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General Category => Thoroughbred Racing => Topic started by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 12:20:00 AM

Title: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 12:20:00 AM
Another beautiful day at the SPA scheduled for today.  Should be FAST & FIRM.

Weather looks wonderful, high 70's to low 80's, high humidity though.

I've got stakes races at Harrah's Chester, Harrah's Hoosier, Mohawk, 5 races in total there and a cheap claimer I'm following at Belterra 2nd race.  With the one SPA stakes race I'm going $108, the total budget for the day and the 7 races is $357 - magnum baby!   tmbz1

5 1⁄2 Furlongs. (Turf) TMGalwayL150K, SPA, Race 7 (4:36pm)

My key horse will be the #12, Abientot, 8-1 ml odds.  Hot M. Casse Tnr / D. Davis Jky combo in last 14 days (5 2-1-1). 4 Races 1 - 0 - 2 $105,250 at this distance.  Has won the grade III Matron turf sprint from an outside post - and is dropping in company here.  Likes the SPA 2 races 1-0-1 record.  Love the fact the horse raced real well on a good turf race while usually not loving that type surface.  Drops 2lbs and is not a lasix user.  Hasn't worked out since last race which is unusual, maybe they're keeping it mysterious with private works and looking for a price?  Along with the 12, the 2,3,8,9,10,11, and all.

Wagers for all races will be made and posted tomorrow once the scratches come out.  Good Luck!  ;D
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 12:21:23 PM
The SPA is FAST & FIRM, nice!   tmbz1

My 7th race has the following scratches - 6,7,8,9,14,16.  Why they haven't scratched MTO #15 I dunno.  I'm even more revved on the #12 as she is moving inside with the scratches, which is a big plus considering she prefers a little longer like 6f on the turf.  I'll wait until they set the field and place and post my bets there.

In the interim, here is $192.40 on 3 of the 7 races I'm wagering today:

 Belterra Park                46.00
   Race 2    5.00    WIN    2    NaN.00
   Race 2    4.00    EX    2 / 1+2+3+4+5+6    20.00
   Race 2    0.50    TRI    2 / 1+2+3+4+5+6 / 1+2+3+4+5+6    10.00
   Race 2    0.10    SPR    2 / 1+2+3+4+5+6 / 1+2+3+4+5+6 / 1+2+3+4+5+6    6.00
   Race 2    1.00    EX    1+2+3+4+5+6 / 2    5.00
  Harrah`s Philly (H)                82.00
   Race 10    5.00    WP    1    NaN.00
   Race 10    3.00    EX    BX+1 / 1+2+3+6+7    24.00
   Race 10    1.00    TRI    1 / 1+2+3+6+7 / 1+2+3+6+7    12.00
   Race 10    1.00    TRI    1+2+3+6+7 / 1 / 1+2+3+6+7    12.00
   Race 10    0.50    SPR    1 / 1+2+3+6+7 / 1+2+3+6+7 / 1+2+3+6+7    12.00
   Race 10    0.50    SPR    1+2+3+6+7 / 1 / 1+2+3+6+7 / 1+2+3+6+7    12.00
  Hoosier Park (H)                64.40
   Race 8    5.00    WIN    2+5    NaN.00
   Race 8    4.00    EX    BX+2+5    8.00
   Race 8    0.50    TRI    2+5 / 2+5 / 1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10    8.00
   Race 8    0.50    TRI    2+5 / 1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10 / 2+5    8.00
   Race 8    0.50    TRI    1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10 / 2+5 / 2+5    8.00
   Race 8    0.20    SPR    2+5 / 2+5 / 1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10 / 1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10    22.40
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 01:58:03 PM
Trying to beat Miki and Minnie?...You got balls
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 02:07:29 PM
Trying to beat Miki and Minnie?...You got balls
Not a 5/8 horse.
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 02:12:09 PM
Ok..first spa bet this week

Race 3  1 win  box 1-3  dd  13/8  p3  13/8/2  P  13/8/2/3610/1011
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 02:24:46 PM
Been sweeping harrahs PH. Should just stay there.
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 02:33:58 PM
Been sweeping harrahs PH. Should just stay there.

 tmbz1

Whatever works
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 02:36:21 PM
tmbz1

Whatever works

Takes willpower
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 02:53:01 PM
Takes willpower

I bet primarily stakes races, not all, just carefully selected.

Occasionally a horse I follow lands outside a stakes.

That's what I do, when I work outside of it it's not a comfort zone,

This week has been grueling, still a work in progress and deep in the negative.

We'll see what happens by Sunday!   ;D 
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 03:55:48 PM
Harrahs Race 10   

2 win
box 27
p4  27/14/5/1
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 04:00:08 PM
Mdws race 9

Need 5 for dd   next dd  5/78   p5  5/78/23/4/3
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 04:17:00 PM
0/2 so far today...the rest of the wagers below, 5 races to go:

