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General Category => Thoroughbred Racing => Topic started by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 07:07:37 AM

Title: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 07:07:37 AM
Seems like forever, yet here we are, back at the SPA!

Weather looks beautiful, a bit humid, DIRT track should be FAST and TURF course should be FIRM if the forecast weather holds.  But ya never know, keep an eye on the weather, Saratoga Springs is a tricky one.

Speaking of Tricky, I'm wagering $284 on Race 8, The Johnstone $150k stakes, centered on a horse, #11 named Tricky Temper.  DD's from the 7th with her, in the 8th DD's with her WP, heck even Show, ex, tr, sup rev with 1245678, exx w/all.

Why would I do such a thing.  Does the horse like the 7 furlongs, nope.  Does the horse like the outside post, not particularly.  Can the horse win without lasix, sure she can lose and win with and without lasix and Jose Ortiz too.

This race is filled with real contenders, she's a 6f sprinter at best, not really one of them, the others can and win at this distance and even longer with much higher speed ratings.

So why did you bet this cunty, sounds like she's going to fuck you and not in a nice way?  ngc3

Because Joel Rosario cheated with her the last race after a 6 1/2 month layoff.  He never touched her, nor urged her one bit, nothing, like a statue - both replays, pan and head on.  Now 2nd race off layoff trainer is 26% win, 56% itm.  Good Luck!   ;D

These are my wagers, $284 worth on #11 Tricky Temper, 15- ML:

DBL - Saratoga - R7 - $13
   
Race 7: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13
   
Race 8: 11
Bets (13) Amount: $1 Total: $13

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:34 AM
DBL - Saratoga - R8 - $10
   
Race 8: 11
   
Race 9: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
Bets (10) Amount: $1 Total: $10

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:34 AM
WP - Saratoga - R8 - $100
   
1st: 11
Bets (2) Amount: $50 Total: $100

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:35 AM
EX - Saratoga - R8 - $20
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 11
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
Bets (20) Amount: $1 Total: $20

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:35 AM
EX - Saratoga - R8 - $28
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 11
   
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (14) Amount: $2 Total: $28

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:35 AM

TRI - Saratoga - R8 - $21
   
1st: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
2nd: 11
   
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (42) Amount: $0.50 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:36 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R8 - $21
   
1st: 11
   
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
4th: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (210) Amount: $0.10 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:37 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R8 - $21
   
1st: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
2nd: 11
   
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
4th: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (210) Amount: $0.10 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:37 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R8 - $21
   
1st: 11
   
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (42) Amount: $0.50 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:39 AM
SHW - Saratoga - R8 - $29
   
1st: 11
Bets (1) Amount: $29 Total: $29

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:44 AM   
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 12:54:35 PM
Seems like forever, yet here we are, back at the SPA!

Weather looks beautiful, a bit humid, DIRT track should be FAST and TURF course should be FIRM if the forecast weather holds.  But ya never know, keep an eye on the weather, Saratoga Springs is a tricky one.

Speaking of Tricky, I'm wagering $284 on Race 8, The Johnstone $150k stakes, centered on a horse, #11 named Tricky Temper.  DD's from the 7th with her, in the 8th DD's with her WP, heck even Show, ex, tr, sup rev with 1245678, exx w/all.

Why would I do such a thing.  Does the horse like the 7 furlongs, nope.  Does the horse like the outside post, not particularly.  Can the horse win without lasix, sure she can lose and win with and without lasix and Jose Ortiz too.

This race is filled with real contenders, she's a 6f sprinter at best, not really one of them, the others can and win at this distance and even longer with much higher speed ratings.

