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General Category => Thoroughbred Racing => Topic started by: JT on May 30, 2026, 10:32:35 AM

Title: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 10:32:35 AM
Great card in Kentucky today, all the big boy jockeys there
Late Pick 5 carryover of $80,000 starting in race 7
Just read an article that last year on SFPD the late pick 5 pool went over a million dollars
Expect with the carryover a huge pool..and they are all stakes races in that sequence
We can use this as the betting thread as well.
The early pick 5 should have a layup with the 2 horse in leg 1
Good luck to anyone playing at Churchill or anywhere else today!!
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Calhoun on May 30, 2026, 10:56:25 AM
Scratches

Race:   Scratches:   
      
3:   1, 3   
4:   2, 9, 11         
7:   9         
9:   4   
10:   8   
11:   4   
 



Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Sweet on May 30, 2026, 11:45:34 AM
I'm In!  ngc3
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 11:53:26 AM
I'm In!  ngc3
I figured. ngc3
You like the stake races
Big pools today.. Great opportunities
Usually I will play a few different tracks..but I am laser focused at Churchill
No Gulfstream bets for me today  and no big A racing today..all their jockeys are at Monmouth.
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Sweet on May 30, 2026, 11:58:00 AM
I figured. ngc3
You like the stake races
Big pools today.. Great opportunities
Usually I will play a few different tracks..but I am laser focused at Churchill
No Gulfstream bets for me today  and no big A racing today..all their jockeys are at Monmouth.

I really wasn't in.

Just Mohawk.

One race at Flam, where a horse landed, 8th - 3.

You make a great point, carryover enticement, just gamble!  ngc3

That's my dog whistle  ;D
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 12:02:22 PM
I really wasn't in.

Just Mohawk.

One race at Flam, where a horse landed, 8th - 4.

You make a great point, carryover enticement, just gamble!  ngc3

That's my dog whistle  ;D
All good man, pull for me here and I will for you at Mohawk.. I am not betting there until Cup finals day. The pools at Churchill will be massive today.
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 12:07:02 PM
First bet at Churchill
Early pick 5
2/1-5,7,8/2,5,6,7,9,10/12/1,4-9
$147
 If #2 loses race 1 its going to be a long day
The 12 in race 4 is the key to this ticket and the pick 5 starting in race 3..
I will post that ticket shortly.
Don't fuck it up Gafflione  ;D
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Sweet on May 30, 2026, 12:23:21 PM
First bet at Churchill
Early pick 5
2/1-5,7,8/2,5,6,7,9,10/12/1,4-9
$147
 If #2 loses race 1 its going to be a long day
The 12 in race 4 is the key to this ticket and the pick 5 starting in race 3..
I will post that ticket shortly.
Don't fuck it up Gafflione  ;D
All good man, pull for me here and I will for you at Mohawk.. I am not betting there until Cup finals day. The pools at Churchill will be massive today.

I started handicapping Mohawk Saturday before the form came out.

How I came up with Solar Voltage in the second.

I love pulling for you and I always pull for you!

Lots of top jocks there, have to see how that change (if there is) affects these horses.  No lasix too in the 5th - 11th.

I'm not going to go nuts today!  tmbz1
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: bello on May 30, 2026, 12:37:27 PM
Good luck boys

CD

Race 1  dd p3 p5  27/348/59/twelve/167

Meadows

Race 1   dd p4  13/16/1/79
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 12:44:46 PM
Good luck boys

CD

Race 1  dd p3 p5  27/348/59/twelve/167

Meadows

Race 1   dd p4  13/16/1/79
You to mellow bello ;D
It makes me feel better you got the 12 singled in leg 4
That start at Keeneland was ultra impressive
My plan today is catch up on some outside work in between races at Churchill..
Then, get a fire going in my firepit..first one of the year
Finally a beautiful weekend here no rain
Then hot dogs and homemade chili
Sit around the fire this evening, full blue moon, a few cocktails, listen to some music and watch Mohawk
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Calhoun on May 30, 2026, 12:50:28 PM
r4
3-Bettys Pearl
gl
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: bello on May 30, 2026, 12:51:13 PM
You to mellow bello ;D
It makes me feel better you got the 12 singled in leg 4
That start at Keeneland was ultra impressive
My plan today is catch up on some outside work in between races at Churchill..
Then, get a fire going in my firepit..first one of the year
Finally a beautiful weekend here no rain
Then hot dogs and homemade chili
Sit around the fire this evening, full blue moon, a few cocktails, listen to some music and watch Mohawk

