SPA Thursday, Day XVI, July 31, 2025

[Trigger]

If you read yesterday's SPA thread, check the videos for yourself you will see  there is some bull shitty shit going on there.  Catching and capitalizing, but it reinforces with all the $money$ being bet there the insiders are not worried about missing their opportunities to take down millions in wagering and even forgo some purses in doing so.

The weather looks awesome, high 60's, high humidity, but looks clear of rain, but again be on alert that can change, for the time being FAST DIRT, FIRM TURF anticipated.

I'm only wagering on only one race there today, the 9th Race (5:44 pm), the John Morrissey Stakes, $150k non graded 7f dirt race.

13 horses, this is a tough one.

My attention is centered around one horse, #5, The Wine Steward.  A multiple graded stakes placer, a multiple un-graded stakes winner.  Never uses lasix and is not allowed here too.  6-1 ml odds is a gift and subject to change.  This 4yo colt is 1/2 at the SPA, I'll forgive him not winning the Belmont Stakes against Dornoch lol.  They toss Saez and J Ortiz (also in the race with lesser) and go with Prat.  The horse has never raced at 7f but I truly believe his connections are confident this and up to a mile might be his best placement.

I've got 302 beans (pre-scratches) in bets starting with 50wp #5.  Others to key with him in exotics (ex, tri, sup) - 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13.  Likely an all in a small ex, and in back and forth dds for the 8th and 9th races with alls.

Good Luck!   

[Trigger]

I ended up going $392.

I additionally doubled up with the #5 on top of the tris and sups, and added $100 show as well on the #5.  I'm not a show bettor, however when betting above my average it works 3 ways for and only one against.  Mitigates a loss of wp, pays 1,2,3 obviously, there is going to be a heavy favorite in the 9 and if a bad day some extra to show payout potential for the #5 - against the extra 100.

Saez as mentioned earlier was the number one previous jockey option for the #5, the fact that his horse scratched is a very good sign if the decision was based on insider knowledge to scratch that Saez #10 horse.

Here are the wagers:

DBL - Saratoga - R8 - $8
   
Race 8: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9
   
Race 9: 5
Bets ( 8 ) Amount: $1 Total: $8

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:34 AM

DBL - Saratoga - R9 - $8
   
Race 9: 5
   
Race 10: 1, 2, 4, 7, 8, 10, 12, 13
Bets ( 8 ) Amount: $1 Total: $8

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:35 AM
WP - Saratoga - R9 - $100
   
1st: 5
Bets (2) Amount: $50 Total: $100

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:36 AM
EX - Saratoga - R9 - $22
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13
Bets (22) Amount: $1 Total: $22

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:36 AM
EX - Saratoga - R9 - $28
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
Bets (14) Amount: $2 Total: $28

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:37 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $21
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
Bets (42) Amount: $0.50 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:38 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $21
   
1st: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
2nd: 5
   
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
Bets (42) Amount: $0.50 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:39 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $21
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
4th: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
Bets (210) Amount: $0.10 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:39 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $21
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
4th: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
Bets (210) Amount: $0.10 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:40 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R9 - $21
   
1st: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
2nd: 5
   
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
4th: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
Bets (210) Amount: $0.10 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:40 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R9 - $21
   
1st: 5
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
   
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 13
Bets (42) Amount: $0.50 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:43 AM
SHW - Saratoga - R9 - $100
   
1st: 5
Bets (1) Amount: $100 Total: $100

Placed At: 07-31-2025 10:44 AM

[Trigger]

*****According to 2 different weather sources, Accuweather and Weather.com it is currently raining at the SPA, a 1/2" of rain is expected during the day.  The radar (below) shows predicatively consistent rain with some possible breaks between 3p-5p.  My #5 is no mudder, however I'm leaving all wagers alone, and if his connections are concerned they can always scratch.*****

https://weather.com/weather/radar/interactive/l/4ba10d6d9c4e4298b963b064ecca4c7080ea71e8d89423f711d2c2e36d272bf2

[JT]

Spa Pick 5 beginning in race 3:
ALL/4/ALL/9/ALL.. only 60 bucks
Let's catch a few prices and beat the 1 in race 5

[Trigger]

Spa Pick 5 beginning in race 3:
ALL/4/ALL/9/ALL.. only 60 bucks
Let's catch a few prices and beat the 1 in race 5

$20 bux on the 9 at 2-1 . 5/2 and you even up.  Those are the type strategies I'm toying with.  Next time bro! 

[JT]

Two big shots because I'm sick of losing lol

Spa Pick 5 starting in race 6..
9/1,8,10,11/1,4/2,5,9,11,12,13/2,4,10,12,13
$120 bucks

Indiana Pick 5 starting in race 4..
8/ 1 2,10,12,13/3,7,8/2,4,6,13/1,9
$60 beans
Yes i know I posted late but I am trying to work to

[JT]

If 4 wins race 4 minimum payout was $800 bucks from the pick 5 at the spa starting in race 3.. but if if's and buts we're candy and nuts we'd all have a Merry Christmas. On a bright note both singles got through in the 1st leg of both tickets

[Trigger]

Two big shots because I'm sick of losing lol

Spa Pick 5 starting in race 6..
9/1,8,10,11/1,4/2,5,9,11,12,13/2,4,10,12,13
$120 bucks

Indiana Pick 5 starting in race 4..
8/ 1 2,10,12,13/3,7,8/2,4,6,13/1,9
$60 beans
Yes i know I posted late but I am trying to work to

So far so good at both!!!! 

Yeh, singling the first is balls to the wall excitement!

Where you pull some of these tracks out of your ass, I always have to brace myself....Charles Town...Indiana... Finger Lakes...!   

[Trigger]

Ind 6th - All aboard the Fucking 8 Train!

JT, you hit this p5, next time your in Shelbyville, Indiana buy Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. a drink!

What a race!   

[JT]

So far so good at both!!!! 

Yeh, singling the first is balls to the wall excitement!

Where you pull some of these tracks out of your ass, I always have to brace myself....Charles Town...Indiana... Finger Lakes...!   

I like to single whenever possible in leg 1.. if ya lose it's like ripping off the band-aid. Indiana is a tough track, lots of maidens there.

[Trigger]

I like to single whenever possible in leg 1.. if ya lose it's like ripping off the band-aid. Indiana is a tough track, lots of maidens there.

I'm livid this Marcelo another race to the wire, damn!

[JT]

Ind 6th - All aboard the Fucking 8 Train!

JT, you hit this p5, next time your in Shelbyville, Indiana buy Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. a drink!

What a race!   

No drink..he couldn't get the 13 there in leg 4.. my horses got 2nd,3rd and 4th to a 29-1 shot lol

[Trigger]

No drink..he couldn't get the 13 there in leg 4.. my horses got 2nd,3rd and 4th to a 29-1 shot lol

You and me both, another race to the wire.

The 50 pl, 100 sh, 1 ex was enough to pull a 100+ profit.

Considering the horse is not a mudder, did pretty damn good lol!   

[Trigger]

No 1A 7 8 fuck em!

Go JT!!!

[JT]

You and me both, another race to the wire.

The 50 pl, 100 sh, 1 ex was enough to pull a 100+ profit.

Considering the horse is not a mudder, did pretty damn good lol!   

That was a tough beat for ya trigger, glad you still made a few bucks.. of course the 9 won the last leg in Indiana so 4 out of 5 what's that pay?