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General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: thewizardofwords on December 01, 2025, 09:49:36 PM

Title: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 01, 2025, 09:49:36 PM
On December 2 at Northfield Park, Race 3, Dan Noble will drive Legendary Noble!  If not for post 7, I would bet on him to win.  When he’s in the sulky for the 1st time, he easily drops a second for the horse.  From what I have observed, he senses when the pace slows and then makes his move, even when he knows he may be first up and parked for much of the mile.  He must know when a weak horse is on top.  Noble is almost impossible to beat from a good post with a horse that can leave. His ability to read the race dynamics is remarkable, allowing him to time his moves with precision. This instinct often gives him the edge over his competitors, making him a formidable presence in the sulky.
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: sledge hammer on December 02, 2025, 11:00:09 AM
On December 2 at Northfield Park, Race 3, Dan Noble will drive Legendary Noble!  If not for post 7, I would bet on him to win.  When he’s in the sulky for the 1st time, he easily drops a second for the horse.  From what I have observed, he senses when the pace slows and then makes his move, even when he knows he may be first up and parked for much of the mile.  He must know when a weak horse is on top.  Noble is almost impossible to beat from a good post with a horse that can leave. His ability to read the race dynamics is remarkable, allowing him to time his moves with precision. This instinct often gives him the edge over his competitors, making him a formidable presence in the sulky.
Shouldn't having post 7 entice you more to bet him to win? You may actually get a price.
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Trigger on December 02, 2025, 12:09:05 PM
Youngest gelding in a field with some old timers.

Highest earnings in 2025 for the field.

Driver / trainer 24% winning combo, trainer alone is 18% with pacers.

AMac with the fav, AMer 9 hole second choice.

8-1 ml maybe get 20-1.

12 bux...you convinced me  ngc3

EX - Northfield Park (H) - R3 - $8
   
1st: 7
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
Bets (8) Amount: $1 Total: $8

Placed At: 12-02-2025 12:02 PM
WIN - Northfield Park (H) - R3 - $4
   
1st: 7
Bets (1) Amount: $4 Total: $4

Placed At: 12-02-2025 12:02 PM
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Calhoun on December 02, 2025, 12:15:48 PM

8-1 ml maybe get 20-1.
Not in this lifetime, nor the next.

jmmvhmfo

Calhoun predicts 5/1.  I'm betting $4 to win.

Our Lady of Victory!  Pray For Us!!
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Trigger on December 02, 2025, 12:21:22 PM
Not in this lifetime, nor the next.

jmmvhmfo

Calhoun predicts 5/1.  I'm betting $4 to win.

Our Lady of Victory!  Pray For Us!!

Amen!  ;D
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: simplify on December 02, 2025, 01:28:06 PM
Not in this lifetime, nor the next.

jmmvhmfo

Calhoun predicts 5/1.  I'm betting $4 to win.

Our Lady of Victory!  Pray For Us!!

3rd person. Automatic douche
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Calhoun on December 02, 2025, 01:50:11 PM
3rd person. Automatic douche
Welcome back to my flock...

My Dear Pigeon Jim. 

Why hate Calhoun?

ngc3 ngc3 ngc3

Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Checked Up on December 02, 2025, 03:39:36 PM
Youngest gelding in a field with some old timers.

Highest earnings in 2025 for the field.

Driver / trainer 24% winning combo, trainer alone is 18% with pacers.

AMac with the fav, AMer 9 hole second choice.

8-1 ml maybe get 20-1. The 7 hole is a non factor when it comes to Noble, he can get a mule to leave like a scallded cat!

12 bux...you convinced me  ngc3

EX - Northfield Park (H) - R3 - $8
   
1st: 7
   
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
Bets (8) Amount: $1 Total: $8

Placed At: 12-02-2025 12:02 PM
WIN - Northfield Park (H) - R3 - $4
   
1st: 7
Bets (1) Amount: $4 Total: $4

Placed At: 12-02-2025 12:02 PM
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 02, 2025, 05:27:48 PM
I like Saulsbrook Ian, who is positioned in the 5-hole.  He had a broken head pole in his last, and hence I am willing to toss that race.  He beat some quality horses at Woodbine on January 4, 2025, but that was with Fellows as his trainer.  I am going to watch the horses as they step onto the track before wagering.  There is too much inside speed for the seven to get into the race.
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Dingus on December 02, 2025, 05:54:01 PM
I like Saulsbrook Ian, who is positioned in the 5-hole.  He had a broken head pole in his last, and hence I am willing to toss that race.  He beat some quality horses at Woodbine on January 4, 2025, but that was with Fellows as his trainer.  I am going to watch the horses as they step onto the track before wagering.  There is too much inside speed for the seven to get into the race.