Date/Time    Source    Category    Status    Description    Debit    Credit    
August 7, 2025 4:14PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R8 $0.40 SFC 3,5/3,5/1,4,6/1,4,6    
$4.80
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:14PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R8 $1.00 TRI 3,5/3,5/1,4,6    
$6.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:13PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R8 $4.00 EXA 3,5    
$8.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:11PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R8 $4.00 WP 3    
$8.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:11PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R6 $0.20 PK3 5/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10/3    
$2.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:11PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R6 $0.60 PK3 5/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10/3,5    
$12.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:09PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R6 $2.00 SFC 5/1/4/1,2,3,4,5,6    
$6.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:09PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R6 $4.00 TRI 5/1/4    
$4.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:09PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R6 $5.00 EXA 5/1    
$5.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:08PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R2 $2.00 SFC 6/1/3/1,2,3,4,5,6    
$6.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:07PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R2 $4.00 TRI 6/1/3    
$4.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:07PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R2 $4.00 EXA 6/1    
$4.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:06PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Woodbine Mohawk Park, CAN R2 $5.00 WIN 6    
$5.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:05PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $0.10 SFC 2,3,10,11,12    
$12.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:05PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $0.10 SFC 2,3,10,11/12/2,3,10,11/2,3,10,11,1,4,5,12,13    
$7.20
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:05PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $0.10 SFC 12/2,3,10,11/2,3,10,11/2,3,10,11,1,4,5,12,13    
$7.20
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:05PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $0.10 SFC 2,3,10,11/12/2,3,10,11/2,3,10,11    
$2.40
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:05PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $0.10 SFC 12/2,3,10,11/2,3,10,11/2,3,10,11    
$2.40
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:04PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $1.00 TRI 2,3,10,11/12/2,3,10,11    
$12.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:04PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $1.00 TRI 12/2,3,10,11/2,3,10,11    
$12.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:03PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $1.00 EXA 1,4,5,13/12    
$4.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:03PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $1.00 EXA 12/1,4,5,13    
$4.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:02PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $4.00 EXA 2,3,10,11/12    
$16.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:02PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $4.00 EXA 12/2,3,10,11    
$16.00
   
$0.00
   
August 7, 2025 4:02PM    Website    Bet    Sold    Saratoga R7 $10.00 WP 12    
$20.00
   
$0.00
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 04:21:32 PM
Harrahs Race 10   

2 win
box 27
p4  27/14/5/1

GL Bello!   tmbz1
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 04:29:18 PM
Thanks  same to you.  Not playing Spa race 7. I was going to go with 10 and 11 but between you and Serlings very logical selection of the 12 I;ll lay off. Bring it home.
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 04:32:03 PM
Thanks  same to you.  Not playing Spa race 7. I was going to go with 10 and 11 but between you and Serlings very logical selection of the 12 I;ll lay off. Bring it home.

I don't even listen to Andy Serling and if I did that's all I would do. 

12 is not really logical he could easily miss not because he doesn't have the horse, it's a 1/2 furlong short this race to her best ability.
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 04:35:25 PM
Per Engblom puts a couple of undrugged lamos on the track at harrahs PH
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 04:39:22 PM
I don't even listen to Andy Serling and if I did that's all I would do. 

12 is not really logical he could easily miss not because he doesn't have the horse, it's a 1/2 furlong short this race to her best ability.

I listen but I would not typically let him change my mind. But they are all youting #12 hitting the gate very hard last race which would have a negative effect on his last race
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 04:46:53 PM
I listen but I would not typically let him change my mind. But they are all youting #12 hitting the gate very hard last race which would have a negative effect on his last race

I had the 1 ex rev, and the 10 to place. $208 back on a $116 bet.
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: bello on August 07, 2025, 04:49:33 PM
Way to make a win out of a amiss!

Back to Spa here. I am cold punching a 6-1 dd  and 6-1-125  p3.  Saved $ not using race 7 in the p4s
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 05:05:20 PM
Way to make a win out of a amiss!

Back to Spa here. I am cold punching a 6-1 dd  and 6-1-125  p3.  Saved $ not using race 7 in the p4s

Thanks and GL w/that!   tmbz1

Just savers lol, and very small were hit.  The only other place I used the 1 was a sup and rev and at the end, 4th position.  What I was trying to convey to JT, as much as I want to just balls to the wall, when I do get beat, when I'm in the mix, it's lack of savers.  Small risk, decent insurance payout to cover and a bit more this time.

I bet Hoosier 8, Mohawk 2, 6, 8.  $140 wagers outstanding. 
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: JT on August 07, 2025, 09:22:38 PM
Ok..first spa bet this week

Race 3  1 win  box 1-3  dd  13/8  p3  13/8/2  P  13/8/2/3610/1011
Hello boys..just got home from work. Its been a  looong few days. This is the race that got me in the early pick 5. I had 1 and 3 only and the 5 won it.. I had an $80 ticket and the other 4 legs came in. I think it paid 700 or 800 bucks. It looks like a decent hit at Hoosier for ya Trigger tmbz1. On a bright note I broke my mini slump and hit the late pick 5 at Horseshoe Indiana.. $96 ticket, paid $730. Those were my only 2 wagers today.
Title: Re: SPA Day XXI, Thursday, 8/7/25
Post by: Trigger on August 07, 2025, 09:52:05 PM
Hey JT, keep at it!  4 out of 5 sux, but you're in the ballpark!   tmbz1

Today was a loss, however the best of the 4 days in winnings.  Bet one and lost won yesterday for $62, however today bet almost $400 and lost $70.56.  The day had a couple winning races out of the seven.  Progress. 

-2087.27 Monday
-2392.09 Tuesday
-2454.09 Wednesday
-2524.65 Thursday

I look like a 99-1 to pull out the same losing # now that has a minus but turns into a plus, and I have til Sunday close until this week is in the books.  Tomorrow $300+ budget!

The key to success is not celebrating wins first but understanding and mitigating and eliminating the failure, and that's what this week is about!  ;D
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