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4wide

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The Empire Report
« on: November 20, 2023, 01:01:13 AM »

Does anybody know who does this analysis ?
Somebody's doing a lot of work.

Superfecta

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #1 on: November 20, 2023, 08:18:47 AM »
Post the report please.

4wide

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #2 on: November 20, 2023, 10:40:02 AM »
The Empire Report - Monday, November 20, 2023 - Race Analysis
Tonight's card will have plenty of late changes as Marohn and Buter will be off their drives, and it's very
possible that Kakaley will as well - some adjustments may need to be made as changes are reported
RACE 1 - (3) JUDDY DOUGLAS A has been "all or nothing" in his 5 starts since the recent $40K claim -
if he shows up in the right mood tonight, he can be a very big threat in the opener (also, be aware if there's
a driver change). (1) MOONLITE DRIVE A took no $$ for his U.S. debut and was caught in the back of
the pack with no chance - drops in class, moves inside, adds Lasix, and is likely to bring a much more
serious effort tonight - very live player. (2) CYRUS N finished well last week, racing conservatively off a
bad date - he drops another peg, lands inside, and definitely fits...but also loses Bartlett. (4) BIG SIR is
winless on the year and hard to like off his last couple of starts - his barn did send out a couple of winners
last week, though, so perhaps he's worth a look at the right price? (5) RJ SPORTS IMAGE was red hot for
months but has shown some major signs of tailing in his last few - this MAY be a wake-up spot, but he
won't offer any value at that 9/5 ML price. (6) FLOW WITH JOE does fit very well here but he's missed
time, draws poorly, and is prone to bad starts - demand a big price if trying him on top. (7) SWEET TROY
likely needs a drop in class and much better post to show his best. (8) PACE N PRIDE N draws Post 8 after
being away since July - good spot to pass, and watch
RACE 2- (1) ROCKIN JUKEBOX instantly morphed into a new horse after being claimed by the Super
Siblings a while back but he's somehow elevated his game even more in recent weeks, throwing some
absolutely huge miles - he's facing a very strong NW3000) filed tonight but he draws the pole, and just may
sharp enough to pull this off. (2) JAHAN HANOVER has held his form beautifully as he's climbed back up
the class ladder recently and it was certainly no shame to lose to the very classy DESPERATE MAN last
week - more than capable here with the right trip. (4) SONNY WEAVER N has been razor sharp for a long
time, and tonight's class jump really shouldn't slow him down - if he ends up with a good driver change, he
could be worth considering. (3) ANOTHRMASTRPIECE N has been going evenly in the Open and now
drops down to a level he beat twice in Sept. - losing Bartlett does hurt his chances, though. (5) FORTIFY
has been going strong miles almost every week for some time - he lands in a field of many OTHER sharp
rivals, however, and may be looking at a smaller slice tonight. (6) AMERICAN DEALER N is more comfy
at this level than the Open but the tough draw (in a good field) could leave him with only a minor share
tonight. (8) CRANBOURNE N had a solid resume Down Under and has done little wrong since arriving in
the U.S. - may have to wait for a kinder spot to do more serious damage, however. (7) FAMILY RECIPE
faces an uphill battle from this brutal spot.
RACE 3 - (1) TUGGIN ON MY HEART had been very sharp for some time but was one of a few horses
from the barn that had an "off week" while Joe B. was away from the action for a while - moves all the way
inside, and the guess is that he'll be cranked up for a big mile tonight. (3) SLING SHOCK picked up an
overdue victory 2 back but was no match in the lane for the sharp top pair last week - the drop in for a tag is
a logical one, and he should be able to have a big say tonight (2) MY MIKI BEACH perked up in mid-Sept.
and has been solid ever since (for a barn that has been going well) - legitimate player from this spot. (5) ST
ONEBRIDGE REX had a useful tightener on 11/6 off the long layoff and was ready last week, scoring the
pocket victory - would really be no surprise if he was able to take another. (4) FULSOME has proven to be
a solid fit at this level since arriving 6 starts back - good one to include on the bottom of exotics. (7) STRIK
ING IMPACT fits beautifully and is good right now...but would need a lot to go his way to reach from out
here. (8) TUFFENUFTOWEARPIN K is another that's racing well, but likely a victim of the draw tonight.
(6) KOUNT BLASTER arrives to a hot barn but does seem a little bit cheaper - we shall see
RACE 4 - (3) NOME HANOVER comes into tonight having won 6 of his last 7 starts (2nd in the other),
with 3 straight here at Yonkers - hard to go past, even though he will be racing for a new barn tonight. (4)
ARRHYTHMIC SURGE had been incredibly sharp recently, but was ignored in the wagering last week
(Post 7) and had no offer at all - guessing that he'll bounce back tonight as he reunites with Bongiorno. (1)
ALOTBETTOR N was used for the top from Post 8 last week and can be forgiven for getting outbrushed
by #7 to 3/4s - he's rock solid at this level, and should be right in the mix tonight. (2) PEDRO HANOVER
is another that has been very steady lately - gets a good draw, and a live trip could land him somewhere on
the ticket. (5) GLACIS has been away for 3 weeks and seems unlikely to get the hot pace he'd need to use
his late rally - maybe some minor spoils? (6) BOILING OAR was a solid pocket winner returning from PA
2 back but no factor last week - may struggle against these with the tough draw. (7) BALLERAT BOOME
RANG appreciated the move inside last week and used a strong brush to propel himself to victory - may
have a tougher time getting in play from out here, though. (8) BILL HALEY N has been away since July
and lands all the way outside - pass for now
RACE 5 - (4) HELLABALOU crushed this class as the 1/5 favorite last week and that made it 4 wins and a
head loss 2nd from his last 5 starts....but he was inconceivably allowed to DRAW for posts 4-8 tonight and
as fate would have it, he landed the best possible position - stamps him as the one to beat, once again. (2)
AMERICAN MERCURY is another head scratcher as he was assigned an inside draw despite hitting board
in 4 straight Opens, including a victory - we may see Gingras and Bongiorno take advantage of their good
fortune, and take these 1-2 around the track. (6) LEONIDAS A was finally hitting on all cylinders with that
win on 10/10 but he has only 1 start in the 6 weeks since then and also draws poorly for tonight - may not
be at his absolute best here. (7) SIMON SAYS HANOVER was scary-sharp here in his last 3 starts - he
continued his form spree in a pair of Chester starts, but gets stuck with a bad draw (off 17 days) for his YR