So why did you bet this cunty, sounds like she's going to fuck you and not in a nice way?  ngc3

Because Joel Rosario cheated with her the last race after a 6 1/2 month layoff.  He never touched her, nor urged her one bit, nothing, like a statue - both replays, pan and head on.  Now 2nd race off layoff trainer is 26% win, 56% itm.  Good Luck!   ;D

These are my wagers, $284 worth on #11 Tricky Temper, 15- ML:

DBL - Saratoga - R7 - $13
   
Race 7: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13
   
Race 8: 11
Bets (13) Amount: $1 Total: $13

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:34 AM
DBL - Saratoga - R8 - $10
   
Race 8: 11
   
Race 9: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
Bets (10) Amount: $1 Total: $10

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:34 AM
WP - Saratoga - R8 - $100
   
1st: 11
Bets (2) Amount: $50 Total: $100

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:35 AM
EX - Saratoga - R8 - $20
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 11
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
Bets (20) Amount: $1 Total: $20

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:35 AM
EX - Saratoga - R8 - $28
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 11
   
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (14) Amount: $2 Total: $28

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:35 AM

TRI - Saratoga - R8 - $21
   
1st: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
2nd: 11
   
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (42) Amount: $0.50 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:36 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R8 - $21
   
1st: 11
   
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
4th: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (210) Amount: $0.10 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:37 AM
SPR - Saratoga - R8 - $21
   
1st: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
2nd: 11
   
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
4th: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (210) Amount: $0.10 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:37 AM
TRI - Saratoga - R8 - $21
   
1st: 11
   
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
   
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Bets (42) Amount: $0.50 Total: $21

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:39 AM
SHW - Saratoga - R8 - $29
   
1st: 11
Bets (1) Amount: $29 Total: $29

Placed At: 07-30-2025 6:44 AM   

Because of the scratches (8th-1,3,6,9) I changed all my wagers with the exception of the DD's - Total wagered $263:

EX - Saratoga - R8 - $12
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 11
   
2nd: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
Bets (12) Amount: $1 Total: $12

Placed At: 07-30-2025 12:45 PM
TRI - Saratoga - R8 - $15
   
1st: 11
   
2nd: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
   
3rd: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
Bets (30) Amount: $0.50 Total: $15

Placed At: 07-30-2025 12:47 PM
TRI - Saratoga - R8 - $15
   
1st: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
   
2nd: 11
   
3rd: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
Bets (30) Amount: $0.50 Total: $15

Placed At: 07-30-2025 12:47 PM
SPR - Saratoga - R8 - $12
   
1st: 11
   
2nd: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
   
3rd: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
   
4th: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
Bets (120) Amount: $0.10 Total: $12

Placed At: 07-30-2025 12:47 PM
SPR - Saratoga - R8 - $12
   
1st: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
   
2nd: 11
   
3rd: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
   
4th: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
Bets (120) Amount: $0.10 Total: $12

Placed At: 07-30-2025 12:47 PM
EX - Saratoga - R8 - $24
Exacta Key Box    
1st: 11
   
2nd: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
Bets (12) Amount: $2 Total: $24

Placed At: 07-30-2025 12:49 PM
WPS - Saratoga - R8 - $150
   
1st: 11
Bets (3) Amount: $50 Total: $150

Placed At: 07-30-2025 12:49 PM
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: JT on July 30, 2025, 12:55:27 PM
Good luck Trigger

Spa Pick 5: All/3,6/6/2,4,6,7/1,2,4,8,9..$80 clams
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 01:02:19 PM
Good luck Trigger

Spa Pick 5: All/3,6/6/2,4,6,7/1,2,4,8,9..$80 clams

Good Luck JT!
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: JT on July 30, 2025, 01:03:03 PM
Bonus bet: Finger Lakes Pick 5...
2,4,6,7/1,2,6/1/1,3,5,7/4,5...$48 donuts

I played the late pick 5 there yesterday and just missed what was a $16,000 payout. I lost by a nose in leg 4. Appropriately enough my single who on in leg 2 or 3 was named Mister JT.
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 02:11:59 PM
Bonus bet: Finger Lakes Pick 5...
2,4,6,7/1,2,6/1/1,3,5,7/4,5...$48 donuts

I played the late pick 5 there yesterday and just missed what was a $16,000 payout. I lost by a nose in leg 4. Appropriately enough my single who on in leg 2 or 3 was named Mister JT.

Fucking horror show JT.

