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General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: Trigger on July 14, 2025, 09:07:18 AM

Title: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Trigger on July 14, 2025, 09:07:18 AM
I think the only way you can overcome the small pools is narrowing down the selections per race.  I think it came kind of naturally as there were some standouts.

The weather forecast was rain, I studied and tried to find horses I felt would do well on all - fast / good / sloppy, maybe some exceptions.

12 / 13 races are stakes.

I'm going with just the eight (8) $100k finals races.

Remember they're in Central time (CST) there, these times I've given are for EST.  Good Luck!

(322) 4 -  2 Big Shoes 5/2

(400) 6 - 1 Avenzee 8-1

(438) 8 - 3 Kngtstlkrs Pistol 6-1

(457) 9 - 6 Clouseau 5/2

(516) 10 - 7 Odds on Chesapeake 6/5 & 4 Reckless Abandon 4-1 (This order)

(535) 11 - 1 Caviart Daisy 7/5

(554) 12 - 3 Special Select 8-1

(613) 13 - 1 Zephyr Kemp 4-1 & 7 Endurance 5/2 & 8 San Patricio 3-1 (These in any order)


Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Pacer 2 on July 14, 2025, 10:01:37 AM
I think the only way you can overcome the small pools is narrowing down the selections per race.  I think it came kind of naturally as there were some standouts.

The weather forecast was rain, I studied and tried to find horses I felt would do well on all - fast / good / sloppy, maybe some exceptions.

12 / 13 races are stakes.

I'm going with just the eight (8) $100k finals races.

Remember they're in Central time (CST) there, these times I've given are for EST.  Good Luck!

(322) 4 -  2 Big Shoes 5/2

(400) 6 - 1 Avenzee 8-1

(438) 8 - 3 Kngtstlkrs Pistol 6-1

(457) 9 - 6 Clouseau 5/2

(516) 10 - 7 Odds on Chesapeake 6/5 & 4 Reckless Abandon 4-1 (This order)
     Thanks!

(535) 11 - 1 Caviart Daisy 7/5

(554) 12 - 3 Special Select 8-1

(613) 13 - 1 Zephyr Kemp 4-1 & 7 Endurance 5/2 & 8 San Patricio 3-1 (These in any order)
     THANKS!
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Brown jug on July 14, 2025, 10:31:53 AM
great day of racing for a monday afternoon
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Trigger on July 14, 2025, 10:37:12 AM
great day of racing for a monday afternoon

I said that same thing last week, same track too.

Hopefully better results, because it turned out not to be a monday funday lol! 
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: SAW on July 14, 2025, 01:45:34 PM
I think the only way you can overcome the small pools is narrowing down the selections per race.  I think it came kind of naturally as there were some standouts.

The weather forecast was rain, I studied and tried to find horses I felt would do well on all - fast / good / sloppy, maybe some exceptions.


Good Luck Trigger, FYI looks like rain will hold off until after the races.

Also, small Pick 5 Carryover ($1,962) starts in 4th race, with a Guarantee of 10k.

1st - 3 Vugoo 4,1,5
2nd - 6 Kissinbythebeache s 2,3,5
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Trigger on July 14, 2025, 01:54:03 PM
Good Luck Trigger, FYI looks like rain will hold off until after the races.

Also, small Pick 5 Carryover ($1,962) starts in 4th race, with a Guarantee of 10k.

1st - 3 Vugoo 4,1,5
2nd - 6 Kissinbythebeache s 2,3,5

Good Luck SAW!

I did a small p5 in that 4th, 2A1A3, .20 for $9.80.
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: SAW on July 14, 2025, 02:56:53 PM
3rd - 4 Naughty Seastar 2,6,5
4th - 3 Te Quiero Lindy 1,2,4
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: firhill on July 14, 2025, 05:15:15 PM
Race 8.

Dexter chooses off the 3 (5/1 shot w/Andy Miller) for the 7 and wins @ 20/1.
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Trigger on July 14, 2025, 05:29:08 PM
 ngc3

I'm down to 4 races and I have not been in the ballpark.

Heaven help me, us!   ;D
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Trigger on July 14, 2025, 05:47:17 PM
7    Odds On Chesapeake    $5,340    $6,099    ---

                             Total       $9,292    $8,003    

Finished second to last.

Bridge jumpers, please jump.

I didn't learn my lesson last week.

I commend those that showed to race that were taken for granted.

Lesson leaned.
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Bitter Truth on July 14, 2025, 05:51:26 PM
Exacta only paid $29. Someone thought the seven would run out.
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Trigger on July 14, 2025, 05:55:27 PM
Exacta only paid $29. Someone thought the seven would run out.

 tmbz1

The tri and super too.

2-1, 9-1, 61-1, $64.31 on the .50.
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Papillon on July 14, 2025, 06:01:48 PM
Exacta only paid $29. Someone thought the seven would run out.

the replay isn't up yet and I didn't see the race

but most likely it lined up 4/5 or 5/4 and the gate punchers pounded the exacta down to $29
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: gh2009 on July 14, 2025, 06:13:35 PM
Half the field left, I believe, 4, 5, 6, 7, but it wasn't a clear lineup.
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Papillon on July 14, 2025, 06:21:30 PM
Half the field left, I believe, 4, 5, 6, 7, but it wasn't a clear lineup.

i just watched the replay

it was clear who blasted--the #4 and #5--and the favorite lagged

the bets came in after they saw this after the race started
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Trigger on July 14, 2025, 06:24:00 PM
Atlee Bender whose asshole did he eat to get a drive in the 12th.

What a sissy. 
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: gh2009 on July 14, 2025, 06:25:13 PM
True, but you didn't know if Dexter would continue up for the lead instead of taking a tuck 4th.
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Papillon on July 14, 2025, 06:36:02 PM
True, but you didn't know if Dexter would continue up for the lead instead of taking a tuck 4th.

its worth 14/1 when you see a heavy favorite being a laggard--and they bet late enough to see DD wasnt going forward
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: gh2009 on July 14, 2025, 07:08:15 PM
The exacta pool was only $6000 so a $100 exacta will really hurt the price. The winner was the solid 2nd choice, and the second horse was the 3rd choice with 4 horses over 40-1, so the exactly probably should have paid around $50. I wasn't betting Oak Grove but watched about half the races including that one.
Title: Re: Oak Grove Stakes Finals Today, 07/14/25
Post by: Call Sign Merlin on July 14, 2025, 09:52:54 PM
Really liked Unreasonable last year and looks like she has come back strong with a bit more gate speed.  Oak Grove has seemed punky to me so her mile today was pretty impressive.  Will be interesting to see if they ship her up East or just take her to Lexington. Also does Marcus keep driving her or do they give her to someone else.
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