return, and may be at a disadvantage tonight. (1) BURNHAM BOY N is really thriving since the recent
barn change, and didn't embarrass himself stepping up to the Open last week - a small piece is within reach.
(5) ROCKNROLL RUNA A had been super for ages, so last week's (rare) dud was definitely a surprise -
hard to say if he'll bounce right back, or if he may be tailing. (3) RED RIGHT HAND has found his form
lately but he moves up, loses Bartlett, and will likely be handled conservatively. (8) IDEALSOMEMAGIC
A is having an unbelievable year but he draws Post 8 after finishing up the track at Rosecroft last week and
will probably be handled very conservatively tonight.
RACE 6 - Tough race: (2) CHANTEE started the year off strong and is still a weekly player, months later -
he rallied to win one level up 3 back, and may be able to do the same tonight if the trip goes his way - one
of several with a chance in here. (4) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N has quietly banked over $130K this year, and
has become a pretty reliable commodity - he won't be stuck coming from way back tonight, and looms a
very legitimate player. (8) THIS IS THE PLAN is obviously not the FFAller we're used to seeing right now,
but it's not like he's been terrible, either - might be able to beat these even from out here IF Gingras can find
him a manageable journey. (3) WHATS STANELY GOT A went on a nice form spree and was a solid
weekly Open player - his last two haven't been nearly as good, however, and he's missed 3 weeks - would
need a decent price to try him on top here. (1) FREQUENT IMAGE is another that has taken 3 weeks off
after seeing his form go a bit south - we'll see which direction he heads in. (5) BENHOPE RULZ N had
been knocking on the door for weeks (at good prices!) before last week's front end score vs. a bit easier -
faces tougher now, but would still consider him for 3rd/4th. (7) GREAT SOMEWHERE has 10 wins and
$184K this year but is also in the midst of a bit of a slump - not sure he's up for Post 7 right now. (6)
HEAVEN ON HIGH N struggled from similar spots in his last pair
RACE 7 - (4) ROCK DIAMONDS N is another from the barn that just didn't seem fully cranked last week
- on his best, he'd be very dangerous against these - worth using as long as he's not overbet. (5) NUTTIN
BUT FINESSE wasn't bad last week, finishing behind a trio of Open types - a live trip could give him a
chance to upset, at a decent price. (1) LAYTON HANOVER got some class relief last week and was a solid
front end winner - if he can build come confidence off that victory, he'll have a chance to make it 2 in a row.
(2) BLUE LOU was 3 for 8 with $145K at 2 but he just never got his 3YO season in gear - he recently
changed hands and was a sharp 1:50.1 winner in PA in his 2nd start for new connections - gets a big driver
change for his YR debut, and could easily be a threat here vs. his elders. (3) LOUS BEACH put together
back to back sharp start before a sick scratch on 10/7 - could be short tonight off 3 weeks. (6) ALADDIN
was handled conservatively last week racing off a bad date (arriving from Canada) - may need another start
(and some class relief). (7) MY ULTIMATE BYRON A and (8) WALKINSHAW N both figure to end up
too far back to seriously threaten tonight
RACE 8 - (1) SHAKESPEARE has now won 3 in a row and was reclaimed from his last by the barn that
won 2 of them - will be the heavy chalk from the pole, and clearly the one to beat. (2) LOUS THE ATTITU
DE really fell apart when down in KY but his last couple in PA suggest that he's back on the right track
(even if they were vs. cheaper) - could be a big part of this from start to finish. (7) TWO FACED was sharp
here in a pair of October starts - he was scratched sick on 10/30 but still raced well in his last off the bad
date - not sure he can find a way to overcome the draw, but he'll offer some good value. (4) TOPVILLE SO
MROCKET hit a rough patch recently but turned in a much better effort last week (in an easier field, on the
lead) - we'll see if he can be as effective tonight. (5) KILL A DRAGON was no factor in his only local try
and the jury is still out on him - maybe one to throw in for 3rd/4th? (3) GOOD INVESTMENT backed up
badly in NJ last week - prefer to see a better effort before considering. (6) BLUE OCEAN was no factor
last week from a similar spot, at a big price. (8) GENTLE GIANT draws Post 8 off 3 weeks
RACE 9 - (4) GOTHIC ROCK would be more appealing in 30s (at a good price) but he's still hard to
ignore against THIS field of 40s...even at a shorter price - the post relief and overall softness of this field
make him a very logical threat. (5) SETH HANOVER is just 2 for 32 this year and is listed as the 9/5 ML
choice...but he's another that really does seem sharper than most of these right now. (1) WAR DAN DELIG
HT was a winner 4 back but hasn't had much impact in his last 3 tries against the 40s - he may be able to
have bigger say tonight, though. (8) TIN ROOF RAIDER really hasn't been sharp enough to really "like" in
here, but he wouldn't be the first horse that Yannick just woke up from an outside post, and put into play -
not a bad bomb for longshot fans. (3) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER hasn't been sharp in some time - prefer
others, but wouldn't be shocked to see him wake up a bit vs. these. (7) SULLIVAN got really sharp vs. the
25s/30s but a series of bad posts have left him as no factor recently vs. the 40s - another bad post tonight.
(2) MR KELLY shocked when 2nd at 82-1 last week, but the trip/circumstances played a big role - may not
be quite as opportunistic tonight. (6) ON THE VIRG doesn't seem a threat to be a player right now
RACE 10 - (1) CROSS CREEK was our play last week and he was enjoying a beautiful pocket trip behind
the favorite when that one broke to the top of the lane, costing this guy a lot of momentum (and any
chance)- he'll likely be a shorter price tonight, but may still be worth a play. (5) PANETTONE HANOVER
had a disastrous first local try, first being terribly erratic at the start, then getting knocked down to the half
(and forced wide), never really able to fully recover - changed hands after that start, was used hard in NJ
and tired - returns to YR on Lasix for the 2nd time, and can be a big threat with a smoother journey. (3) FU
GLEMAN had tough posts in his last pair and wasn't part of the action- can easily have a bigger say tonight
with the post improvement. (4) LOUIE HANOVER has disappointed for weeks, but may have hinted at
slight improvement last time - we'll see if he can build off that. (7) CONTROL GROUP has been racing ok
out of town but may be a little cheap and does draw poorly. (8) PINE BUSH MONSTAH raced better than
expected last time, but the move from the rail to Post 8 figures to really hurt. (6) VANDALISM showed
little in his local debut

