I'sss goin add sum other hints about FIRST timeSTARTERS,if one is gonna play.
This from JOHN FRANK ARMY book on HORSE GAMBLIN.
(1) Most of this is bein on track live.
(1) If you see a pony on dirt comin out first time wrapped,don't bet it. It a gonna be STIFF. You make noyations on them on your program and then wait to their second time out. And when I say wrapped,I meen front. Then if you see the fronts off their second start it meens they well meant and the barn is goin for it and usually at a price.
(2) And one needs to be on track for this. In paddock walkin around and on apron with ponies paradin in front,watch to see if one is takin a dump. I know there different opinions on this from mostly those wo know nuttin about horse racin. It good for humans but not for horses. They either been fed off schedule,which not good or they very nervouse and will not run their race. And if the heavy favorite does this,he or she is runnin out. There others horses with a price to be had.
(3) Always check the SIRES PRICE VRS the PURCHASE PRICE in younsters. Obviously,HOME BREDS,one can't. EXAMPLE". IF the SIRE is $60,000 and the sale purchase is $15,000,suntin wrong there. The colt or filly has sum issues. If the sale is higher,the pony has some potential.
ALL this from: JOHN FRANK ARMY has played the GAME.