HORSEPLOP.COM
General Category => Thoroughbred Racing => Topic started by: Trigger on July 25, 2025, 12:36:34 AM
-
I'm on a mini streak, but it's absolute torture that in the 3 for 3 I've won over the last 2 days I have not capitalized nearly as good as I should of. Shame on me!
The forecast is nice weather at the SPA, however the forecast is 1/3" rain but over 2 hours. I'm handicapping for a FAST Track, unsure of predicting the Turf condition.
Only one race for me today, again lol, the 6 1/2 furlong Amsterdam G2 Stakes. Good Luck!
(5:53 pm) 9 -
1 - Winner of non-graded stakes and a G2, took 20 days off last race and then back in training, last wo super and has first time King Irad. Castellano tossed, must be because of going 108 3/5 in the mud and finishing 6th in his last race. Big Contender.
2 - Tossing even with the 1 graded stakes placing, 2 wins on lasix and 2 zeros without and both of those were clean starts. A 4th place contender if that.
3 - Multiple non-graded stakes wins and places, and graded stakes places. Last worked out at Churchill a week a go, why not ship this horse in earlier and settle in. Horse is 2 races 0-0-1 at the SPA. Contender.
4 - The 4 took a solid shot to his rib cage in last and was 1/1 on wet coming in, was a respectable effort after getting slammed and in the mud, I think this horse prefers it wet. Has been working out at the SPA since May. Lightweight contender.
5 - Davis was listed on this 8 horse yesterday but horse scratched, this is a live horse here. Go back to Feb 1, beautiful easy race in a non graded sprint with a 99 speed figure at GP same track config as SPA dirt, then....fountain of youth and loses to Sovereignty by 4 1/2, then 2 more graded stakes on the wet that he doesn't like. Has been working out at the SPA since May. I think he is ready to explode back on Fast track sprint! Pletcher, Donegal Racing who has won $15m in 15 years and has had multiple graded stakes winning horses - my solid pick for 1st or 2nd!
6 - 2 wins with lasix, 2 w/o, here w/o, had some excuses when w/o. Cox, $410k purchase. Lightweight contender.
7 - Horse last race 4th of July then ends up here with no wo's. Can race w/o lasix juts not at this caliber. 4th place contender.
8 - Looked awful in a GP sprint on 3/2 on lasix and had no excuses. Trains to run with the best but can't. Likes the Spa when wet sort of. Underestimate Pletcher??? Contender for 4th or so.
Going 177.60 beans here:
50 wp 5 = 100
4 ex ky bx 5/1346 = 32
2 ex ky bx 5 / 278 = 12
.50 tri and rev 5/1346 = 12
.20 sup and rev 5/1346 = 9.60
.10 sup and rev 5/1346/1346/all =12
-
Going 177.60 beans here:
50 wp 5 = 100
4 ex ky bx 5/1346 = 32
2 ex ky bx 5 / 278 = 12
.50 tri and rev 5/1346 = 12
.20 sup and rev 5/1346 = 9.60
.10 sup and rev 5/1346/1346/all =12
Weather looks FAST and FIRM now, here is today's radar there:
https://weather.com/weather/radar/interactive/l/4ba10d6d9c4e4298b963b064ecca4c7080ea71e8d89423f711d2c2e36d272bf2
The #8 in my selected 9th race is scratched so wagers will eliminate him and will change a bit too and be posted.