Brown jug

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2023, 11:22:33 AM »
thats impressive

Superfecta

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2023, 02:20:13 PM »
7 horses in every race. Looks like Dan Nants.

Newt Lobell

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2023, 03:06:13 PM »
7 horses in every race. Looks like Dan Nants.

Gives analysis on every horse with solid commentary. Nothing like Nance. Solid opinion.

Newt Lobell

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2023, 03:09:07 PM »
Does anybody know who does this analysis ?
Somebody's doing a lot of work.

Long time professional gambler with a solid opinion. Read the race review notes for commentary of previous week’s cards.

This is not new - been available for a few years now.

PIGLAND

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2023, 03:24:04 PM »
Gives analysis on every horse with solid commentary. Nothing like Nance. Solid opinion.
NANTS

pocketrocketwinner

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2023, 06:29:32 PM »
Whoever writes the Meadowlands reviews uses fancy words that nobody understands

Superfecta

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #9 on: November 20, 2023, 06:33:18 PM »
Long time professional gambler with a solid opinion. Read the race review notes for commentary of previous week’s cards.

This is not new - been available for a few years now.

A professional gambler wouldn’t give out his/her picks at a harness track. If you get any following all of your plays will become favorites.

4wide

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #10 on: November 21, 2023, 12:15:57 PM »
A lotta good insights.
Sent me to the windows on winners a couple of times.

