HORSEPLOP.COM

General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 09:21:38 AM

Title: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 09:21:38 AM
Stakes races have not worked out well for me, and my virtual stables have been all cleared, and following Bello's lead yesterday, (and JT's previously), and just trying to run through a card was a good exercise and brought me back to the basics of handicapping and wagering.  Being 0/5 in the new order and still on a running month cooler previously though my budget has dropped significantly until I can show some consistent success.

I'm going to hit Pinocchio Down's today  ngc3, weather looks nice, expecting a FAST track.  Already handicapped the first few and getting back to the balance of that card this morning. 

Here are some of those selections, more to come, and wagers too.  Good Luck Everyone!  ;D

Pocono Downs At Mohegan Pennsylvania (Start 1:00pm, 14 races)

1 - 24763

2 - 467 any order

3 - 8/12/21



 
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: JT on September 08, 2025, 09:53:06 AM
Good luck today!! Great vacation so far tmbz1
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 10:05:05 AM
Good luck today!! Great vacation so far tmbz1

 tmbz1

Excellent, and a very deserving vacation!  I hope you both are enjoying every minute of it!  tmbz1

If you have to pay a little more, tip extra for cleaning, light damages to the bedroom area, don't think twice about it, just let y'all wild side come out  ngc3.  Beyond traveling, it's the main benefit for using someone else's bed!  ;D
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Grandstand Handicapper on September 08, 2025, 10:12:13 AM
Good luck today everyone!
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 11:03:15 AM
Pocono is offering Yummy Steaks.

Be here!
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: JT on September 08, 2025, 11:04:59 AM
tmbz1

Excellent, and a very deserving vacation!  I hope you both are enjoying every minute of it!  tmbz1

If you have to pay a little more, tip extra for cleaning, light damages to the bedroom area, don't think twice about it, just let y'all wild side come out  ngc3.  Beyond traveling, it's the main benefit for using someone else's bed!  ;D
We always tip the cleaning personnel.. even though where we stay, they don't service our room at all...which is a good thing. I'm also going to throw the maintenance guy who has been at this property 15 years 50 bucks.. when Hurricane Erin passed by here it moved 2 or 3 feet of sand into the parking area off of the beach. Him and a few others rebuilt the beach and did an amazing job... and yes it is a great benefit  ;D The wife and I celebrated our 23rd anniversary yesterday. The town we are in is Buxton NC. On Cape Hatteras.
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 11:55:57 AM
We always tip the cleaning personnel.. even though where we stay, they don't service our room at all...which is a good thing. I'm also going to throw the maintenance guy who has been at this property 15 years 50 bucks.. when Hurricane Erin passed by here it moved 2 or 3 feet of sand into the parking area off of the beach. Him and a few others rebuilt the beach and did an amazing job... and yes it is a great benefit  ;D The wife and I celebrated our 23rd anniversary yesterday. The town we are in is Buxton NC. On Cape Hatteras.

That's great, you both know as well as I do, you take care of people, they'll remember and take care of you and unfortunately we stand out which benefits us however shows how many cheap entitled slobs out there they have to deal with.

I had to look the town up, it's a beautiful, quaint seaside area.  Lot's of fresh Seafood restaurants look great, ice cream shops too, I'd be hitting all of them, Chilly Hank's, Happy Belly... ;D

The 23rd is called the Silver Plate Anniversary, so....

(https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRe2tXjMOWw7-C1g8_otp0YmEOm6tDUNoN5XQ&s)

Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 01:00:56 PM
Start with this:

Pocono Downs (H)                84.00
   Race 1    0.50    PK4    2+4+6+7 / 4+6+7 / 8 / 5+6    NaN.00
   Race 1    2.00    DBL    2+4+6+7 / 4+6+7    24.00
   Race 1    1.00    EX    BX+7 / 2+3+4+6    8.00
   Race 1    0.50    TRI    7 / 2+3+4+6 / 2+3+4+6    6.00
   Race 1    0.50    TRI    2+3+4+6 / 7 / 2+3+4+6    6.00
   Race 1    0.50    SPR    7 / 2+4+6 / 2+4+6 / 2+3+4+6    6.00
   Race 1    0.50    SPR    2+4+6 / 7 / 2+4+6 / 2+3+4+6    6.00
   Race 1    0.50    SPR    2+4 / 2+4 / 3+6+7 / 3+6+7    6.00
   Race 1    1.00    EX    7 / 1+8    2.00
   Race 1    4.00    WP    7    8.00
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:03:04 PM
Handicapped Finger Lakes and Pocono today.

