Ppg - ignoring fixing and in no order. You covered it pretty well. I usually refer to this intent. IMHO some horses are just readying for the next effort.
-Very impt to me is an aggressive try in prior race from difficult position. Also indicative is the score down. A horse leaving from outside will usually be well warmed in score down. Big purse is a given. Dumping a horse there would be foolish.
-Form
-Condition - nw of 2 and 3 in particular is very impt to know trainers and drivers. Some just milk these categories. And often the best horse has zero intent of winning. These are great play against in horizontals - tossing off ticket pays off in long run and so what if one beats you every now and then. It's gambling.
I also watch in NW of $ whether a out of $ finish will allow a horse to drop next start.
-Driver tendancies. Some that are less aggressive and content to hug rail. I often just use these drivers underneath.
- Claim
- Driver change - especially from trainer to catch or to an aggressive driver off poor drive. Driver change can tend to be over bet.
- Trainer change from low percentage to barn that often moves horses up off change.
- lot of other intangibles.