HarnessFan1981

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #11 on: November 21, 2023, 12:21:11 PM »
The Empire Report - Tuesday, November 21, 2023
 Race Analysis
RACE 1 - (4) ICARUS FALLS N shipped in sharp from Monti and has maintained that form through several local starts - she debuts tonight for a barn that has an unfathomable 67% win rate off the claim, and we'll take a shot that they can get this one to the winner's circle as well. (3) TERACITA really loved the class drop to the $20K level last week, a 3 length jogburger winner - loses Bartlett but gets Gingras to "fill in", and she's clearly the main danger. (6) SWEET SANDY LOU has been a super-steady performer at this level, but does have to deal with drawing outside her main foes tonight - may leave her having to settle for a smaller share. (1) BLUEBIRD GRAF ships in from Ohio and it's hard to say how the 3YO filly stacks up class-wise against these older foes - guess we'll learn more tonight. (7) VEL DONNA wasn't bad when 3rd last week and is a decent bomb for 3rd/4th tonight. (😎 OURLITTLEMIRACLE drops down from 50s after stopping to a crawl last week - hard to know what the issue was, but she could have a hard time tonight (even if on her best) from this outside slot. (2) ODDS ON UNICORN showed little in either local try. (5) SUNSET SOPH arrives from NJ after showing little over there after shipping down from Canada.
RACE 2 - (3) BLUE HUNT was flat out scary in his local debut (10/17), going faster EVERY quarter on the way to the blowout (:283, :28.2, :27.4, :27) - likely bled (as the 1/10 favorite!) at Chester in his next, but was victorious here adding Lasix for his next start - remains the one to beat. (2) ADAM TWELVE gave the top one a good tussle while debuting here for our leading barn - he won his next at 5 cents on the dollar, with co-owner Gingras content to just crawl on the lead and turn it into an effortless training mile - we'll see if he can turn the tables tonight on #3. (4) SANTANA HANOVER came up 3rd best behind the top pair in his local debut and may be looking at the same fate for tonight. (5) HUNTING ZONE won his way out of the NW4 class last week and catches a trip of sharp foes tonight - minor share only. (6) HUNGRY MAN is better than his last but the outside draw will likely limit him to minor scraps for tonight, even if sharper. (1) FOX VALLEY PATRIOT seems overmatched - not sure the rail is going to help enough
RACE 3 - (1) DEETZY was just beastly all those weeks in 50s for his previous barn - he won off the claim on 10/23, but was just buried (up in class) the next couple of weeks - was a solid 3rd behind 2 sharp ones in his last, and now drops a bit while drawing the pole with Gingras - may be able to handle this assignment. (3) SPLASH BROTHER is surely a player at this level but he does seem a bit more effective vs. a bit cheaper - has a legitimate chance, but would avoid taking too short a price. (2) MIRAGON A may or may not be a little cheap for these but the good draw should land him a decent trip, and that could help him land a share in his YR debut. (4) THE REAL ONE picked up a rallying 2nd at this level 2 back and has a chance to land somewhere on the ticket tonight if the trip goes his way. (5) CAUGHTINALANDSLID E was opportunistic for sure in last week's victory (benefited from a hot pace up front) but it's only because he's sharp right now that he was able to cash in - faces tougher now, but a good trip may be enough to help him grab a slice of this. (6) THRASHER is good right now and did super to be 2nd last week after getting really roughed up - the poor draw is the real issue. (7) GROOVY JOE was a good 2nd vs. a standout winner last week but tonight's draw could compromise his chances - insist on a good price if using on your tickets. (😎 SEVEN HUNDRED has compiled a solid 11-3-5-1 record here this year but this is a very tough spot
RACE 4 - (7) SPEED MAN N was a close 3rd racing off the pace last week, and can be forgiven for being outkicked from behind (by a sharp LUCKBEWITHALEX) - drops another peg tonight and despite the poor draw, the classy 9YO still feels like the one to beat. (3) KASHED UP A also gets class relief in here, has been holding his own vs. better and figures to be able to have a big say (1) KING JAMES EXPRESS threw a dud last week but has otherwise been pretty good most weeks - can land somewhere on the ticket if able to shrug off that last mile and bounce right back. (4) MY ULTIMATE STAR A doesn't win all that often but he's a good fit at this level, and a live trip could see him land on the ticket...at a good price. (5) JIMMY CONNOR B is right at home at this level but does like things to go his way - if he lands on an easy trip, he's another with a solid chance at a good chunk. (2) CAVIART SARGENT's only recent win came vs. cheaper but he also races well enough to grab pieces against better ones too - it'll all come down to trip. (6) POINTOMYGRANSON has definitely been off his game recently - leaning towards other sharper rivals in here, but could also see why folks may want to use him at that 20-1 ML price. (😎 MAURIES BONUS A is often pacing well late but he'll be trying to rally from last tonight
 RACE 5 - (3) LINE EM UP shipped back in sharp from PA and was sharp here too, finishing full of pace for 3rd from a tough spot - she's no stranger to the Yonkers winner's circle, and she'll surely get every chance to succeed with Joe B. back on board. (2) LOVE THAT SMILE was "sneaky sharp" here for several starts so it's no surprise to see that she was able to ship over to Pocono and win - has to be seen as a threat here, but the 3 weeks off are at least a small cause for concern. (1) LUCKY ARTIST A doesn't resemble the mare that was thriving in the Matchmaker Series last spring and she drops in for a tag looking for a wake up call - seems a little too shaky to take at a short price right now. (5) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP has been somewhat unpredictable from week to week - if she shows up feeling good tonight, a small piece is within reach. (😎 AMINI had a couple of decent tries here this summer but has been away for 2 months and lands all the way outside - maybe 3rd/4th? (6) WOODMERE HARRIET may be on the cheaper side and also has only one start since 10/14 (sandwiched between a pair of sick scratches) - prefer to just observe this week. (7) ITTY BITTY enjoyed success here a few years back but was empty in her YR return last week. (4) CORAL BELLA feels like a field-filler in her current form