Good stuff...my  grand  babies coming over at 230 so ill likely have to run as well

Monmouth p5

Race 1  12/12/267/236/68
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Sweet on May 30, 2026, 01:16:43 PM
First hurdle with the 2 cleared, wheeew  ngc3

Good luck fellas!  ;D
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 01:29:04 PM
Only 2 good things about the 8 winning race 2
First, bello is still alive
Second I would get double the payout with 5 scratched and 8 being the ptf
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 01:32:04 PM
As promised.. pick 5 starting in race 3.. skipping the one starting in race 5
2,5,6,7,9,10/12/1,4-9/5/All
$147
$294 total
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Sweet on May 30, 2026, 01:44:26 PM
You fellas are off to a solid start  tmbz1

Here's my CD selects, my one Flam wager....back to studying Mohawk.  I shortened the horses used in the big verticals at CD, just too expensive.   Sought value.  ;D

CD
5 - 4,6
6 - 1,3,4,7
7 - 2,3,5
8 - 1,3,5
9 - 1,5
10 - 1,2,3,5
11 - 1,3,7,11

Flam
8 - 3 / 3,5 / 1,4,6,7,8

Churchill Downs                350.70
   Race 5    0.50    PK3    4+6 / 1+3+4+7 / 2+3+5    NaN.00
   Race 5    1.00    DBL    4+6 / 1+3+4+7    8.00
   Race 5    0.10    SPR    4+6 / 4+6 / 1+2+4+5+6+7+8+9 / 1+2+4+5+6+7+8+9    6.00
   Race 5    0.50    TRI    4+6 / 4+6 / 1+2+4+5+6+7+8+9    6.00
   Race 5    2.00    EX    BX+4+6    4.00
   Race 5    2.00    WIN    4+6    4.00
   Race 5    0.50    PK5    4+6 / 7 / 3 / 1+3+5 / 1+5    6.00
   Race 6    2.00    WIN    1+3+4+7    8.00
   Race 6    1.00    EX    BX+1+3+4+7    12.00
   Race 6    0.50    TRI    BX+1+3+4+7    12.00
   Race 6    0.50    PK3    1+3+4+7 / 2+3+5 / 1+3+5    18.00
   Race 6    1.00    DBL    1+3+4+7 / 2+3+5    12.00
   Race 6    0.10    SPR    BX+1+3+4+7    2.40
   Race 6    0.20    PK6    7 / 3 / 1+3+5 / 1+5 / 1+5 / 1+3+7+11    9.60
   Race 7    2.00    WIN    2+3+5    6.00
   Race 7    1.00    EX    BX+2+3+5    6.00
   Race 7    0.50    TRI    BX+2+3+5    3.00
   Race 7    0.20    SPR    2+3+5 / 2+3+5 / 2+3+5 / 2+3+4+5+6+7+8    4.80
   Race 7    1.00    DBL    2+3+5 / 1+3+5    9.00
   Race 7    0.50    PK3    2+3+5 / 1+3+5 / 1+3+5    13.50
   Race 7    0.50    PK5    3 / 1+3+5 / 1+5 / 1+5 / 7+11    12.00
   Race 8    2.00    WIN    1+5    4.00
   Race 8    1.00    EX    BX+1+3+5    6.00
   Race 8    0.50    TRI    BX+1+3+5    3.00
   Race 8    0.20    SPR    1+3+5 / 1+3+5 / 1+3+5 / 1+2+3+4+5+7    3.60
   Race 8    1.00    DBL    1+3+5 / 1+5    6.00
   Race 8    0.50    PK3    1+3+5 / 1+5 / 1+2+3+5    12.00
   Race 8    0.50    PK4    1+3+5 / 1+5 / 1+5 / 7+11    12.00
   Race 9    2.00    WIN    1+5    4.00
   Race 9    2.00    EX    BX+1+5    4.00
   Race 9    0.50    TRI    1+5 / 1+5 / 1+2+3+5+6+8+9    5.00
   Race 9    0.10    SPR    1+5 / 1+5 / 1+2+3+5+6+8+9 / 1+2+3+5+6+8+9    4.00
   Race 9    1.00    DBL    1+5 / 1+2+3+5    8.00
   Race 9    3.00    PK3    1+5 / 1+5 / 7+11    24.00
   Race 10    1.00    DBL    1+2+3+5 / 1+3+7+11    16.00
   Race 10    0.10    SPR    BX+1+2+3+5    2.40
   Race 10    0.50    TRI    BX+1+2+3+5    12.00
   Race 10    1.00    EX    BX+1+2+3+5    12.00
   Race 10    2.00    WIN    1+2+5    6.00
   Race 11    2.00    WIN    1+7+11    6.00
   Race 11    0.10    SPR    BX+1+3+7+11    2.40
   Race 11    0.50    TRI    BX+1+3+7+11    12.00
   Race 11    1.00    EX    BX+1+3+7+11    12.00


