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General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: bello on September 21, 2023, 11:45:38 AM

Title: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 11:45:38 AM
LBJ Race 2  One of the ladies will win

3 win box 13  p4  13/4/13/23
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 11:50:17 AM
i and 3 broke at LBJ    Bad Start
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Chips N Salsa on September 21, 2023, 12:07:41 PM
who wins the Jug?
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 12:08:09 PM
Race 3  LBJ  4 win p3  4/13/23

Monti Race 1 

1 bad favorite

2 win box 24  dd  24/36  p3  24/36/147
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 12:12:09 PM
who wins the Jug?

Liking Seven Colors...likes 1/2 mile and been amazing for Harris
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: dinkadoo on September 21, 2023, 12:16:46 PM
race 3

Race was over 20 yards into the race --- Let Dan Noble Control the Pace --- Control the Race ---
The Rest sitting back waiting for something to happen....
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 12:26:43 PM
race 3

Race was over 20 yards into the race --- Let Dan Noble Control the Pace --- Control the Race ---
The Rest sitting back waiting for something to happen....

Yep, I was shocked 4 didnt leave.

LBJ Race 4   boxing 13

Harrahs PH Early DD and P4    178/3/45/28
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 12:32:34 PM
Awful Start!
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Fuguzzi on September 21, 2023, 12:32:49 PM
Yep, I was shocked 4 didnt leave.

LBJ Race 4   boxing 13

Harrahs PH Early DD and P4    178/3/45/28
You BOXED a 6/5 and a 4/5? HUH? Can I be your bookie?
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 12:39:18 PM
You BOXED a 6/5 and a 4/5? HUH? Can I be your bookie?

Sure can....Give me better odds than the track.  Actually focus more on horizontals...But post everything.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 12:53:02 PM
You BOXED a 6/5 and a 4/5? HUH? Can I be your bookie?

So in race 2 at Monti just now there were really only 2 horses with a shot.  3 was 6-5 and the 6 was 1-1.

Came in 36 and paid $12   3 times the box cost...Bad bet?
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: dinkadoo on September 21, 2023, 12:55:50 PM
Race 6
 The signature races are always decent bet races with horses coming from all over the state

Purse $4k for consolation

If the 4 - Last Bet is at any price, he's gotta be tough --- Winning the open at Northville and pacing 53 on that track is a very good mile.

3-4 exacta box -- 4 - 2 3 . Hope these two come off the gate together -- But Tony Hall on the 2 will get this one off the gate also.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 01:04:08 PM
Race 6
 The signature races are always decent bet races with horses coming from all over the state

Purse $4k for consolation

If the 4 - Last Bet is at any price, he's gotta be tough --- Winning the open at Northville and pacing 53 on that track is a very good mile.

3-4 exacta box -- 4 - 2 3 . Hope these two come off the gate together -- But Tony Hall on the 2 will get this one off the gate also.

Right idea  wrong horses.  I got shut out but was going to cold punch a 225 p3  glad i got shut out.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 01:09:20 PM
Jackie Ingrassia just brough in a $200 horse at Harrahs Philly. Had $42 to wib in the pool and she drove her like a winner every step of the way. I guess the Ingrassias don't bet?

Sort of shocking.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Fuguzzi on September 21, 2023, 01:19:54 PM
Kackie Ingrassia just brough in a $200 horse at Harrahs Philly. Had $42 to wib in the pool and she drove her like a winner every step of the way. I guess the Ingrassias don't bet?

Sort of shocking.
And isn't Jackie like 77 years old! She was on What's My Line in her colors like in 1974. Great lady. Sure wish she or Bea Farber were first women elected to HOF, not Linda Trashcano   God Bless Jackie and Frank!
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Stan durbread on September 21, 2023, 01:20:30 PM
Jackie Ingrassia just brough in a $200 horse at Harrahs Philly. Had $42 to wib in the pool and she drove her like a winner every step of the way. I guess the Ingrassias don't bet?