RACE 6 - (3) VICTOR CRUISE ships in showing 3 fairly recent wins, and his new barn sent out a very sharp winner on Monday night - willing to give the fresh face a look against the locals. (2) CENTURY INS PECTOR moves inside after a hopeless trip from Post 8 in his last - he's a proven weekly player with this type, but his 3 for 41 career record makes him a tough one to use on top at too short a price. (6) JOHNNY SACK has been much better in his last few but was left with no chance last week when he sat in behind the very slow pace - tough spot, but a good price makes him worth considering. (1) UNDER YOUR SCARS hasn't won in a while but he's a consistent weekly player - hard to leave out of exotics starting from the pole. (5) CLEVELAND B MIKI used a quick start last week to sit pocketed behind the 1/20 winner...and was able to stick around for the place spot - not sure the trip will be as good tonight, though. (4) JUST ENU FF STUFF is really struggling in his last couple and was no factor in a couple of local tries not too long ago - before tossing him too quickly, note that he'll be making his first start for the Super Siblings tonight - and that's an angle that can never be taken lightly. (7) LAZ has been decent here overall but the poor draw figures to really hurt his chances tonight. (😎 CHIEF CORLEONE started his Yonkers career with a 2nd and a win, but the class jump and 8 hole may slow him down considerably this week
RACE 7 - (1) SHINE A LIGHT has been very good from some terrible spots and now gets a class drop and the pole - meets a couple of good ones, but still deserves the edge. (2) DOWNRIGHTDELICIOU S was good from early on as a 2YO, winning the Springfield Stakes here as part of his $177K freshman campaign - never did get the ball rolling as a 3YO, however, but he finally seems to be hitting on all cylinders late in the season -- could give his older rivals in here a serious threat. (5) LUCKBEWITHALEX was a HUGE overlay at 60-1 last week and almost pulled off the big upset - he's capable of big miles, and worth using in exotics here (assuming he gets a solid drive). (7) VIVA LASVEGAS N kicked home full of pace to be a close 4th last week, despite coming from a terrible spot - he's in a similar situation tonight, but still worth considering for 3rd/4th. (4) BRAEVIEW BONDI A's last line looks good on paper but he would have won that night had he really been "sharp"- would still consider using for a minor piece. (3) ROLLING WITH SAM does his best work with cheaper these days - leaning towards others. (6) STATEMENT MADEA draws poorly in a good field - wait for a better spot to consider
RACE 8 - Good race! (5) QUARREL finished full of pace from tough spots in her only two local tries this year - she returns off a win in NW15000 at Chester, and should be able to land on a decent trip from this spot - definitely should offer some value in this wide open affair. (4) PURE SILKY went on a terrific form spree earlier this year and has banked nearly $130K - she drops in for a tag tonight, and that seems like a logical move with her 4YO allowance about to expire...legitima te threat. (1) PURAMERI picked up a solid 2nd to the favored, dropdown winner last week and draws another rail for tonight - no reason she can't be in the mix with another good trip. (6) TRAFALGAR had been a beat in this class for weeks but just wasn't at her best last week and weakened to 4th - we'll see if she can turn things right back around for her new crew. (😎 SALE EL SOL has been sharp for some time, and was a winner last week - will need some major trip luck to win from out here, however. (2) TUAPEKA JESSIE N was 0 for 21 on the year heading into last week but a move to our leading trainer resulted in an immediate victory - takes an ambitious move up to 50s, and we'll see how that works out. (3) BELLADONNA GIRL A is more than capable at this level but she's been away for a month and catches a solid field. (7) MC ANGEL moves outside after a trio of rail draws and that does figure to slow her down considerably.
 RACE 9 - (4) WICHITA LINEMAN was sharp off the re-claim last week, charging home full of pace once clear into the lane - the classy veteran already has 9 wins this year, and maybe able to pick up #10 tonight. (1) ORLANDO BLUE A was a very impressive winner (at a very generous price!) returning from PcD last week - he bumps up a notch, but a similar effort could make him a big threat here too. (5) GAMBLINGTE RROR was a game winner over the favorite 2 back and might have been closer last week if not for stretch traffic - good one to include in exotics. (7) STELLAR YANKEE fits with these for sure but gets another terrible Yonkers draw - would still consider using if the price was juicy enough. (6) FROZEN HANOVER gets stuck with another bad post and will likely be trying to rally from well back - minor share? (3) THREE IN HEAVEN has some good Fhd. efforts but is just 1 for 16 locally this year and may need an easier field to be a more serious threat. (2) BRAZEN BRAZILIAN has lost 48 straight Yonkers starts over the past 3 years - maybe some minor spoils with an easy enough trip? (😎 GINGRAS BEACH is the outsider, both literally and figuratively
RACE 10 - (4) FEELIN RED HOT seems to have benefited from the month off as her qualifier looks sharper than her last few starts - goes for a new barn now (her previous, high % trainer has disappeared from the scene recently), and looms the one to beat in the finale. (6) PLEASURE SEEKER is normally a big player in this class but she took NO $$ last week and was never in it - could easily rebound with a more involved effort tonight. (3) BETTORSHIGHLIGHT N just never got in it last week but a return to any of her better efforts would make her a big threat for a good piece. (2) LADYBELUCKYTONITE probably wasn't all that serious racing against males last start - could be a field where she can contend for a board spot. (5) NORMANS MADELINE hasn't been doing much in her last few starts but as noted here many times in the past, she's always capable of a major form reversal at any time (and at any price). (7) BROOK DALE JESSIE hasn't won a race since 2021, and lands Post 7 - sticking with others. (1) LYONS MIKI arrives from Hawthorne and may just be a little too cheap (the 24 days off are an additional concern). (😎 ALMOST KAREN has a couple of recent Fhd. wins but she gets stuck behind the 8 ball upon arrival, and may need to wait for a more realistic spot to make any noise

