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General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: Billsmafia on August 25, 2025, 02:54:03 PM

Title: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Billsmafia on August 25, 2025, 02:54:03 PM
Here’s a bit of a head scratcher.

Monday, September 25
Saratoga Harness race 6, 7 horse field
The three favorites finished in the money at odds of 2-1, 5-2 and 1-1.

Normally you would expect very low show prices. In this seven horse field however the show prices were $6.30, $7.50 and $4.30. How is this possible?

Apparently some astute handicapper decided to bet $1,000 to show on #6, Southwind Banshee (33-1). Southwind Banshee had $98 to win bet on him, $51 to place and $1,019 to show, which was almost 2/3 of the entire show pool.

The driver, first drive on Southwind Banshee in at least the last eight starts was Peter Gerry, with a UDR of .090. By the way the horse stayed flat but finished last.

All reasonable explanations are appreciated.
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: FirstUpFrom8Hole on August 25, 2025, 03:02:57 PM
Offshore betting manipulation. They bet 1000 on a horse that has no chance to show then bet 10000 offshore to show on the obvious choice and get paid track price. I think there was a thread about this last week too. Its a great idea until you get caught
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Yonkers1A on August 25, 2025, 03:04:09 PM
Offshore betting manipulation. They bet 1000 on a horse that has no chance to show then bet 10000 offshore to show on the obvious choice and get paid track price. I think there was a thread about this last week too. Its a great idea until you get caught

 tmbz1

Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: JL52 on August 25, 2025, 03:09:04 PM
Last week, this was successfully pulled off at least twice at Northville, as discussed in another post.
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Kole Hanover on August 25, 2025, 07:54:14 PM

 You wouldn't believe how many people hit the wrong track and bet the right race & numbers, just the wrong track...
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Papillon on August 25, 2025, 07:58:51 PM
You wouldn't believe how many people hit the wrong track and bet the right race & numbers, just the wrong track...

please

this was pool manipulation and it is becoming more common with the smaller pools every year

I have also heard "some drunk owner" bet his horse ngc3

please
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Jctoronto on August 25, 2025, 08:30:53 PM
For us in Canada...
For example, Bet365 off shore ponies wired into Ontario HPI pool so there is no screwing around there..but im SURE its in other spots
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: JT on August 25, 2025, 08:34:23 PM
please

this was pool manipulation and it is becoming more common with the smaller pools every year

I have also heard "some drunk owner" bet his horse ngc3

please
That has been known to happen, but not in this case. Definitely pool manipulation.Betw een the CAW and this, some of these smaller tracks are really getting unplayable. The last month or so you could really notice it at Finger Lakes. I won't play there this week and I didn't last either.
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: toothman on August 25, 2025, 10:17:09 PM
Offshore betting manipulation. They bet 1000 on a horse that has no chance to show then bet 10000 offshore to show on the obvious choice and get paid track price. I think there was a thread about this last week too. Its a great idea until you get caught

is it illegal?
Does an on track bet like that get flagged?
Is anyone paying attention?
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Pacer 2 on August 25, 2025, 10:48:04 PM
This has been going on for decades.  Nothing new, astute bettors look for it and can capitalize on it
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: YonkersFinest on August 25, 2025, 11:29:20 PM
CAW
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Papillon on August 26, 2025, 09:43:47 AM
CAW

incorrect

CAW action goes in to the pools and get rebated
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: pocketrocketwinner on August 26, 2025, 11:31:09 AM
This has been going on for decades.  Nothing new, astute bettors look for it and can capitalize on it

There is no way for anyone to look for it. The large dump show bet comes in late nobody has the chnace to see ut and bet accordingly. You think these people advertise the bet early? GTFO
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Pacer 2 on August 26, 2025, 12:12:32 PM
There is no way for anyone to look for it. The large dump show bet comes in late nobody has the chnace to see ut and bet accordingly. You think these people advertise the bet early? GTFO

   You can think that but you're wrong. Some times they're late but many times the show bet is posted with plenty of time to place bets. I've caught many of them.
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Papillon on August 26, 2025, 12:13:19 PM
   You can think that but you're wrong. Some times they're late but many times the show bet is posted with plenty of time to place bets. I've caught many of them.

 ngc3
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: pocketrocketwinner on August 26, 2025, 12:56:35 PM
   You can think that but you're wrong. Some times they're late but many times the show bet is posted with plenty of time to place bets. I've caught many of them.

A pool manipulation show bet? Name just 1 of your many
examples where an intentional dump was telegraphed with plenty of time for you to see it
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Pacer 2 on August 26, 2025, 11:04:33 PM
A pool manipulation show bet? Name just 1 of your many
examples where an intentional dump was telegraphed with plenty of time for you to see it

  I hit one last week at the Meadows where I saw there was $1000 to show on a 45-1 shot. I have also orchestrated 3-4 successfully. Mob syndicates do this often. Mostly done at lower handle tracks. Some are definitely visible early enough to catch them....
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: pocketrocketwinner on August 27, 2025, 12:03:27 PM
  I hit one last week at the Meadows where I saw there was $1000 to show on a 45-1 shot. I have also orchestrated 3-4 successfully. Mob syndicates do this often. Mostly done at lower handle tracks. Some are definitely visible early enough to catch them....

