Author Topic: What are the best past performance forms?  (Read 601 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Papillon

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 2516
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #15 on: Today at 03:05:39 PM »
If you don't know what a numper is then you should be banded.

 ngc3

or be placed on "eggnore"

Trigger

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 6539
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #16 on: Today at 03:07:17 PM »
If you don't know what a numper is then you should be banded.

I want the rag and be filthy stinking of ink  ngc3

I want to go back!

So many great memories, replaced by so many complaints  ngc3

Trigger

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 6539
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #17 on: Today at 03:08:10 PM »
ngc3

or be placed on "eggnore"

 ngc3

I like Cahloun's IGGY, to each their own.   ;D

PIGLAND

  • Living Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 165145
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #18 on: Today at 05:11:08 PM »
ngc3

or be placed on "eggnore"
agree

PIGLAND

  • Living Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 165145
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #19 on: Today at 05:12:22 PM »
If you don't know what a numper is then you should be banded.
tha k you

PIGLAND

  • Living Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 165145
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #20 on: Today at 05:13:18 PM »
not to mention I intentionally typed "numper"
spelled our way

PIGLAND

  • Living Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 165145
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #21 on: Today at 05:14:50 PM »
this is actually an excellent topic to start a thread about




we all have our own opinions and methods we use as far as past performances go....having said that I have a very unpopular view of the most revered, famous tool used by most--the Beyer figure

the most over rated, over hyped, subjective number out there is the Beyer fig--but many are completely obsessed by it

Beyer numpers do not take into account what "path" a horse has taken, how much ground was covered/lost during the running of the race. Two people, Randy Moss(the bald white guy not the GOAT wide receiver) and Dick Jerardi(local philly college basketball beat writer) perform most of the Beyers nationwide--and they are not objective--they make up numpers based on if they like/dislike a horse

I can vividly recall California Chrome and Zenyatta--two of the most popular horses that the pom pom waving Cali media ever saw--having points arbitrarily added to their races, because the fans liked them. One race Chrome won--the fans were very upset that the number assigned wasn't high enough for them--so Andy Beyer himself instructed his minions to freely add 10 points to his race a month after the race was run--to satisfy his fans and popularity.
The same was done with Zenyatta a couple of times

now I can appreciate that "fan popularity" is important to the success of the sport--as the game needs heroes--but to add numpers without merit to popular horses is not what I consider objective-but then again I am not from California.

the Beyer numpers has made many fans/bettors/handicappers simply flat out lazy--instead of really digging into the data--they just obsessively stare at that "bolded" numper in the DRF.... its faster, easier and doesn't require much work or skill--but most are of the belief the numper is scientific, which is completely misguided thinking. ...the DRF makes millions off the lazy people who blindly believe that numper
i agree,yes they are numpers

PIGLAND

  • Living Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 165145
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #22 on: Today at 05:18:39 PM »
avree with most all sports eye was the best,now i use drf harness eye does anyone know if they have a results pageuse for daily harness eye,with chartwd lines?

PIGLAND

  • Living Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 165145
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #23 on: Today at 05:21:02 PM »
Saratogo has had good handle this year

Rdp066

  • Top Claimer
  • ***
  • Posts: 151
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #24 on: Today at 06:46:37 PM »
Grandma grammar is back ngc3

Remember when I drilled over your posts for grammar and spelling...you took a hiatus from the shame...it's a chat room dick head, interpret...or don't hang out with us illiterates.

Your Mensa chat room awaits you, you old prolapsed whiny anus  ngc3

Such a low self esteem to seek out ticky tack bullshit and insult.  ;D

I had a wager with my friend that the ultimate douche bag, Trigger, would comment on my post and I won.  Just a washed up piece of shit with nothing in his life but an internet message board to keep him occupied.  So very sad an existence to be you.  I picture a decriped lonely waste product waiting to respond to every fucking post on this board.  Time to get a real life and an education if possible at your age old man.

