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General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: andrew on June 11, 2026, 05:34:16 PM

Title: wagering
Post by: andrew on June 11, 2026, 05:34:16 PM
this is just my thought on this
why box an exacta ?
way i look at it you for sure just wagered a loser [unless a dead heat].
myself have never box'd an exacta. i believe in my wager to run one two
yes it has cost me, but i cant get it out of mt mind one wager put in for sure is a loser

a trifecta i get it,, but knot an exacta

we all have our different styles and thats cool. if ya box em,, good luck. may the horse be with you
js
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: Sweet on June 11, 2026, 05:49:31 PM
Place is a smart bet.  tmbz1
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: JT on June 11, 2026, 07:53:07 PM
Agree Andrew. I never box an exacta just for that reason  tmbz1
Tri's and Supers I key the winner on top and then spread
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: andrew on June 11, 2026, 07:59:34 PM
Agree Andrew. I never box an exacta just for that reason  tmbz1
Tri's and Supers I key the winner on top and then spread
yep. we all have different styles but i never wanted to wager a for sure loser, i could always do that on my own  ngc3
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: pocketrocketwinner on June 11, 2026, 08:12:18 PM
Boxing exacta is almost never good strategy. It can be ok if you toss the chalk entirely.

Betting to place is 99.99% of the time a horrendous decision. Brutally awful.
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: Kirby's Ace on June 12, 2026, 12:02:26 PM
You must of graduated from the SWEET school of handicapping if you think exacta boxes are stupid!

 tmbz1
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: Harness racer on June 12, 2026, 12:37:01 PM
Boxes are how you hit huge.  I boxed 4 horses in a tri at Churchill Downs a few years ago.  Threw a 20-1 in there in case he hit the board.  Ended up winning with the betting fav out...paid almost $4k.  Biggest ticket I ever cashed.  Never would have put him on top...but the box paid off big.   tmbz1
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: pocketrocketwinner on June 12, 2026, 01:53:33 PM
You must of graduated from the SWEET school of handicapping if you think exacta boxes are stupid!

 tmbz1

An equally weight box (without presses) is illogical. That would mean that you have an equal opinion on every horse you used in the box. 99% of the time the horses you use in the box will have different odds. You would be infinitely better off in the long run if you removed the shorter priced horses out of your box and left the longer priced horses and doubled the base bet of the box. You cant be afraid of not cashing the ticket.
Hopefully I am not going way over your head. This is basic wagering theory.
Yes, equal weighted boxes are stupid
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: John Moody on June 12, 2026, 02:01:31 PM
bridge jumping is the smartest bet one can make
Title: Re: wagering
Post by: Kirby's Ace on June 12, 2026, 02:46:43 PM
An equally weight box (without presses) is illogical. That would mean that you have an equal opinion on every horse you used in the box. 99% of the time the horses you use in the box will have different odds. You would be infinitely better off in the long run if you removed the shorter priced horses out of your box and left the longer priced horses and doubled the base bet of the box. You cant be afraid of not cashing the ticket.
Hopefully I am not going way over your head. This is basic wagering theory.
Yes, equal weighted boxes are stupid

Thank you Dr Spock!
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