Here are today's early scratches and changes at the SPA:
4 #6 I'm Solo N in Love 6 GOGGLES OFF
5 #6 Aunt Nona Scratched @ 10:04 AM
7 #1 Sharing Wisdom (GB) Scratched @ 10:05 AM
#8 Ms Daredevil Scratched @ 10:05 AM
#9 Mappy Scratched @ 10:05 AM
9 #8 Uncaged Scratched @ 10:06 AM
10 #7 Purest Performance Scratched @ 10:06 AM
-
Total in for the 9th race is now $178.70, and pretty much the same bets as posted previously with the exception of the scratched #8 and adding a couple of more small wagers:
WP - Saratoga - R9 - $100
1st: 5
Bets (2) Amount: $50 Total: $100
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:45 AM
EX - Saratoga - R9 - $32
Exacta Key Box
1st: 5
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets ( 8 ) Amount: $4 Total: $32
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:46 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $6
1st: 5
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (12) Amount: $0.50 Total: $6
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:46 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $6
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
2nd: 5
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (12) Amount: $0.50 Total: $6
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:46 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
1st: 5
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
4th: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (24) Amount: $0.20 Total: $4.80
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:47 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
2nd: 5
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
4th: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (24) Amount: $0.20 Total: $4.80
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:47 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
1st: 5
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
4th: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Bets (48) Amount: $0.10 Total: $4.80
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:47 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
2nd: 5
3rd: 1, 3, 4, 6
4th: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Bets (48) Amount: $0.10 Total: $4.80
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:48 AM
EX - Saratoga - R9 - $8
Exacta Key Box
1st: 5
2nd: 2, 7
Bets (4) Amount: $2 Total: $8
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:48 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
3rd: 5
4th: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (24) Amount: $0.20 Total: $4.80
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:49 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $1.5
1st: 5
2nd: 1
3rd: 3, 4, 6
Bets (3) Amount: $0.50 Total: $1.50
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:50 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $1.2
1st: 5
2nd: 1
3rd: 3, 4, 6
4th: 3, 4, 6
Bets (6) Amount: $0.20 Total: $1.20
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:50 AM
-
Bonus bet.. Saratoga coming shortly
Gulfstream Park Pick 5
3,4,6,7/6/2,3,7/6,7/1,4,5,6,7.. $60 bucks
-
Saratoga Pick 5
1,2,4,5/1,2,3,4/4,5,6/5/3,5,7..$72 beans
-
my picks have been horrible all meet..so here is one you can toss out
race 9--#6 Gunmetal--faced a much tougher field on a muddy oval in last effort-before that won at KEE in a good race
combine that with the fact I do NOT like the favorite from post #1...Saez can have #6 in good spot turning for home
win bet #6
-
Bonus bet.. Saratoga coming shortly
Gulfstream Park Pick 5
3,4,6,7/6/2,3,7/6,7/1,4,5,6,7.. $60 bucks
Bonus bet.. Saratoga coming shortly
Gulfstream Park Pick 5
3,4,6,7/6/2,3,7/6,7/1,4,5,6,7.. $60 bucks
Just missed it, the 6 got me in leg 3.. my 2 finished 2nd at the same odds. It paid $2,380.. OUCH!!
-
Just missed it, the 6 got me in leg 3.. my 2 finished 2nd at the same odds. It paid $2,380.. OUCH!!
I feel the gut punch, it's a mother fucker!
3 5 7 magnum baby let's get this one home! tmbz1
-
I feel the gut punch, it's a mother fucker!
3 5 7 magnum baby let's get this one home! tmbz1
$336, $487, $395 are the potential payouts.. needed the 1 to hang on in race 2 for double those amounts at least.. I'll still take it though .. makes up for yesterday's losses
-
JT & I & Dougie & Papi & Bello and the all the other T-bred faithful here being the bridesmaids never the bride lately, grinding out a fucking something here lol, but, one of these days, I'm feeling we all put together a winning pick 6. ;D
-
Saratoga Pick 5
1,2,4,5/1,2,3,4/4,5,6/5/3,5,7..$72 beans
JT, the cashing machine! 86z.st
-
Way to go JT! I was alive with 5 and 7 for the p4. I didnt use the 3 as he was coming off both a voided claim and a vet scratch. I read too much into it. Nice job.
Race 6 p5 7/346/367/12/3
-
Thank you both, that's a bummer Bello. $263 profit on that one, but that one at Gulfstream was tough to take.. happens all the time. Let's parlay some of the winnings..
Pick 5: 2,5,6,7/ 3,4,5,6/3,4,6/1/4,5,9..$72 donuts
Even with a fail , up $131 for the day. Not bad for betting at work ;D.. I study in the morning and bet on my breaks
-
Thank you both, that's a bummer Bello. $263 profit on that one, but that one at Gulfstream was tough to take.. happens all the time. Let's parlay some of the winnings..
Pick 5: 2,5,6,7/ 3,4,5,6/3,4,6/1/4,5,9..$72 donuts
Even with a fail , up $131 for the day. Not bad for betting at work ;D
Betting at work ehhhh. I remember those days.
-
Betting at work ehhhh. I remember those days.
I usually don't but I make an exception for the spa and sometimes Finger Lakes and occasionally Horseshoe Indiana.
