HORSEPLOP.COM
General Category => Thoroughbred Racing => Topic started by: Trigger on August 13, 2025, 01:47:00 AM
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Hot as Hell at the SPA today, high 80's with a real feel of high 90's, very high humidity, the meteorologists have the sun, lightening and clouds on the day pic, but not likely to rain, or rain much to impact. The wind is like 2-5 mph, dead air, you can move more air around burping and farting. Stay in the A/C lol with a cold drink!
FAST & FIRM expected.
I'm going to of course pass on the that hurdling bullshit stakes as always, yuk, surprisingly also passing on the 8th race turf stakes. I want to stay on the dirt today and I chose the 4th race, six horse field an allowance Opt CL, $115k purse. Some of these won or placed in ungraded stakes, half are up for claim.
Other than this one race here at the SPA, a couple of horses I'm following at each the Red Mile (4th and 10th) & Hoosier (11th and 13th). So four races in harness and 5 total for the day.
I took Tuesday off, rested, ran errands. Squared up some business so I can focus on and enjoy the challenge of this too. 8 day losing streak as of Monday, saw nice rebates from wagering last week, over $300. I'll post when selections are made and wagered on, and before the races.
Good Luck! ;D
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A long time friend, Roys Mansur, has a horse (My Noble Knight) in the second race at The Spa Wednesday. I have no idea how the horse will do. I'm NOT touting it. But it has been a few years since I knew anyone personally who had one racing at Saratoga.
If the horse wins and anyone reading this is there, feel free to get in the winners circle photo. If you wish to remain anonymous, cover up half your face and raise a fist in the air so we know you are a plopster!
Here's your official invitation. I'm deputizing you to represent ;D
8/13/25
Post by roys » 08 Aug 2025 15:13
My horse - My Noble Knight is entered in the 2nd race at Saratoga. If we should get lucky and win, and you are there - you are invited to please get in the win photo.
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A long time friend, Roys Mansur, has a horse (My Noble Knight) in the second race at The Spa Wednesday. I have no idea how the horse will do. I'm NOT touting it. But it has been a few years since I knew anyone personally who had one racing at Saratoga.
If the horse wins and anyone reading this is there, feel free to get in the winners circle photo. If you wish to remain anonymous, cover up half your face and raise a fist in the air so we know you are a plopster!
Here's your official invitation. I'm deputizing you to represent ;D
8/13/25
Post by roys » 08 Aug 2025 15:13
My horse - My Noble Knight is entered in the 2nd race at Saratoga. If we should get lucky and win, and you are there - you are invited to please get in the win photo.
tmbz1
Cool people and great offer, nice to know there are fans of Plop.
Rooting for Mohawk Mac's and his Team's horse - My Noble Knight, now co-favorite in this 5 horse field! :)
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A long time friend, Roys Mansur, has a horse (My Noble Knight) in the second race at The Spa Wednesday. I have no idea how the horse will do. I'm NOT touting it. But it has been a few years since I knew anyone personally who had one racing at Saratoga.
If the horse wins and anyone reading this is there, feel free to get in the winners circle photo. If you wish to remain anonymous, cover up half your face and raise a fist in the air so we know you are a plopster!
Here's your official invitation. I'm deputizing you to represent ;D
8/13/25
Post by roys » 08 Aug 2025 15:13
My horse - My Noble Knight is entered in the 2nd race at Saratoga. If we should get lucky and win, and you are there - you are invited to please get in the win photo.
Good luck in the race!
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A lot of scratches today at the Spa resulting in some really short fields. Gonna try and make a few bucks today on the fuller fields.
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A lot of scratches today at the Spa resulting in some really short fields. Gonna try and make a few bucks today on the fuller fields.
I think NYRA wants to mitigate horse (injury / death) related controversy during this meet and are extra focuses which is great. Non weather related tons of scratches more than normal mean they're probably seeking to be extra precautious when it comes to horses getting injured, dying on the track, as it is pretty hot too.
You look for larger fields I look to embrace the small ones with cold numbers lol.
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race 1--steeplechase event
#7 Carloun for trainer/jump specialist Keri Brion.....she knows how to get one ready
Carloun went off 2/1 vs a much tougher field-should like this group
her horse wont be short or need a race .... the question is not falling down...i expect a solid effort currently only 9/2
good luck to everyone today
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I've got $278.30 in live wagers with 3 races.
The two races at Red the Mile ($230.80):
(200) 4 - 8/13456/all
(400) 10 - 1/2367/all
SPA ($47.50)
(225) 4 - 52 / 25 at half speed and #1 and all for 3rd and 4th positions! ;D
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A long time friend, Roys Mansur, has a horse (My Noble Knight) in the second race at The Spa Wednesday. I have no idea how the horse will do. I'm NOT touting it. But it has been a few years since I knew anyone personally who had one racing at Saratoga.