We're mature investors and I'd like to think that then just saying gamblers, we have a plan, and we do the heavy lifting - studying, we take are lumps, and are virtually emotion free, either way. 

It doesn't always work out, but there is something about an all at the end of these multi-legs that give me comfort in thought, but again each situation dictates.

It's more your gig, I'm doing stakes primarily but when I can string together a bunch of those stakes, have horses and situations being followed I'll be there doing dd-p6 with ya. 
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 02:39:20 PM
Good luck Trigger

Spa Pick 5: All/3,6/6/2,4,6,7/1,2,4,8,9..$80 clams

Double digit longshot to start in a 4 horse field lol, then you have the exacta...FL might of derailed but so far so very good here! 
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: JT on July 30, 2025, 02:39:52 PM
Fucking horror show JT.

We're mature investors and I'd like to think that then just saying gamblers, we have a plan, and we do the heavy lifting - studying, we take are lumps, and are virtually emotion free, either way. 

It doesn't always work out, but there is something about an all at the end of these multi-legs that give me comfort in thought, but again each situation dictates.

It's more your gig, I'm doing stakes primarily but when I can string together a bunch of those stakes, have horses and situations being followed I'll be there doing dd-p6 with ya.
Yeah that was rough there yesterday. I had the 7 in leg 4 and 1 just got him at the wire. They were the similar odds so similar payout. It was leg 4 i went out in. I won leg 5 by a whisker. I like to spread in leg 5 for sure
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: JT on July 30, 2025, 02:41:10 PM
Double digit longshot to start in a 4 horse field lol, then you have the exacta...FL might of derailed but so far so very good here!
Yeah I need the pick 3 to be 6,6,6 68xv.2
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 02:52:51 PM
Yeah I need the pick 3 to be 6,6,6 68xv.2

There's backing up your bets - Let's get it home!   ;D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=emjLXdsj6xA
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: JT on July 30, 2025, 02:59:59 PM
Finger lakes late pick 5
1,3,5/4,5/3,4,6,8/1/5,6,7,8.. $48 bucks
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: JT on July 30, 2025, 03:27:39 PM
Spa late pick 5
2,4,6,7/1,2,4,8,9/1,2,7/5,8,11/2
$90 one dollar bills

So $170 invested at the Spa and $96 at the Finger.. Let's see what happens.
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: JT on July 30, 2025, 03:40:49 PM
Spa late pick 5
2,4,6,7/1,2,4,8,9/1,2,7/5,8,11/2
$90 one dollar bills

So $170 invested at the Spa and $96 at the Finger.. Let's see what happens.
Lost them all.. bummer
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 04:13:00 PM
Lost them all.. bummer

Sux, but try to keep backing up the work with dd, p3, possibly some exotics..  It mitigates if you're close.  If you're off of course it compounds as it gets expensive.

I have faith in you to figure out what works, adjustments etc... tmbz1
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: JT on July 30, 2025, 04:14:48 PM
Sux, but try to keep backing up the work with dd, p3, possibly some exotics..  It mitigates if you're close.  If you're off of course it compounds as it gets expensive.

I have faith in you to figure out what works, adjustments etc... tmbz1
I always back my pick 5's up.. I just don't have time to post all that info while working  ;D
With a single I'll key on top.. With 2 choices box the exacta, three choices box or key a tri etc..
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 04:20:26 PM
I always back my pick 5's up.. I just don't have time to post all that info while working  ;D

Bro, post what you like, your word is solid, you say it I, others too, believe it.

And there isn't enough time for sure, just taking my vitamins now and at 6 or so I'll have my breakfast!   ;D
Title: Re: SPA Wednesday, Day XV, July 30, 2025
Post by: Trigger on July 30, 2025, 05:29:24 PM
SPA Race 8 - Produced @$450 profit.

These are sprinters and they got away with a 23+ 1st quarter, lol, they shut the 8 out, and moved the 11 in as she left as they planned, dead as a doornail last race, today leaving and actually running good enough for 2nd at 7f and not her cup of tea.  I'll take it!

Some shady shit if you're watching closely!  ;D
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