There is no evidence of that at the Meadows last week. What race sis this happen
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: JT on August 27, 2025, 12:13:52 PM
  I hit one last week at the Meadows where I saw there was $1000 to show on a 45-1 shot. I have also orchestrated 3-4 successfully. Mob syndicates do this often. Mostly done at lower handle tracks. Some are definitely visible early enough to catch them....
To quote pacer 2.. ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3

I call total bullshit on that. Who hurt you?
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: pocketrocketwinner on August 27, 2025, 01:06:41 PM
To quote pacer 2.. ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3

I call total bullshit on that. Who hurt you?

Panhandling would be a way better use of time than sitting around monitoring the smallest show pools in harness racing waiting for a show dump that occurs a coupoenof times a year.
 
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Papillon on August 27, 2025, 03:00:09 PM
  I hit one last week at the Meadows where I saw there was $1000 to show on a 45-1 shot. I have also orchestrated 3-4 successfully. Mob syndicates do this often. Mostly done at lower handle tracks. Some are definitely visible early enough to catch them....

 ngc3

first off--you cannot see the dump-it comes in after the race starts

2nd off-- ngc3

to execute one of these, it takes:

A) an off shore account
B) a few hundred dollars
C) some intelligence

you are ruled out of executing one because you don't have any of the above three

 ngc3
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Pacer 2 on August 27, 2025, 04:01:22 PM
There is no evidence of that at the Meadows last week. What race sis this happen
  ..  7-5 shot paid $7+ to show. Dont care if you dont believe me... ngc3 ngc3 ngc3
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Pacer 2 on August 27, 2025, 04:12:09 PM
ngc3

first off--you cannot see the dump-it comes in after the race starts

2nd off-- ngc3

to execute one of these, it takes:

A) an off shore account
B) a few hundred dollars
C) some intelligence

you are ruled out of executing one because you don't have any of the above three

 ngc3
 
  YOU'RE ALWAYS WRONG!!    ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 We've seen the dump many times!  ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3
And it takes more than a few hundred dollars  DUUUUUUHHH!!   ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: pocketrocketwinner on August 27, 2025, 04:44:39 PM
  ..  7-5 shot paid $7+ to show. Dont care if you dont believe me... ngc3 ngc3 ngc3

Im not how much more simple this can be. What day and what race?

There was no example of this last week at the Meadows.
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: JT on August 27, 2025, 05:54:18 PM
  ..  7-5 shot paid $7+ to show. Dont care if you dont believe me... ngc3 ngc3 ngc3
Nobody on here believes you.. not one single person.
Furthermore Papillon has forgotten more about racing then you will ever know.. in fact, he's pretty much always right...so go crawl back in your hole ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 Who hurt you?
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Trigger on August 27, 2025, 06:13:26 PM
 I hit one last week at the Meadows where I saw there was $1000 to show on a 45-1 shot. I have also orchestrated 3-4 successfully. Mob syndicates do this often. Mostly done at lower handle tracks. Some are definitely visible early enough to catch them....

Never mentioned it here  ngc3

Tell us about the mob syndicate that deploys a G for a show bet which toyset of yours were you talking about ngc3

Talking about a previous never mentioned win...That's called red boarding / past posting dweevildumb.  ngc3

The only thing you hit is dickfist.  ngc3

Why you're so angry and can't get it up as the dick rejects the hand, well look who it is attached to.... ngc3

A FUCKING ZERO NOBODY NOTHING!   ;D

What a fucking lying loser!    ;D
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: dougie on August 27, 2025, 06:38:37 PM
I remember a buddy and I were at the "Big A" when a guy told us he was betting $50 to show on 4 horses in a 5 horse field. The 1-9 favorite had 95% of the show money. I asked him if he was "nuts". Well, I of course, I had to eat crow. The chalk ran 4th, and this guy scored Big. Monster show prices. He cashed over 5G in bets. I had $20 bucks on the winner. He paid $12.80.
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Pacer 2 on August 27, 2025, 06:52:39 PM
Nobody on here believes you.. not one single person.
Furthermore Papillon has forgotten more about racing then you will ever know.. in fact, he's pretty much always right...so go crawl back in your hole ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 Who hurt you?
I dont care I'm laughing all the way to the bank!!  ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: JT on August 27, 2025, 06:56:41 PM
Quote from: Pacer 2  ngc3 ngc3 73cv.2link=topic=81530.msg1224105#msg1224105 date=1756335159
I dont care I'm laughing all the way to the bank!!  ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3
You mean your piggy bank. Who hurt you? ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 73cv.2
Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: Trigger on August 27, 2025, 08:12:12 PM
JT whoever hurt Pacer 2 he had it coming and then some and it hasn't been nearly paid in full, but we've all witnessed with our own 2 eyes every time the loser puts fingers to a keyboard he hurts himself.  ngc3

One of the dumbest beings that walks the face of the earth graces us, and proud he's of it - Pacer 2.  ;D

Title: Re: Today's Head Scratcher
Post by: pocketrocketwinner on August 27, 2025, 08:30:41 PM
I dont care I'm laughing all the way to the bank!!  ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3

Are you also in the bottle cap recycling business? Might be better than waiting for show dumps
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