If the horse wins and anyone reading this is there, feel free to get in the winners circle photo. If you wish to remain anonymous, cover up half your face and raise a fist in the air so we know you are a plopster!
Here's your official invitation. I'm deputizing you to represent ;D
8/13/25
Post by roys » 08 Aug 2025 15:13
My horse - My Noble Knight is entered in the 2nd race at Saratoga. If we should get lucky and win, and you are there - you are invited to please get in the win photo.
Good Luck! He should handle that field especially with the scratch of the 3
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Huge p6 carryover at Spa today!
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DRIVER CHANGE RACE 2 AT RED MILE
DEXTERS BROTHER JOHN DUNN DRIVING BIG FARITE #7 IN RACE 2
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Hello boys.. 2 tickets for me today..
Finger pick 5
1,3,5,6/1,2,3,6/3/2/All
$64 bucks.. yes I know the 1st race already went off..I am trying to work after all ;D..looks like it's off to a good start
Spa Pick 5
5,6/2,4,5,6,7,9/All/2,7/5
$72 bucks
Good luck today everyone!!
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DRIVER CHANGE RACE 2 AT RED MILE
DEXTERS BROTHER JOHN DUNN DRIVING BIG FARITE #7 IN RACE 2
He's part owner. Didn't see the race live, just the outcome, 2nd at 3/5, yikes!
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He's part owner. Didn't see the race live, just the outcome, 2nd at 3/5, yikes!
Now upon the replay I bet they're sorry for that move.
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Hello boys.. 2 tickets for me today..
Finger pick 5
1,3,5,6/1,2,3,6/3/2/All
$64 bucks.. yes I know the 1st race already went off..I am trying to work after all ;D..looks like it's off to a good start
Spa Pick 5
5,6/2,4,5,6,7,9/All/2,7/5
$72 bucks
Good luck today everyone!!
Good start...Great start at 96z.p Lakes, LOL!
Good Luck Buddy! ;D
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Easy sneezy in the Lakes 2nd! tmbz1
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dABBLING AT sPA TODAY dd 6-3 p3 6-3-5 p5 6-3-5-2-1 Race 3 is the key. #3 Mom was a very good horse
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dABBLING AT sPA TODAY dd 6-3 p3 6-3-5 p5 6-3-5-2-1 Race 3 is the key. #3 Mom was a very good horse
Cold #s, a real man with king kong size balls! tmbz1
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Nice win by the 6, Congratulations! might be an inquiry / objection because of the 6bump3 in stretch, but the 3 lost by a ton, no factor, wish the 5 finished second just in case.
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Nice win by the 6, Congratulations! might be an inquiry / objection because of the 6bump3 in stretch, but the 3 lost by a ton, no factor, wish the 5 finished second just in case.
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Nada, Official! tmbz1
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Damn bello 5 singles, that would be a crazy hit, you got the first tmbz1
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Bonus bet
Horseshoe Indiana Pick 5
1,2,4,5/2,3,5/2,5,6/5/1,3,6,7
$72 beans
Total investment with all 3 pick 5's..$208
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Bonus bet
Horseshoe Indiana Pick 5
1,2,4,5/2,3,5/2,5,6/5/1,3,6,7
$72 beans
Total investment with all 3 pick 5's..$208
11bux to start there, and the tri, nice! tmbz1
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FL 3rd #3 home for JT very easy, one race and an all to go there, WOW! tmbz1
JT might start affecting the odds at the track if his pix get out! ngc3
It's true! ;D
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Spa 3rd nice work JT, need a long one next with the breather.
Sorry Bello!
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Big race coming up at the Finger.. if this 2 can get home, chance at a very nice payout because of what happened in race 1
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Big race coming up at the Finger.. if this 2 can get home, chance at a very nice payout because of what happened in race 1
Yup!
Nice call tossing the heavy fav 6 at HI 2nd, 2 down! tmbz1
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Fix was in FL 4th, #2 looked running while asleep, the other way they fix! :P
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Fix was in FL 4th, #2 looked running while asleep, the other way they fix! :P
Sliver of hope at the Lakes:
(4 of 5) $272.00 #6
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Not this time at the Finger.. should have alled race 4 and singled the 7 in race 5.. curious what the payouts will be. Its all good, alive and kicking in 2 of them
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Sliver of hope at the Lakes:
(4 of 5) $272.00 #6
Go #6 lol
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Go #6 lol
:)
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Red Mile 4th finished 4th, no.
