Author Topic: Today's Head Scratcher  (Read 10015 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Billsmafia

  • NW-1
  • *
  • Posts: 38
Today's Head Scratcher
« on: August 25, 2025, 02:54:03 PM »
Here’s a bit of a head scratcher.

Monday, September 25
Saratoga Harness race 6, 7 horse field
The three favorites finished in the money at odds of 2-1, 5-2 and 1-1.

Normally you would expect very low show prices. In this seven horse field however the show prices were $6.30, $7.50 and $4.30. How is this possible?

Apparently some astute handicapper decided to bet $1,000 to show on #6, Southwind Banshee (33-1). Southwind Banshee had $98 to win bet on him, $51 to place and $1,019 to show, which was almost 2/3 of the entire show pool.

The driver, first drive on Southwind Banshee in at least the last eight starts was Peter Gerry, with a UDR of .090. By the way the horse stayed flat but finished last.

All reasonable explanations are appreciated.

FirstUpFrom8Hole

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 855
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2025, 03:02:57 PM »
Offshore betting manipulation. They bet 1000 on a horse that has no chance to show then bet 10000 offshore to show on the obvious choice and get paid track price. I think there was a thread about this last week too. Its a great idea until you get caught

Yonkers1A

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2248
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2025, 03:04:09 PM »
Offshore betting manipulation. They bet 1000 on a horse that has no chance to show then bet 10000 offshore to show on the obvious choice and get paid track price. I think there was a thread about this last week too. Its a great idea until you get caught

 tmbz1


JL52

  • Open / FFA
  • ****
  • Posts: 432
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2025, 03:09:04 PM »
Last week, this was successfully pulled off at least twice at Northville, as discussed in another post.

Kole Hanover

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1039
  • All 3 are racing, 2 are winners, great summer
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2025, 07:54:14 PM »

 You wouldn't believe how many people hit the wrong track and bet the right race & numbers, just the wrong track...
Best time of year watch the young horses racing for great money. Nothing better than following the horses, going to wherever their next stake is, with family.

Papillon

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2609
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #5 on: August 25, 2025, 07:58:51 PM »
You wouldn't believe how many people hit the wrong track and bet the right race & numbers, just the wrong track...

please

this was pool manipulation and it is becoming more common with the smaller pools every year

I have also heard "some drunk owner" bet his horse ngc3

please

Jctoronto

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2185
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #6 on: August 25, 2025, 08:30:53 PM »
For us in Canada...
For example, Bet365 off shore ponies wired into Ontario HPI pool so there is no screwing around there..but im SURE its in other spots

JT

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2753
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #7 on: August 25, 2025, 08:34:23 PM »
please

this was pool manipulation and it is becoming more common with the smaller pools every year

I have also heard "some drunk owner" bet his horse ngc3

please
That has been known to happen, but not in this case. Definitely pool manipulation.Betw een the CAW and this, some of these smaller tracks are really getting unplayable. The last month or so you could really notice it at Finger Lakes. I won't play there this week and I didn't last either.

toothman

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1260
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #8 on: August 25, 2025, 10:17:09 PM »
Offshore betting manipulation. They bet 1000 on a horse that has no chance to show then bet 10000 offshore to show on the obvious choice and get paid track price. I think there was a thread about this last week too. Its a great idea until you get caught

is it illegal?
Does an on track bet like that get flagged?
Is anyone paying attention?

Pacer 2

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2665
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #9 on: August 25, 2025, 10:48:04 PM »
This has been going on for decades.  Nothing new, astute bettors look for it and can capitalize on it

YonkersFinest

  • NW-1
  • *
  • Posts: 33
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #10 on: August 25, 2025, 11:29:20 PM »
CAW

Papillon

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2609
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #11 on: August 26, 2025, 09:43:47 AM »
CAW

incorrect

CAW action goes in to the pools and get rebated

pocketrocketwinner

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 1377
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #12 on: August 26, 2025, 11:31:09 AM »
This has been going on for decades.  Nothing new, astute bettors look for it and can capitalize on it

There is no way for anyone to look for it. The large dump show bet comes in late nobody has the chnace to see ut and bet accordingly. You think these people advertise the bet early? GTFO

Pacer 2

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2665
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #13 on: August 26, 2025, 12:12:32 PM »
There is no way for anyone to look for it. The large dump show bet comes in late nobody has the chnace to see ut and bet accordingly. You think these people advertise the bet early? GTFO

   You can think that but you're wrong. Some times they're late but many times the show bet is posted with plenty of time to place bets. I've caught many of them.

Papillon

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2609
Re: Today's Head Scratcher
« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2025, 12:13:19 PM »
   You can think that but you're wrong. Some times they're late but many times the show bet is posted with plenty of time to place bets. I've caught many of them.

 ngc3

 

shout out

Refresh History
  • Sound off !
  • wiggles44: “yeh” I’m sensing a trend for sure
    August 04, 2026, 01:10:54 PM
  • Kirby's Ace: Was Sweet there? Did he buy lunch? Heard he hit a pick 3 for 1
    August 04, 2026, 10:57:05 AM
  • G: Hey we're coming up on your one year anniversary congratulations MTP
    August 04, 2026, 10:55:37 AM
  • MTP1972: Were any of them your bookie?
    August 04, 2026, 10:26:09 AM
  • G: I got quite an education during my meeting with some great guys in Goshen
    August 04, 2026, 10:05:52 AM
  • G: They got the right guy all right!! You got that right
    August 04, 2026, 10:05:08 AM
  • Kirby's Ace: tmbz1
    August 04, 2026, 10:02:15 AM
  • Kirby's Ace: The way you have been carrying on about this. It seems like they got the right guy.
    August 04, 2026, 10:01:27 AM
SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2026, SimplePortal