Trigger

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 6539
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #25 on: Today at 06:53:02 PM »
I had a wager with my friend that the ultimate douche bag, Trigger, would comment on my post and I won.  Just a washed up piece of shit with nothing in his life but an internet message board to keep him occupied.  So very sad an existence to be you.  I picture a decriped decrepit lonely waste product waiting to respond to every fucking post on this board.  Time to get a real life and an education if possible at your age old man.

How much did you win betting on me grandma gwandma grammar?  ngc3

You have a friend?  ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3

Ok, sure!  ;D

Calhoun

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 15528
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #26 on: Today at 07:28:02 PM »
I had a wager with my friend that the ultimate douche bag, Trigger, would comment on my post and I won.

Easy Money

Calhoun

  • Elite
  • ******
  • Posts: 15528
Re: What are the best past performance forms?
« Reply #27 on: Today at 08:33:51 PM »
I've been working on a project for tbreds.

Using Equibase data that generates the Past Performance Running Line Preview chart below the detailed chart for each race in the Full Charts section.

For each race, I'm generating a line graph. One line per horse.  Each horse assigned a different line color. Leftmost data point X axis is first call. So on, until the rightmost which is finish. Y axis is lengths behind leader (or leader "by" lengths)

So you have a line graph with i.e., 10 lines depicting - left to right - the running of the race.

On a day with a speed bias, you'll see more of the top finishers at the top of the entire chart.

On a day with an anti-speed bias, you'll see more of the top finishers start at/toward the bottom left and finishing at/near the top.

I find this a very useful visual

In reviewing one card of charts, the optimal result is finding a very small number of horses that ran well against whatever bias there was.

Now a lot of races fall apart on the front and the finishers just passed tired horses.  Or the LAte Pace types were just trash and were never going to run well in any scenario.  So while useful, limited.  Plus defining track bias is very subjective.

So some of these horses are your first cut and go into virtual stable.  Then you look for return race with a better pace/trip set up. 

I've chosen Turfway because I want Synth (fewer shippers) and large fields.  When Turfway ends, Woodbine starts.

I've worked through the prior two meets at Turfway and am still learning. About 40 hours in and at least that much more work to do.

I think its a fools errand but I've seen some very positive things.

I'll probably get bored and quit.

 

shout out

Refresh History
  • Sound off !
  • Trigger: VEEP acts like he's got a wicked hemmaroid & Speaker looks like Howdy Doody! ;D
    Today at 09:20:20 PM
  • Trigger: Al Green removed again from the SOTU - holding sign - "Black people aren't apes" - I love that dude!  ngc3
    Today at 09:17:20 PM
  • Trigger: Kole, you there, hello....Here's a lovely site you can learn about turning your kids over for adoption.  Spare them another day with you, an egomancial narcicist twat face.  And another vacation to a white trash mosquito infested campground shithole in the RV.   ;D [link]
    Today at 08:30:31 PM
  • Trigger: Calhoun is posessed tonight!  ngc3 OMG! ngc3
    Today at 05:37:23 PM
  • Trigger: We have greatness here with us today, raising our IQ one mispelling insult at a time, Rdp066 aka Grandma Grammar  ngc3
    Today at 03:03:49 PM
  • Trigger: Back in the day of the BC, yeh, but after that eat in the dining room, play simulcast and take wc pic for some driver milestone race.  Dead pools.
    Today at 02:57:19 PM
  • dougie: Trigger, I enjoyed the "winter Capital Of Harness Racing" at goo d old Pompano Park. Was a shame they closed it. I was there at least 2 nights a week. I'm old enough to remember quster horse racing there. A lot of cowboy hats and Frye boots. LOL!
    Today at 02:33:05 PM
  • dougie: Trigger, a lot us have put in a wrong bet and won. I'm super glad you hit a nice one. May you make a mistake like that EVERY DAY! LOL!
    Today at 02:30:59 PM
SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2026, SimplePortal