Not sure how much Ill be indulging in Finger Lakes but in race 1

#2  Intriguing Jock change on #2 . Horse will be forwardly placed on the rail. My big issue is weak trainer

#5  obviously horse to beat

Pocono Race 1 

#2  Fastest mile on 08-09  followed by break and qualifier
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 01:05:18 PM
Handicapped Finger Lakes and Pocono today.

Not sure how much Ill be indulging in Finger Lakes but in race 1

#2  Intriguing Jock change on #2 . Horse will be forwardly placed on the rail. My big issue is weak trainer

#5  obviously horse to beat

Pocono Race 1 

#2  Fastest mile on 08-09  followed by break and qualifier

I just got through the first 4 races at Pinocchio.

FL is a no can do, I'm really sour on that place.

But I'm going to follow along boss!

Good Luck Bello!   ;D

 
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:08:29 PM
Allard doesnt leave. I knew I was done for.

Good luck in the dds and p4 trig.
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 01:10:45 PM
Allard doesnt leave. I knew I was done for.

Good luck in the dds and p4 trig.

Thanks  tmbz1

I can never figure the 1 and 8, Burke and his magic potions.  That's likely it today, just some individual race bets but I don't think anything past the 4th.
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 01:17:56 PM
We're off to a ouchy start but it's about the finishes  ngc3

Poconos

Race 2    1.00    EX    BX+4+6+7    6.00
   Race 2    0.50    TRI    BX+4+6+7    3.00
   Race 2    0.50    SPR    4+6+7 / 4+6+7 / 4+6+7 / 1+2+3+4+5+6+7    12.00
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:18:57 PM
In race 2 im boxing 26

I am hoping for a line up...One concern is why is Gnap off #2  . Was a bad ride in last but did Gnap chose off the the trainer elect a driver change,

#6 is very sharp but grinds to the lead so not the fastest out of the gate. Also hates to win so I am hoping 6 grinds to the top with #2 getting the trip behind him.

Will they follow the script?
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 01:24:52 PM
What a fucked up race.  Allard lets the 3 his cover back him out of the race, not even a thought of a 3 wide move on the backstretch.

Moving on, If Burke is in the race, just know he can make any horse go 5 seconds or so faster. 
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:26:14 PM
You got the dd and ex right?
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 01:30:24 PM
You got the dd and ex right?

Yes.  Minor spoils, and only alive with the 8 here in the p4, but as a saver I used him with the 1 & 2 evenly with my race bets.

Poconos

    Race 3    1.00    EX    BX+1+2+8    6.00
   Race 3    0.50    TRI    BX+1+2+8    3.00
   Race 3    0.50    SPR    1+2+8 / 1+2+8 / 1+2+8 / 1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8    15.00
   Race 3    2.00    WIN    1+2+8    6.00
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:31:33 PM
Pocono race 3 I came up with the #1. Laying off and rooting for #8 to keep trig alive in the p4

Finger Lakes

#6   Stable mate which would have been a huge favorite was scratced.
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: chester on September 08, 2025, 01:33:30 PM
race 3 #1 was off almost 2 years, like him alot with inside horses
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:35:11 PM
race 3 #1 was off almost 2 years, like him alot with inside horses

Welcome to the thread chester
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 01:39:14 PM
I didn't want to commit $36 to the p4 (use the 1 and 2 in leg 3), sorry I didn't, well next race will decide how sorry  ngc3
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:40:56 PM
race 3 #1 was off almost 2 years, like him alot with inside horses

There you go. At a huge 5-1. And I laid off like a dope
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: chester on September 08, 2025, 01:43:02 PM
thanks pal, been a long time member, but I don't post often.  May there be plenty of winners for all
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 01:45:32 PM
Not at all sorry I didn't play the p4 for $36, prices are lame!

Pinocchio

    Race 4    0.50    TRI    5+6 / 5+6 / 1+2+4+5+6+8    4.00
   Race 4    0.50    SPR    5+6 / 5+6 / 1+2+4+5+6+8 / 1+2+4+5+6+8    12.00
   Race 4    2.00    EX    BX+5+6    4.00
   Race 4    3.00    WIN    5+6    6.00
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: chester on September 08, 2025, 01:52:13 PM
5 big driver change ,not high on 6, 4 has been sharp from weak barn
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:53:18 PM
I wish they didnt make the driver change on the #1. Colin Kelly is an auto toss, Now I have to spend more $$$

Pocono Race 4

ex box  46

tri box 146

p3  46/3/5
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 01:59:09 PM
5 big driver change ,not high on 6, 4 has been sharp from weak barn

You were right about #6   all i needed him was for third. Some of Burke horses have been awful of late.