Newt Lobell

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #12 on: November 21, 2023, 02:36:51 PM »
A professional gambler wouldn’t give out his/her picks at a harness track. If you get any following all of your plays will become favorites.

He gets paid to do so. I know the guy. Legit.

Who’s to say he’s betting his top choice? He’s providing insights for MGM. If his third choice is value, he may bet that one.

« Last Edit: November 21, 2023, 02:41:26 PM by Newt Lobell »

rainman2

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #13 on: November 21, 2023, 03:28:53 PM »
The Empire Report - Monday, November 20, 2023 - Race Analysis
Tonight's card will have plenty of late changes as Marohn and Buter will be off their drives, and it's very
possible that Kakaley will as well - some adjustments may need to be made as changes are reported
RACE 1 - (3) JUDDY DOUGLAS A has been "all or nothing" in his 5 starts since the recent $40K claim -
if he shows up in the right mood tonight, he can be a very big threat in the opener (also, be aware if there's
a driver change). (1) MOONLITE DRIVE A took no $$ for his U.S. debut and was caught in the back of
the pack with no chance - drops in class, moves inside, adds Lasix, and is likely to bring a much more
serious effort tonight - very live player. (2) CYRUS N finished well last week, racing conservatively off a
bad date - he drops another peg, lands inside, and definitely fits...but also loses Bartlett. (4) BIG SIR is
winless on the year and hard to like off his last couple of starts - his barn did send out a couple of winners
last week, though, so perhaps he's worth a look at the right price? (5) RJ SPORTS IMAGE was red hot for
months but has shown some major signs of tailing in his last few - this MAY be a wake-up spot, but he
won't offer any value at that 9/5 ML price. (6) FLOW WITH JOE does fit very well here but he's missed
time, draws poorly, and is prone to bad starts - demand a big price if trying him on top. (7) SWEET TROY
likely needs a drop in class and much better post to show his best. (8) PACE N PRIDE N draws Post 8 after
being away since July - good spot to pass, and watch
RACE 2- (1) ROCKIN JUKEBOX instantly morphed into a new horse after being claimed by the Super
Siblings a while back but he's somehow elevated his game even more in recent weeks, throwing some
absolutely huge miles - he's facing a very strong NW3000) filed tonight but he draws the pole, and just may
sharp enough to pull this off. (2) JAHAN HANOVER has held his form beautifully as he's climbed back up
the class ladder recently and it was certainly no shame to lose to the very classy DESPERATE MAN last
week - more than capable here with the right trip. (4) SONNY WEAVER N has been razor sharp for a long
time, and tonight's class jump really shouldn't slow him down - if he ends up with a good driver change, he
could be worth considering. (3) ANOTHRMASTRPIECE N has been going evenly in the Open and now
drops down to a level he beat twice in Sept. - losing Bartlett does hurt his chances, though. (5) FORTIFY
has been going strong miles almost every week for some time - he lands in a field of many OTHER sharp
rivals, however, and may be looking at a smaller slice tonight. (6) AMERICAN DEALER N is more comfy
at this level than the Open but the tough draw (in a good field) could leave him with only a minor share
tonight. (8) CRANBOURNE N had a solid resume Down Under and has done little wrong since arriving in
the U.S. - may have to wait for a kinder spot to do more serious damage, however. (7) FAMILY RECIPE
faces an uphill battle from this brutal spot.
RACE 3 - (1) TUGGIN ON MY HEART had been very sharp for some time but was one of a few horses
from the barn that had an "off week" while Joe B. was away from the action for a while - moves all the way
inside, and the guess is that he'll be cranked up for a big mile tonight. (3) SLING SHOCK picked up an
overdue victory 2 back but was no match in the lane for the sharp top pair last week - the drop in for a tag is
a logical one, and he should be able to have a big say tonight (2) MY MIKI BEACH perked up in mid-Sept.
and has been solid ever since (for a barn that has been going well) - legitimate player from this spot. (5) ST
ONEBRIDGE REX had a useful tightener on 11/6 off the long layoff and was ready last week, scoring the
pocket victory - would really be no surprise if he was able to take another. (4) FULSOME has proven to be
a solid fit at this level since arriving 6 starts back - good one to include on the bottom of exotics. (7) STRIK
ING IMPACT fits beautifully and is good right now...but would need a lot to go his way to reach from out
here. (8) TUFFENUFTOWEARPIN K is another that's racing well, but likely a victim of the draw tonight.