SPA 2nd liked the 5 to win liked the 1 for 3rd, #2 didn't fulfill the game plan ngc3
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Hard to like the 6 in the SPA 4th who finished 2nd, looked like the owner bailed, private sale, same trainer, and new owner looked low on $, poor owner %'s / $ won too but they brought the horse back right.
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I like my new job, I mainly circle JT's winners after the race, rarely make an x. I get to sleep in between races most the day! ngc3
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You watch FL 4th again head on, the #2 fell asleep in the gate, was drugged, took tremendous urging to get the horse up to the pack and then whipping profusely to make it look good, unless the jockey was shocked too. Drugged!
They took the 2 and 3 out of the equation boxed the other five horses in exactas and tris, go the wp too if they wanted. Tough life fixing races ngc3
$2 EXACTA 5/4 $229.00
$0.50 TRIFECTA 5/4/6 $310.75
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#5 makes it three in for JT at HI! tmbz1
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Not this time at the Finger.. should have alled race 4 and singled the 7 in race 5.. curious what the payouts will be. Its all good, alive and kicking in 2 of them
God I hate being right in that instance $2,600. I'll get a good one there soon. tmbz1 At least I hit a win ticket on the 7. ;D
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God I hate being right in that instance $2,600. I'll get a good one there soon. tmbz1 At least I hit a win ticket on the 7. ;D
That was smart as he and the 2 were the favs in the p5, 4-1 is cool!
SPA #7 what a fight, 11 if he stays up exacta either way, incidental contatc the #2 was wrong anyway, now to close with the #5 singled in the 6th. GL! tmbz1
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Nada, Official! tmbz1
I stick to harness racing mostly these days. I watch all the triple crown races but only bet the Derby and Breeder's Cup day. Used to do OK betting Chicago T-bred tracks in the glory years of Arlington.
My only bet today was a token gesture J Ortiz double. I'm sure Roys is very happy with My Noble Knight tmbz1
Aug 13th 2025SAR - R2$2.00Daily Double
11:34 AM6 / 4
Payout Total:$20.20
BET TOTAL:$2.00
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That was smart as he and the 2 were the favs in the p5, 4-1 is cool!
SPA #7 what a fight, 11 if he stays up exacta either way, incidental contatc the #2 was wrong anyway, now to close with the #5 singled in the 6th. GL! tmbz1
#5 6th race p5 potential payoff $311.75
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I stick to harness racing mostly these days. I watch all the triple crown races but only bet the Derby and Breeder's Cup day. Used to do OK betting Chicago T-bred tracks in the glory years of Arlington.
My only bet today was a token gesture J Ortiz double. I'm sure Roys is very happy with My Noble Knight tmbz1
Aug 13th 2025SAR - R2$2.00Daily Double
11:34 AM6 / 4
Payout Total:$20.20
BET TOTAL:$2.00
Well done Mac
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That was smart as he and the 2 were the favs in the p5, 4-1 is cool!
SPA #7 what a fight, 11 if he stays up exacta either way, incidental contatc the #2 was wrong anyway, now to close with the #5 singled in the 6th. GL! tmbz1
Nice exacta in spa race# 5 with th 2 and 7
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Indiana is cooked. My single the 5 in race 4 ran 2nd..Spa is my only hope now.. I wish I was spread out more, I used the all button in race 4 trying to beat the 5 and he romped
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Indiana is cooked. My single the 5 in race 4 ran 2nd..Spa is my only hope now.. I wish I was spread out more, I used the all button in race 4 trying to beat the 5 and he romped
Well done on the SPA pick 5 and profit for the day pal! hvc.1
My phone blew up, and I got to watch my 1 Red Mile 10th go off stride.
2 left at Hoosier tonight I have to study!
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Well done on the SPA pick 5 and profit for the day pal! hvc.1
My phone blew up, and I got to watch my 1 Red Mile 10th go off stride.
2 left at Hoosier tonight I have to study!
JT the mitigating / insurance strategy for SPA race 6, was a sizeable place bet on the 5 for if he got beat, he doesn't, you win either way, paid $4.20 to place. There are multiple strategies you can deploy for these type situations, it's a whole separate territory of thought process.
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JT the mitigating / insurance strategy for SPA race 6, was a sizeable place bet on the 5 for if he got beat, he doesn't, you win either way, paid $4.20 to place. There are multiple strategies you can deploy for these type situations, it's a whole separate territory of thought process.
