1:58.2 Lon
1:58.2 Wodst
1:58.4 TrRvs
1:59.0 Dres
1:59.0 Leam
1:59.0 Invrn
1:59.0 Nor
1:59.3 Clntn
1:59.3 Hnvr
2:01.2 Loop
« Last Edit: November 26, 2025, 05:50:55 PM by A Merliner »

A Merliner

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Re: 2025 Track Speed Variants
« Reply #2 on: November 26, 2025, 05:07:03 PM »
These were computed using 62,703 pairs of 2025 races by the same horse in two recent races at two different tracks.

It accounts for temperature (19.8 deg/sec) and ignores all races with breaks, interference, accidents, broken equipment, barn changes, parked miles and distanced horses.

SeattleSlew

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Re: 2025 Track Speed Variants
« Reply #3 on: November 26, 2025, 10:28:39 PM »
That passes the "eye test" also.  Do you think that there has been much change in the past 2-3 years (track surfaces, erratic timing devices etc.)??

A Merliner

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Re: 2025 Track Speed Variants
« Reply #4 on: November 27, 2025, 07:15:07 AM »
What surprised me was how a small handful of tracks changed throughout this year - in particular Woodbine and the two PEI tracks were several ticks faster this fall compared to the spring/summer while Saratoga and Rosecroft were several ticks slower.

No real idea on why that might be, but the data is quite unambiguous.

 

shout out

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