(6) KOUNT BLASTER arrives to a hot barn but does seem a little bit cheaper - we shall see
RACE 4 - (3) NOME HANOVER comes into tonight having won 6 of his last 7 starts (2nd in the other),
with 3 straight here at Yonkers - hard to go past, even though he will be racing for a new barn tonight. (4)
ARRHYTHMIC SURGE had been incredibly sharp recently, but was ignored in the wagering last week
(Post 7) and had no offer at all - guessing that he'll bounce back tonight as he reunites with Bongiorno. (1)
ALOTBETTOR N was used for the top from Post 8 last week and can be forgiven for getting outbrushed
by #7 to 3/4s - he's rock solid at this level, and should be right in the mix tonight. (2) PEDRO HANOVER
is another that has been very steady lately - gets a good draw, and a live trip could land him somewhere on
the ticket. (5) GLACIS has been away for 3 weeks and seems unlikely to get the hot pace he'd need to use
his late rally - maybe some minor spoils? (6) BOILING OAR was a solid pocket winner returning from PA
2 back but no factor last week - may struggle against these with the tough draw. (7) BALLERAT BOOME
RANG appreciated the move inside last week and used a strong brush to propel himself to victory - may
have a tougher time getting in play from out here, though. (8) BILL HALEY N has been away since July
and lands all the way outside - pass for now
RACE 5 - (4) HELLABALOU crushed this class as the 1/5 favorite last week and that made it 4 wins and a
head loss 2nd from his last 5 starts....but he was inconceivably allowed to DRAW for posts 4-8 tonight and
as fate would have it, he landed the best possible position - stamps him as the one to beat, once again. (2)
AMERICAN MERCURY is another head scratcher as he was assigned an inside draw despite hitting board
in 4 straight Opens, including a victory - we may see Gingras and Bongiorno take advantage of their good
fortune, and take these 1-2 around the track. (6) LEONIDAS A was finally hitting on all cylinders with that
win on 10/10 but he has only 1 start in the 6 weeks since then and also draws poorly for tonight - may not
be at his absolute best here. (7) SIMON SAYS HANOVER was scary-sharp here in his last 3 starts - he
continued his form spree in a pair of Chester starts, but gets stuck with a bad draw (off 17 days) for his YR
return, and may be at a disadvantage tonight. (1) BURNHAM BOY N is really thriving since the recent
barn change, and didn't embarrass himself stepping up to the Open last week - a small piece is within reach.
(5) ROCKNROLL RUNA A had been super for ages, so last week's (rare) dud was definitely a surprise -
hard to say if he'll bounce right back, or if he may be tailing. (3) RED RIGHT HAND has found his form
lately but he moves up, loses Bartlett, and will likely be handled conservatively. (8) IDEALSOMEMAGIC
A is having an unbelievable year but he draws Post 8 after finishing up the track at Rosecroft last week and
will probably be handled very conservatively tonight.
RACE 6 - Tough race: (2) CHANTEE started the year off strong and is still a weekly player, months later -
he rallied to win one level up 3 back, and may be able to do the same tonight if the trip goes his way - one
of several with a chance in here. (4) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N has quietly banked over $130K this year, and
has become a pretty reliable commodity - he won't be stuck coming from way back tonight, and looms a
very legitimate player. (8) THIS IS THE PLAN is obviously not the FFAller we're used to seeing right now,
but it's not like he's been terrible, either - might be able to beat these even from out here IF Gingras can find
him a manageable journey. (3) WHATS STANELY GOT A went on a nice form spree and was a solid
weekly Open player - his last two haven't been nearly as good, however, and he's missed 3 weeks - would
need a decent price to try him on top here. (1) FREQUENT IMAGE is another that has taken 3 weeks off
after seeing his form go a bit south - we'll see which direction he heads in. (5) BENHOPE RULZ N had
been knocking on the door for weeks (at good prices!) before last week's front end score vs. a bit easier -
faces tougher now, but would still consider him for 3rd/4th. (7) GREAT SOMEWHERE has 10 wins and
$184K this year but is also in the midst of a bit of a slump - not sure he's up for Post 7 right now. (6)
HEAVEN ON HIGH N struggled from similar spots in his last pair
RACE 7 - (4) ROCK DIAMONDS N is another from the barn that just didn't seem fully cranked last week
- on his best, he'd be very dangerous against these - worth using as long as he's not overbet. (5) NUTTIN
BUT FINESSE wasn't bad last week, finishing behind a trio of Open types - a live trip could give him a
chance to upset, at a decent price. (1) LAYTON HANOVER got some class relief last week and was a solid