Boxed 146 in tris not exacta
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 02:01:20 PM
I wish they didnt make the driver change on the #1. Colin Kelly is an auto toss, Now I have to spend more $$$

Pocono Race 4

ex box  46

tri box 146

p3  46/3/5

Glad you're alive :)

I'm only here in a cheerleader capacity.

LOL one horse breaks and the other one is affected, shit show, Burke, fuck that...

Today is a L -$113.80.  Taking off the rest of the day today, and tomorrow for wagering.  0/6.

Go get em' Bello!  ;D 
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: chester on September 08, 2025, 02:02:03 PM
had the winner, but expected a better price
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 02:02:54 PM
had the winner, but expected a better price

 tmbz1

Nice work! 
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 02:04:19 PM
Need #3 Tyler Miller race 5 to stay alive
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: chester on September 08, 2025, 02:06:39 PM
goodluck, I SELDOM bet Tyler Miller, not playin here, but if the 1 trots hes tough
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 02:09:42 PM
goodluck, I SELDOM bet Tyler Miller, not playin here, but if the 1 trots hes tough

I agree but..........The breaks

Im getting a great price on #3. Likely the Tyler Miller factor
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 02:13:53 PM
So tyler breaks and the #1 stays flat. Brutal
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 02:18:12 PM
There have been lots of discussions on here about how bad Tyler Miller is. He just seems to get worse and worse. Take him away from the Cullipher horses at Tioga and he would never win. Speaking of Cullipher, I like him race 6
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: chester on September 08, 2025, 02:21:37 PM
AGREED! lines aren't great, but huge back class in CANADA
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: chester on September 08, 2025, 02:47:31 PM
Bells you still playin,  not bettin here
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 02:48:44 PM
Gotta go play grandpa 

Race 7  # 7

race 8 box 56

Race 9  #5

Race 10  p4  3/2/15/478

Been a pleasure fellas

Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 04:28:19 PM
Just got back

Race 13  going long with #8 to win  box 478  dd  478/5

Race 14  Love the #5
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 04:31:51 PM
Gotta go play grandpa 

Race 7  # 7

race 8 box 56

Race 9  #5

Race 10  p4  3/2/15/478

Been a pleasure fellas

That's some damn good handicapping there  tmbz1
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: SwankToliverA on September 08, 2025, 04:40:41 PM
We always tip the cleaning personnel.. even though where we stay, they don't service our room at all...which is a good thing. I'm also going to throw the maintenance guy who has been at this property 15 years 50 bucks.. when Hurricane Erin passed by here it moved 2 or 3 feet of sand into the parking area off of the beach. Him and a few others rebuilt the beach and did an amazing job... and yes it is a great benefit  ;D The wife and I celebrated our 23rd anniversary yesterday. The town we are in is Buxton NC. On Cape Hatteras.


Happy (belated) Anniversary to you and the Mrs!
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 04:53:22 PM

Happy (belated) Anniversary to you and the Mrs!

Do think JT is a go to the front or come from behind  ngc3

My guess is he's versatile, there is nothing he can't do and the misses is his inspiration, and he respects her, he better, she's Sicilian, that was a real horse's head in Woltz's bed.  ;D
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 05:36:41 PM
Get Ready for the Tuesday edition of NORTHFIELD NUGGETS.

I'll post until NORTHFIELD NAUSEA overcome me.
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 05:58:51 PM
Northfield Race 1
#5 Flamin Freddy ...5 time winner gets into this maiden race for trainer who does very well firsts time he gets a horse
#9  Vel Mr Captain ( means how you address the captain in Yiddish) could never get into the race from the second tier and had hidden pace

dd  59/48
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 06:20:49 PM
4 or 8 for the DD

#4 Jay Seaaside...Finall y gets a post he can work with. Should leave then yield for the trip to
#8 Spooky Lou...should be leaving strong for Merriman

p4  48/1/36/347
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 06:46:09 PM
Northfield Race 3

#1 Temperamental Shark...Indy shipper for barn that wins here with these types
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 07:11:37 PM
RaCE 4