-
Way to go JT! I was alive with 5 and 7 for the p4. I didnt use the 3 as he was coming off both a voided claim and a vet scratch. I read too much into it. Nice job.
Race 6 p5 7/346/367/12/3
Nice single tmbz1
-
Close call. He broke down after the race
-
I don't want to do anything anymore but study races.
T-breds. That cozy deep dive in solitary.
I'm souring on harness horses rapidly, each and every day more and more, until poof, you may never see me in the Plop Harness Lobby!
I studied a race for 3 hours, fell asleep before I wrote down the selections, lol, but woke up and remembered because that's all I want to do.
-
Bello we both got beat by the Pletcher entry.. bummer 11.wp
I can't stand Rosario. He is so overrated
-
Bad draw fellas!
Ortiz bros took down 4/7
At least a Plop bro took down a p5!
-
I don't want to do anything anymore but study races.
T-breds. That cozy deep dive in solitary.
I'm souring on harness horses rapidly, each and every day more and more, until poof, you may never see me in the Plop Harness Lobby!
I studied a race for 3 hours, fell asleep before I wrote down the selections, lol, but woke up and remembered because that's all I want to do.
I hear you. I love my grandkids, but today is a rare day without granpa duty. And it feels good. Moving my tack over to meadows for Steak races and Tioga
Last 3 at Saratoga.
Race 8 3 win box 367 dd 367.12 o3 367/12/3
-
I hear you. I love my grandkids, but today is a rare day without granpa duty. And it feels good. Moving my tack over to meadows for Steak races and Tioga
Last 3 at Saratoga.
Race 8 3 win box 367 dd 367.12 o3 367/12/3
I have reverse of those responsibilities watching after 2 older. but you made me ngc3 with granpa duty!
Following through with the picks is a gimme, good luck!
-
Nick Tammaro said in his private site, that today's card at the Spa was an Aqueduct card.
He said that hopefully they were saving some better races for down the road!
-
Better than yesterday which was a Finger Lakes card
-
Bello you lunatic, please tell me you had the exacta, tri and sup in the 8th - nice picks bro!
-
Bello you lunatic, please tell me you had the exacta, tri and sup in the 8th - nice picks bro!
\Ex and tri...I rarely play supers
-
\Ex and tri...I rarely play supers
You had the right value plays.
$3 on ever dime to have a super with all pays 50s, and ,50 tri pays 90s.
Great work! tmbz1
-
I hear you. I love my grandkids, but today is a rare day without granpa duty. And it feels good. Moving my tack over to meadows for Steak races and Tioga
Last 3 at Saratoga.
Race 8 3 win box 367 dd 367.12 o3 367/12/3
Well done bello hell of a choice with the 7 tmbz1
-
9th race - 5 horse competing heavily in the place pool in a 7 horse field. Fucking nuts! ;D
-
9th race - 5 horse competing heavily in the place pool in a 7 horse field. Fucking nuts! ;D
A shit ton to place on the 3 at the 3 times the odds, way more than the 1 by $10k
-
Total in for the 9th race is now $178.70, and pretty much the same bets as posted previously with the exception of the scratched #8 and adding a couple of more small wagers:
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $4.8
1st: 1, 3, 4, 6
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 6
3rd: 5
4th: 1, 3, 4, 6
Bets (24) Amount: $0.20 Total: $4.80
Placed At: 07-25-2025 10:49 AM
They left me with breakfast money on a small saver ngc3 $25.94.
The 5 needed his 7 furlongs and no one was beating the 3, the place money up was redonkulous!
It's ok to be humbled, next... ;D
-
They left me with breakfast money on a small saver ngc3 $25.94.
The 5 needed his 7 furlongs and no one was beating the 3, the place money up was redonkulous!
It's ok to be humbled, next... ;D
At least you got a little back.. as my Grandfather used to say " rip that page out and on to the next "
-
You guys were awesome company today and just amazing the way you put so many winners together. JT you're like 13/15, 14/15, 15/15...Bello's hitting tris, really nice work!
We all want to string them like a lottery, but I'm not even there with 1 race a day at the t-breds lol.
Off to the harness, unfortunately I have horses I follow there, I hope they're not out of their tree! ;D
-
At least you got a little back.. as my Grandfather used to say " rip that page out and on to the next "
tmbz1
To Grandpas! 11.chrz