front end winner - if he can build come confidence off that victory, he'll have a chance to make it 2 in a row.
(2) BLUE LOU was 3 for 8 with $145K at 2 but he just never got his 3YO season in gear - he recently
changed hands and was a sharp 1:50.1 winner in PA in his 2nd start for new connections - gets a big driver
change for his YR debut, and could easily be a threat here vs. his elders. (3) LOUS BEACH put together
back to back sharp start before a sick scratch on 10/7 - could be short tonight off 3 weeks. (6) ALADDIN
was handled conservatively last week racing off a bad date (arriving from Canada) - may need another start
(and some class relief). (7) MY ULTIMATE BYRON A and (8) WALKINSHAW N both figure to end up
too far back to seriously threaten tonight
RACE 8 - (1) SHAKESPEARE has now won 3 in a row and was reclaimed from his last by the barn that
won 2 of them - will be the heavy chalk from the pole, and clearly the one to beat. (2) LOUS THE ATTITU
DE really fell apart when down in KY but his last couple in PA suggest that he's back on the right track
(even if they were vs. cheaper) - could be a big part of this from start to finish. (7) TWO FACED was sharp
here in a pair of October starts - he was scratched sick on 10/30 but still raced well in his last off the bad
date - not sure he can find a way to overcome the draw, but he'll offer some good value. (4) TOPVILLE SO
MROCKET hit a rough patch recently but turned in a much better effort last week (in an easier field, on the
lead) - we'll see if he can be as effective tonight. (5) KILL A DRAGON was no factor in his only local try
and the jury is still out on him - maybe one to throw in for 3rd/4th? (3) GOOD INVESTMENT backed up
badly in NJ last week - prefer to see a better effort before considering. (6) BLUE OCEAN was no factor
last week from a similar spot, at a big price. (8) GENTLE GIANT draws Post 8 off 3 weeks
RACE 9 - (4) GOTHIC ROCK would be more appealing in 30s (at a good price) but he's still hard to
ignore against THIS field of 40s...even at a shorter price - the post relief and overall softness of this field
make him a very logical threat. (5) SETH HANOVER is just 2 for 32 this year and is listed as the 9/5 ML
choice...but he's another that really does seem sharper than most of these right now. (1) WAR DAN DELIG
HT was a winner 4 back but hasn't had much impact in his last 3 tries against the 40s - he may be able to
have bigger say tonight, though. (8) TIN ROOF RAIDER really hasn't been sharp enough to really "like" in
here, but he wouldn't be the first horse that Yannick just woke up from an outside post, and put into play -
not a bad bomb for longshot fans. (3) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER hasn't been sharp in some time - prefer
others, but wouldn't be shocked to see him wake up a bit vs. these. (7) SULLIVAN got really sharp vs. the
25s/30s but a series of bad posts have left him as no factor recently vs. the 40s - another bad post tonight.
(2) MR KELLY shocked when 2nd at 82-1 last week, but the trip/circumstances played a big role - may not
be quite as opportunistic tonight. (6) ON THE VIRG doesn't seem a threat to be a player right now
RACE 10 - (1) CROSS CREEK was our play last week and he was enjoying a beautiful pocket trip behind
the favorite when that one broke to the top of the lane, costing this guy a lot of momentum (and any
chance)- he'll likely be a shorter price tonight, but may still be worth a play. (5) PANETTONE HANOVER
had a disastrous first local try, first being terribly erratic at the start, then getting knocked down to the half
(and forced wide), never really able to fully recover - changed hands after that start, was used hard in NJ
and tired - returns to YR on Lasix for the 2nd time, and can be a big threat with a smoother journey. (3) FU
GLEMAN had tough posts in his last pair and wasn't part of the action- can easily have a bigger say tonight
with the post improvement. (4) LOUIE HANOVER has disappointed for weeks, but may have hinted at
slight improvement last time - we'll see if he can build off that. (7) CONTROL GROUP has been racing ok
out of town but may be a little cheap and does draw poorly. (8) PINE BUSH MONSTAH raced better than
expected last time, but the move from the rail to Post 8 figures to really hurt. (6) VANDALISM showed
little in his local debut

You hit race 7 dead on!  Look at the race and joe b. was bouncing at the start and the 5/8 pole. Was the horse [helped along] with a little extra in the tank??
Very late money on the winner too!!  Just saying.

harnessplop

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Re: The Empire Report
« Reply #14 on: November 21, 2023, 03:47:37 PM »
Late money is wrong more then right. Have seen this at TBREDS n trotters..late money is bs.

 

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