#3  Improving young trotter should be heading right to the top
#6 Sir Lance...steppy last but will race much better Merriman for Massey

p3  36/347/47
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Grandstand Handicapper on September 08, 2025, 07:12:25 PM
Good luck all. Hope everyone is doing well!
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 07:33:55 PM
Thanks GH

Northfield race 5
 #3 #4 #7 Pickem
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 08:14:09 PM
Race 6
#7 Johnny Sack...should be leaving but Justin Irvin has not been able to get them out of the gate lately. He leaves softly to look for a spot. He needs to keep going here
#3 I have been watching Aaron and Bendis lose on favorites too many times of late


Too Expensive p5  37/15/39/13/2348
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 08:46:14 PM
Race 7

#5 Can beat the huge favorite if Gris wants to
#1 Huge fave...Aaron and the rail. A bit erratic but these is nothing in this field except 1 and 5
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: bello on September 08, 2025, 09:04:02 PM
Geez Gris is awfuk

Here is the rest. I dont want to interrupt all the drama here with selections

Race 8  9 win box 39   Dont forget p6 carryover

Race 9  3 win box 13  p3  13/2348/4

Race 10   headscratcher   2348   cant separate

Race 11 4 win p4  4/679/9/27

Race 12 6 win box 679  p3  679/9/27

Race 13  9 win

race 14 2 win box 27  dd  27/5

Race 15   5/123

Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: JT on September 08, 2025, 09:20:50 PM

Happy (belated) Anniversary to you and the Mrs!
Thanks so much Swank!!. My wife and I every year come down to Cape Hatteras for a week and then take the next week off for the LBJ.. where I get a vacation from my vacation lol.. 17days of no work..we live a 5 minute drive from the Delaware Ohio fairgrounds  ;D
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: JT on September 08, 2025, 09:25:55 PM
Do think JT is a go to the front or come from behind  ngc3

My guess is he's versatile, there is nothing he can't do and the misses is his inspiration, and he respects her, he better, she's Sicilian, that was a real horse's head in Woltz's bed.  ;D
I cannot lie.. pretty much everything you said Trig in this comment is true. ;D For a 51 year old man, I'm not to shabby. I am a lucky man and have an amazing wife. Very blessed
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 09:29:08 PM
I cannot lie.. pretty much everything you said Trig in this comment is true. ;D For a 51 year old man, I'm not to shabby. I am a lucky man and have an amazing wife. Very blessed

Do you both like ice cream?

It's a serious question as crazy as it sounds  ngc3
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: JT on September 08, 2025, 09:32:40 PM
Do you both like ice cream?

It's a serious question as crazy as it sounds  ngc3
That answer would be TMI ngc3
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 09:41:31 PM
That answer would be TMI ngc3

I'm working on your anniversary gift remotely, I want to call in a credit at Chilly's and Happy's tomorrow, and see which wins your taste test.  These people work from 1-9 and 2-9, great fucking hours!   

Can anyone make my life easy please?  ;D 
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: JT on September 08, 2025, 09:52:53 PM
I'm working on your anniversary gift remotely, I want to call in a credit at Chilly's and Happy's tomorrow, and see which wins your taste test.  These people work from 1-9 and 2-9, great fucking hours!   

Can anyone make my life easy please?  ;D
Not necessary my friend, but thank you tmbz1
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 09:55:55 PM
Not necessary my friend, but thank you tmbz1

I got scratched, why, and wtf  ngc3
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: JT on September 08, 2025, 10:00:09 PM
I got scratched, why, and wtf  ngc3
That is funny.. no man I seriously appreciate the thought and gesture..just my style. I do not like to be given things.. or be the center of any attention. Take that $ and win some more $.
Title: Re: Gambling Day VI, Monday, 9/8/25
Post by: Trigger on September 08, 2025, 10:21:03 PM
That is funny.. no man I seriously appreciate the thought and gesture..just my style. I do not like to be given things.. or be the center of any attention. Take that $ and win some more $.

I have no choice but to go to the highest paying wagers, that territory.  I think you and I will be banging heads soon lol. 

I can't grind.

I mean I had bad days where I bet 20 races and hit the last one and was in profit, or a an off week but this shit is unreal.

But betting 10-20 races and cashing in on 3-6 with significant returns i.e. several hundred % hasen't happened in a long while, since like Hambo week, early August.

Back maybe Wednesday, Thursday, I need to rest and regroup.  No rush.

Thanks bro for the encouragement!   tmbz1
SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2025, SimplePortal