Flamboro Downs (H)                22.80
   Race 8    4.00    WIN    3    NaN.00
   Race 8    2.00    EX    BX+3+5    4.00
   Race 8    0.40    TRI    3+5 / 3+5 / 1+4+6+7+8    4.00
   Race 8    0.20    TRI    3+5 / 3+5 / 1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9    2.80
   Race 8    0.20    SPR    3+5 / 3+5 / 1+4+6+7+8 / 1+4+6+7+8    8.00
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: bello on May 30, 2026, 01:48:10 PM
CD race 5  p5  59/twelve/167/45/345
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Sweet on May 30, 2026, 02:04:02 PM
JT's CD early p5 and Bello's Monmouth early p5...doing well!  tmbz1

Now Calhoun has other plans than the 12, likes the 3....and can't we just delineate like JT, I do 1,2 is one two, 12, is twelve. F'ing comma hell but it works  ngc3
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: bello on May 30, 2026, 02:04:56 PM
Well you got the big chalk out of your p5  JT

I am only live at MTH  with 3 chalks coming in

Monmouth race 4  p5  236/38/2/127/348

Meadows race 5  p4   1/368/237/39
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 02:12:10 PM
Well you got the big chalk out of your p5  JT

I am only live at MTH  with 3 chalks coming in

Monmouth race 4  p5  236/38/2/127/348

Meadows race 5  p4   1/368/237/39
Good luck at Monmouth, I was pulling for the 9 in race 3.. gets rid of the chalk and keeps us both alive
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 02:18:25 PM
JT's CD early p5 and Bello's Monmouth early p5...doing well!  tmbz1

Now Calhoun has other plans than the 12, likes the 3....and can't we just delineate like JT, I do 1,2 is one two, 12, is twelve. F'ing comma hell but it works  ngc3
I like 3 as well..my 2nd choice in fact,but ya gotta throw in 2 singles for my system to work as it should
Like I said in the beginning of the thread, the 12 was the key to the whole afternoon.
If he wins I would need a bomb in the last leg to make it a winning ticket.
Sorry have to modify
When he wins.. ;D

Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 02:26:17 PM
Incoming will pays for bello at Monmouth.. ;D
Looks like a $36 ticket
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: Sweet on May 30, 2026, 02:28:46 PM
Late CD 4th race wagers...

    Race 4    1.00    EX    BX+3+4+12    NaN.00
   Race 4    1.00    EX    12 / 3+4    2.00
   Race 4    0.50    TRI    BX+3+4+12    3.00
   Race 4    0.50    TRI    12 / 3+4 / 3+4    1.00
   Race 4    0.10    SPR    3+4+12 / 3+4+12 / 3+4+12 / 1+3+4+5+6+7+8+10+12+13    4.20
   Race 4    0.10    SPR    12 / 3+4 / 3+4 / 1+3+4+5+6+7+8+10+12+13    1.40
   Race 4    1.00    DBL    3+4+12 / 4+6    6.00
   Race 4    1.00    DBL    12 / 4+6    2.00
   Race 4    0.50    PK3    3+4+12 / 4+6 / 3    3.00
Title: Re: Stephen Foster Preview Day at Churchill
Post by: JT on May 30, 2026, 02:31:09 PM
Good call Calhoun  tmbz1
Fuck you Gafflione going out that fast
I'd like to punch you in your giant fucking nose ngc3
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