Author Topic: CAW Article  (Read 2828 times)

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pocketrocketwinner

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #30 on: November 02, 2025, 06:36:14 PM »
A handful of computers and the right software you can make all the bets you want at last second. When a CAW makes a wager at last second they effect their odds just as much as yours. I personally like CAW money in the pools. It doesn’t take into account the appearance of the horse on the track. (See Louprint odds). I didn’t use Burkes other horse but I was going for nice payday if he raced like he warmed up

Unless you are classified as a caw and have direct pool access, no human alive can bet like they do.
Put it this way. If I make a very large wager at the last second, say 5k at the meadowlands to win, the caws see it and adjust accordingly in their wagers. That will never work the other way, it's just not setup that way. I'll never know the caw bets and be able to react and bet accordingly. They have that timing edge provided to them by tracks in return for guaranteed handle levels.

Regarding anyone liking CAWs. The very conservative data shows that the weakest of CAWs add a universal 2.5% to the takeout. No matter what you may think your advantage is over them, they increase takeout on everyone over the long term.

pocketrocketwinner

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #31 on: November 02, 2025, 06:37:56 PM »
The big beautiful bill will put an end to ELITE TURF club on january 1,       The 10 percent tax will kill all forms of gambling and on poker blogs many of the high limit young guns have said that this is their last two months if changes are not made,   if you win 3 million and loose 3 million you will have to pay 300k on your winning and the math is simple for tourney poker or high limit slot players or horse players.

Yeah. If that bill isn't overturned, no horsrplayer could possibly survive

Any1Left

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #32 on: November 02, 2025, 06:46:44 PM »
Unless you are classified as a caw and have direct pool access, no human alive can bet like they do.
Put it this way. If I make a very large wager at the last second, say 5k at the meadowlands to win, the caws see it and adjust accordingly in their wagers. That will never work the other way, it's just not setup that way. I'll never know the caw bets and be able to react and bet accordingly. They have that timing edge provided to them by tracks in return for guaranteed handle levels.

Regarding anyone liking CAWs. The very conservative data shows that the weakest of CAWs add a universal 2.5% to the takeout. No matter what you may think your advantage is over them, they increase takeout on everyone over the long term.
100 percent fact

Stan durbread

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #33 on: November 02, 2025, 06:49:36 PM »
Unless you are classified as a caw and have direct pool access, no human alive can bet like they do.
Put it this way. If I make a very large wager at the last second, say 5k at the meadowlands to win, the caws see it and adjust accordingly in their wagers. That will never work the other way, it's just not setup that way. I'll never know the caw bets and be able to react and bet accordingly. They have that timing edge provided to them by tracks in return for guaranteed handle levels.

Regarding anyone liking CAWs. The very conservative data shows that the weakest of CAWs add a universal 2.5% to the takeout. No matter what you may think your advantage is over them, they increase takeout on everyone over the long term.
If they have an algorithm that can see your wager and react in a few seconds they are spending a shit ton on IT and would have a hard time making up the difference especially if you factor somewhere between 30-50% of the pool is their money

Stan durbread

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #34 on: November 02, 2025, 07:06:11 PM »
And BTW if you spend the money or build your own algorithm that predicts where the CAW money is going you could easily beat them at their own game. Of course you would need the capital to wager enough to get the top rebates

Any1Left

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #35 on: November 02, 2025, 07:12:43 PM »
If they have an algorithm that can see your wager and react in a few seconds they are spending a shit ton on IT and would have a hard time making up the difference especially if you factor somewhere between 30-50% of the pool is their money
  It is a fact they can see every bettors bets and i agree with you as the numbers make no sense.   I have bet MOHAWK  for over 40 years and i can no longer bet with them in the pools and single file speed tracks,   I do not bet chalk and have no chance as to me the rake is over 50 percent,         All OTB shops are empty in ONTARIO and out side of the big M we are the second biggest handle over the last 25 years and have a group of people that never gamble running the racetracks and the OLGC and number crunchers can not understand that bad money is killing all players,    Getting back a fraction of a real price when cashing is a sure way of getting people to quit and many of these people while gambling get involved in buying horses.

pocketrocketwinner

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #36 on: November 02, 2025, 07:24:07 PM »
And BTW if you spend the money or build your own algorithm that predicts where the CAW money is going you could easily beat them at their own game. Of course you would need the capital to wager enough to get the top rebates

I firmly believe that everyone who gambles on parimutual racing has to bet the same way. No technology advantages for anyone. No matter what. We will see what the lawyers and courts say is fair

Any1Left

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #37 on: November 02, 2025, 07:30:13 PM »
Every winning bet when checked is bet with a couple of seconds to post as every time i have called they tell me its a fair bet and the horse in the best position in the race early is the one taking the money and i think from something in the past that maybe they are beating the system and i will bring this up with the right people,        In chess if a 2200 player plays at a 2800 player online during a whole tourney they DQ him as they know he is cheating and in poker if someone is using software to play the site BARRS him but at the racetrack if a trainer claims a horse that is a rail fade and pays 4 dollars the very next week off a claim and everyone knows the horse might be a huge turn around that he is cheating and when i hear the shows and they say congrats to team whatever as the trainer made a few changes and now we see the real horse,   i find this talk insulting and like the show liar liar the same person if telling the truth would say wow was he loaded and that is the truth.