Yes there is.. usually don't place win, place or show bets..I just had a feeling..You are absolutely correct about a place bet in that scenario..having a single in the last leg, if it's not a massive favorite. Like I had told you the other day, I do a daily autopsy in the morning before I do that days card. What went right and wrong. I've made a few adjustments over the last few days after Saturday night.. mainly using the all button and little less so the pick 5 ticket amount is a little smaller and using that extra $ for exotics. So far so good, knock on wood, but I am also getting extremely lucky.
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Yes there is.. usually don't place win, place or show bets..I just had a feeling..You are absolutely correct about a place bet in that scenario..having a single in the last leg, if it's not a massive favorite. Like I had told you the other day, I do a daily autopsy in the morning before I do that days card. What went right and wrong. I've made a few adjustments over the last few days after Saturday night.. mainly using the all button and little less so the pick 5 ticket amount is a little smaller and using that extra $ for exotics. So far so good, knock on wood, but I am also getting extremely lucky.
"Autopsy"! ngc3
Maybe you get into the Plop hof ngc3, regardless science is going to want your BRAIN! ngc3
Very smart, intuitive, a permutation machine - that brain though - you'll be handicapping races forever, I'll make sure of it if I survive you! ngc3
Nice job today JT - knock wood!! ;D
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"Autopsy"! ngc3
Maybe you get into the Plop hof ngc3, regardless science is going to want your BRAIN! ngc3
Very smart, intuitive, a permutation machine - that brain though - you'll be handicapping races forever, I'll make sure of it if I survive you! ngc3
Nice job today JT - knock wood!! ;D
Yeah I know it's funny but autopsy is what I call it..because more times then not that's what it is...you know as well as I do that you gotta put the previous day, good or bad behind you before having full attention for that days selections, budget, etc..and yes I will be handicapping races every day as long as the good Lord let's me
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Yeah I know it's funny but autopsy is what I call it..because more times then not that's what it is...you know as well as I do that you gotta put the previous day, good or bad behind you before having full attention for that days selections, budget, etc..and yes I will be handicapping races every day as long as the good Lord let's me
As much as I want to run from bad days, I call your Autopsy, Rewinding. It's true, part of what we do. Actually going back into the form and reflecting back on each winner of the day's card would be ideal if I had the time, and if not the time the stamina.
Funny thing when you said Autopsy, I realized you do have a special mind, I wasn't joking about donating it to science! Creepy yeh, but we live and what ever we leave behind that's all life is! You're gifted, and the proof is in the pudding, those results!
Those 4/5 days you had on that mini losing streak I'm like that guy is really good, even when it doesn't work! ;D
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$278.30 downtown for the day and ain't coming home! :P
Now $300 for the last four races at Hoooooosieeeeer - did all the multi leg wagers there for these and individual race wagers too! tmbz1
11 - 7 / 2356
12 - 5678
13 - 1 / 456
14 - 1 4 7 8 10
See ya later! ;D
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RI - Hoosier Park (H) - R11 - $15
+$369.95
1st: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
2nd: 7
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Bets (30) Amount: $0.50 Total: $15
EX - Hoosier Park (H) - R11 - $12
+$58.10
Exacta Key Box
1st: 7
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Bets (12) Amount: $1 Total: $12
Status: Won $58.10
WP - Hoosier Park (H) - R11 - $40
+$44.00
1st: 7
Bets (2) Amount: $20 Total: $40
Placed At: 08-13-2025 5:50 PM
Status: Won $44.00
About $472 back! ;D
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RI - Hoosier Park (H) - R11 - $15
+$369.95
1st: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
2nd: 7
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Bets (30) Amount: $0.50 Total: $15
EX - Hoosier Park (H) - R11 - $12
+$58.10
Exacta Key Box
1st: 7
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Bets (12) Amount: $1 Total: $12
Status: Won $58.10
WP - Hoosier Park (H) - R11 - $40
+$44.00
1st: 7
Bets (2) Amount: $20 Total: $40
Placed At: 08-13-2025 5:50 PM
Status: Won $44.00
About $472 back! ;D
He's baaaaaack!! Keep it rolling tmbz1
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He's baaaaaack!! Keep it rolling tmbz1
Thanks JT tmbz1
LUCPARK's beautiful horse.
3 weeks in a row.
A 1st, 2nd and 2nd.
The first week I hit very nice the p4 with LUCPARK / ALL / POLISH JOLA / ALL, and a bunch of other stuff. Because it was those 2 Plopper's horses it had it's own thread in harness.
Last week Gina, and I just knew the horse she was going to run with, Tammy lol.
This week these were just the wp and saver bets but she hung on.
I love her! ;D
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Went another $72 in the last race, didn't happen.
Total loss on the day -$105.55. Off yesterday. -$340 Monday.
My avg daily loses have dropped significantly! ngc3
See ya soon! ;D