Author Topic: What's the fascination with "beaten favorites"?  (Read 1056 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

gogasgoboom

  • Top Claimer
  • ***
  • Posts: 186
  • MAKE AMERICA GO AWAY
What's the fascination with "beaten favorites"?
« on: June 02, 2023, 05:57:53 PM »
Often hear handicappers pointing out a horse was a beaten favorite last time out. Anyone factor that into their selections?
APRIL 28, 2025 THE DAY CANADA BITCH SLAPPED TRUMP

shotgunner

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 620
Re: What's the fascination with "beaten favorites"?
« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2023, 06:24:46 PM »
It’s more context of the field they faced previously. I factor it in, but it’s not super important.

Brkn Headpole

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 915
Re: What's the fascination with "beaten favorites"?
« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2023, 06:26:09 PM »
Couple different ways to look at it.

1. Do they tend to be overbet alot and burn a lot of cash?
 Not a horse to go back to.

2. Should the horse have been favorite last start or did it take alot of "non public cash"
ie The connections expected a big effort and either got overraced or wasn't as good as expected. I see alot of those horses come back to win the 2nd week after expecting better things.

 

shout out

Refresh History
  • Sound off !
  • Trigger: Spa starts 7/3, Hambo 8/2, Spa Ends 9/1 - A nice summer hoagie!  Enjoy!   86z.st
    Today at 02:13:39 PM
  • Kirbys Ace: Arrived? You never left!
    Today at 09:39:44 AM
  • Calhoun: Yes,he is the secretary. Does it in exchange for not getting Gootzed
    Today at 08:48:06 AM
  • Trigger: Since I arrived you called me...senator, x y z, jerry, paul.  I'm asking this dude a ? are you his secretary.  Mike please look 2 msgs here below here and advise.  Thanks.
    June 30, 2025, 11:00:03 PM
  • Kirbys Ace: why not just call him..You have his number Paul!
    June 30, 2025, 10:56:40 PM
  • Trigger: Mike, if you have up to an hour, I'll set it aside and we can talk about HRR, KRA, anything, between 7/4-7/7.  DM # if yes.  Thanks.
    June 30, 2025, 10:53:02 PM
  • Kirbys Ace: Was this a Prime Players pick?  73cv.2
    June 30, 2025, 07:48:08 PM
  • Trigger: Mohawk $86.60 for $1 DD, brought to you by Plop's Alarm Clock in McClure's head!   ngc3
    June 30, 2025, 07:23:12 PM
SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2025, SimplePortal