Stan durbread

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #38 on: November 02, 2025, 07:31:54 PM »
I firmly believe that everyone who gambles on parimutual racing has to bet the same way. No technology advantages for anyone. No matter what. We will see what the lawyers and courts say is fair
Good luck with that. I play poker online and always run an odds calculator on my phone just to double check my math

pocketrocketwinner

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #39 on: November 02, 2025, 07:36:18 PM »
Good luck with that. I play poker online and always run an odds calculator on my phone just to double check my math

I am talking about how the bets are placed into the pool. I want Same technology for everyone placing bets. No specials deals. No alternative pool access. No batch betting.
I have no problem with anyone using AI or calculators or any other software imaginable to assist in coming up with wagers.

Stan durbread

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #40 on: November 02, 2025, 07:36:33 PM »
I firmly believe that everyone who gambles on parimutual racing has to bet the same way. No technology advantages for anyone. No matter what. We will see what the lawyers and courts say is fair
Ok question do you think all stock traders do it the old fashioned way? No technology advantage. Sorry that is the new normal. Only advantage you can have in horse racing is body language of the horse. Computer can’t factor that in.  Yet

Stan durbread

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #41 on: November 02, 2025, 07:42:14 PM »
I am talking about how the bets are placed into the pool. I want Same technology for everyone placing bets. No specials deals. No alternative pool access. No batch betting.
I have no problem with anyone using AI or calculators or any other software imaginable to assist in coming up with wagers.
Going with my stock market analogy or any other business. Do you think you can get the same price of anything buying 1000 units if the other is buying 10 million. Ain’t happening volume pays the overhead small buyers provide the profit

Any1Left

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #42 on: November 02, 2025, 07:45:51 PM »
Good luck with that. I play poker online and always run an odds calculator on my phone just to double check my math
i agree with you.    what ever happened to groups that are paid to protect the gambler,    Every person i talk with has told me never again when it comes to racing as they are sick of the actual racing and the huge drop in odds leaving the gate and real bad payoffs.   if a tri comes in with 12-1 15-1 and 10-1 and pays 600 and you speak to OGCL or management they will tell you the payoff seems fair to me as they believe dont complain when you win and that makes it tough when you can not deal with reality with people who know nothing

Grandstand Handicapper

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #43 on: November 02, 2025, 07:57:47 PM »
Read the complaint...and don't forget, as discovery proceeds, more evidence, more claims of damage, unfairness, and so on, can and probably will arise.

I think there are some very good points here. The question of CAW's "cheating" and are they "cheating" the other players is interrelated to unfair advantage, are the other players being damaged, can it be proven, and are those damages quantifiable, is going to be at issue. There may be a lot of moving parts to this, but it all comes down to proving and quantifying.

Sixty years ago when all of the play was on-track, there was little to no "flush" and "drag" into and on the pools. Sure, many people know there were some major players who had runners and locked up windows. We all know about "late" money and "smart" money, and every other kind of "money" that came in. OTB comes along and it changed, but not a lot. That is where we first saw pool flush, and that turned into drag, delay, whatever you want to call it. Simulcasting comes along, it changes a bit more, more often, more common, more noticeable, more prevalent. Online, offshore, rebate shops, bet from home, etc., and not it's much more. In today's current landscape, the impact on pool flush, drag, and yes, obviously CAW's, is making a major impact on pools and most players.

I guess the people who know and have proof of all the unfair, illegal, and cheating that's going on here, will be contacting the plaintiff's attorney.


Any1Left

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Re: CAW Article
« Reply #44 on: November 02, 2025, 08:16:08 PM »
Read the complaint...and don't forget, as discovery proceeds, more evidence, more claims of damage, unfairness, and so on, can and probably will arise.

I think there are some very good points here. The question of CAW's "cheating" and are they "cheating" the other players is interrelated to unfair advantage, are the other players being damaged, can it be proven, and are those damages quantifiable, is going to be at issue. There may be a lot of moving parts to this, but it all comes down to proving and quantifying.

Sixty years ago when all of the play was on-track, there was little to no "flush" and "drag" into and on the pools. Sure, many people know there were some major players who had runners and locked up windows. We all know about "late" money and "smart" money, and every other kind of "money" that came in. OTB comes along and it changed, but not a lot. That is where we first saw pool flush, and that turned into drag, delay, whatever you want to call it. Simulcasting comes along, it changes a bit more, more often, more common, more noticeable, more prevalent. Online, offshore, rebate shops, bet from home, etc., and not it's much more. In today's current landscape, the impact on pool flush, drag, and yes, obviously CAW's, is making a major impact on pools and most players.

I guess the people who know and have proof of all the unfair, illegal, and cheating that's going on here, will be contacting the plaintiff's attorney.
YOU ARE DEAD ON WITH YOU POST but when it comes down to the last bit you know only one will speak to the lawyer and if the costs are to high i will wait for the result and then proceed.

 

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