Legendary should be 100-1 based on his last 8 starts earnings of $300 (total, not per start).
But I always wish good luck to my buddies Trig and Calhoun.
I'm more drawn towards your pick, who had some pretty fast times in the Maritimes.
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Trigger on December 02, 2025, 06:55:34 PM
Legendary should be 100-1 based on his last 8 starts earnings of $300 (total, not per start).
But I always wish good luck to my buddies Trig and Calhoun.
I'm more drawn towards your pick, who had some pretty fast times in the Maritimes.

A billion to 1  ngc3  But went off at 5-1  ngc3

Parked to the 1/2 first over that went 56 2/5 in the slop  ngc3

Must of lost by 100  ngc3, and that last half that the 2 went w2w - was in 1 min flat   ngc3
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 02, 2025, 06:58:52 PM
Bait A Hook drops and pops.  My horse was rough and broke.  Looked like he did not want to be out there.
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Calhoun on December 02, 2025, 07:08:03 PM
Not in this lifetime, nor the next.

jmmvhmfo

Calhoun predicts 5/1. 

I'm betting $4 to win.

Our Lady of Victory!  Pray For Us!!
Do I get a prize?
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 02, 2025, 07:37:15 PM
On to race 9, Chuck Groen looks to have turned around True Blue Lindy.  Looks like he should double up for another wire job.

In Race 11, Sinbad gets assigned the 8-ball again.  Still cannot believe he parked the half in 51.3 at Scioto.  I assume the week off will freshen him up.

In Race 12, Big Skewy N mowed down American Fling making up 7 and a half lengths after parking the entire mile.  Will likely get a much better trip from post 4.

In Race 13, Barbados shoots for win #49 with Merriman and the rail. 

In Race 14, I am selecting horses 1 and 2 for my WIN 4 bet.

In Race 15, Dan Noble moves onto Risenshine Seaside from post 6.  I do have to question the soundness of the horse after dropping into a $15,000 claimer last week.

In Race 16, Dan Noble moves on to the 7, Northern Angle. 

* This is not investment advice!
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Trigger on December 02, 2025, 07:43:22 PM
Do I get a prize?

A+ prediction - you nailed it!   62za.clp

I was way off the marker there...and I'll take full responsibility for betting this yo yo in the dark and starting that train a chugging here  angbk
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 02, 2025, 09:30:37 PM
Added the 8 in race 12 for my pick 4 moves inside 1 with a scratch.
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Trigger on December 02, 2025, 09:38:59 PM
Added the 8 in race 12 for my pick 4 moves inside 1 with a scratch.

WTF are you talking about?

There is no scratch in race 12 at nfld.  Race 13 yeh.

You're alive with the Johnny Sack, $78?



Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 02, 2025, 09:43:13 PM
You can see the scratch now.  My Pick 4 blew up. 

https://hometheaterofcruelty.wordpress.com/2021/10/14/the-womanly-tragedy-of-johnny-sack/
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Trigger on December 02, 2025, 09:50:26 PM
You can see the scratch now.  My Pick 4 blew up. 

https://hometheaterofcruelty.wordpress.com/2021/10/14/the-womanly-tragedy-of-johnny-sack/

I can see the scratch now.

Why did it take so long for that scratch to be updated and seen is the best question in this thread?

You're good at pointing out horses not going to win. 

Maybe this handicapping scheme is what you need to do.

Not a joke, process of elimination.

Change your screen name to Kiss of Death!   ;D
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: Trigger on December 02, 2025, 09:55:26 PM
$78, $68....possible pool sweeper w/ over 20k in it.
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 02, 2025, 09:56:57 PM
We may get a carryover for the Pick 4!
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: sledge hammer on December 03, 2025, 10:49:53 AM
PICK 4 CARRYOVER ALERT....$14,485 into tonight's 2nd Race....$75K est pool races 2-5
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: sledge hammer on December 03, 2025, 10:51:59 AM
On to race 9, Chuck Groen looks to have turned around True Blue Lindy.  Looks like he should double up for another wire job.

In Race 11, Sinbad gets assigned the 8-ball again.  Still cannot believe he parked the half in 51.3 at Scioto.  I assume the week off will freshen him up.

In Race 12, Big Skewy N mowed down American Fling making up 7 and a half lengths after parking the entire mile.  Will likely get a much better trip from post 4.

In Race 13, Barbados shoots for win #49 with Merriman and the rail.

In Race 14, I am selecting horses 1 and 2 for my WIN 4 bet.

In Race 15, Dan Noble moves onto Risenshine Seaside from post 6.  I do have to question the soundness of the horse after dropping into a $15,000 claimer last week.

In Race 16, Dan Noble moves on to the 7, Northern Angle.

* This is not investment advice!

Some hard-to-figure races last night...seemed like a lot of horses were stuck in quicksand, hard to make up any ground.
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 03, 2025, 06:00:24 PM
Yes, the track was in poor condition. 
Title: Re: Dan Noble on Legendary Noble!
Post by: thewizardofwords on December 03, 2025, 06:51:24 PM
Nice pot for the PICK 4 carryover: $97k.  My play:
1 2 4 5
1 2 5
5 4 2 1
7 5
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