Sort of shocking.
If you ever watched that filly going to the track to jog or train. You would never consider betting her
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 01:29:03 PM
If you ever watched that filly going to the track to jog or train. You would never consider betting her

I was shocked when she left, more shocked at the 1/2 move when she went to challenge Gregory's 1-5 shot and most shocked when she just kept trotting for the Win
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: PineHurstPacer on September 21, 2023, 01:29:55 PM
let's hope the racing is better than the National Anthem's

Good God
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: theokodjak26 on September 21, 2023, 01:32:24 PM
who wins the Jug?
I can guarantee it won’t be any horse or driver from Monticello
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Stan durbread on September 21, 2023, 01:36:17 PM
For the LBJ. I’m taking a shot with Stockade Seelster in 3rd elim. Can’t say on final till I see the draw.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 01:39:58 PM
I can guarantee it won’t be any horse or driver from Monticello

Oh No, sorry but I need to prove you wrong. Thunder Hunter Joe  #1 in race 20 has Monti roots. Trainer and owner.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: dinkadoo on September 21, 2023, 01:50:40 PM
RACE 9

Can Brady Brown on the three get to the top ?
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 01:57:17 PM
RACE 9

Can Brady Brown on the three get to the top ?

Yes, when it counted the most....Unreal exacta. Needed Yanick to hold 3rd
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 02:12:31 PM
Either they are closing wagering early or my ADW is delayed. Shut out again...was going to play p4  56/237/27/16.

Now I'll just root against hitting it.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: shotgunner on September 21, 2023, 02:58:51 PM
I wish Bugaboo Lou was in a different division. He's been awesome 2 straight starts, and could be turning the corner into a bonafide stakes colt. But hes in the toughest division.

That being said, if I can get 5-1 + on Stockade Seelster, I know where my money is going. Was absolutely huge for David Miller in the Hempt last time he drove him.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Fuguzzi on September 21, 2023, 03:34:29 PM
I wish Bugaboo Lou was in a different division. He's been awesome 2 straight starts, and could be turning the corner into a bonafide stakes colt. But hes in the toughest division.

That being said, if I can get 5-1 + on Stockade Seelster, I know where my money is going. Was absolutely huge for David Miller in the Hempt last time he drove him.
That's what i am thinking! great connections too
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: PineHurstPacer on September 21, 2023, 03:40:59 PM
Stockade Seelster

SCRATCHED
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: shotgunner on September 21, 2023, 03:50:17 PM
Stockade Seelster

SCRATCHED

Just saw, going to key Bugaboo Lou for third. 123/123/6 for $2. Major bummer for the connections of Stockade Seelster
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: HarnessFan1981 on September 21, 2023, 03:56:29 PM
Stockade Seelster

SCRATCHED

Very interesting Judges Scratch
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 03:56:50 PM
Stockade Seelster

SCRATCHED

That scratch hurts bugaboo Lou big time.''Race is now a stone cole 12 line up. Like the Jugette final.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Stan durbread on September 21, 2023, 04:09:37 PM
With Stockade out. I’ll try for some value In 1st elimination with 3/5 ex box. The 1 will be over bet in my opinion. He struggled wither 1st turn At Mohawk 
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 04:21:18 PM
Thank You Dave Miller for schooling  Dexter Dunn in race 17 
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: shotgunner on September 21, 2023, 04:23:04 PM
I like the qualifier for the 4 in the first elim. Showed getting around Yonkers reasonably well, new trainer has had a month to tune up and goes from Jack Pelling to Andrew Mcarthy.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: bello on September 21, 2023, 04:26:37 PM
I like the qualifier for the 4 in the first elim. Showed getting around Yonkers reasonably well, new trainer has had a month to tune up and goes from Jack Pelling to Andrew Mcarthy.

Agree...I like Daguet. They must have spent some $$ for this one. Anyone know how much?
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Stan durbread on September 21, 2023, 04:27:57 PM
I like the qualifier for the 4 in the first elim. Showed getting around Yonkers reasonably well, new trainer has had a month to tune up and goes from Jack Pelling to Andrew Mcarthy.
I don’t know the previous trainer but looks like this horse is best I Q races for some reason
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: HarnessFan1981 on September 21, 2023, 04:29:00 PM
Agree...I like Daguet. They must have spent some $$ for this one. Anyone know how much?

120k of my memory is right.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: shotgunner on September 21, 2023, 04:54:26 PM
I don’t know the previous trainer but looks like this horse is best I Q races for some reason
Probably cause when he Qs hes gotta go race speed and hes been racing grand circuit or NYSS exclusively besides barely getting beat by Its My Show in a NWs of 2 in May
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Stan durbread on September 21, 2023, 04:56:30 PM
And why did he Q instead of going to NYSS final?
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: shotgunner on September 21, 2023, 05:00:38 PM
And why did he Q instead of going to NYSS final?

Going out on a limb here, he didnt have the points.
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: shotgunner on September 21, 2023, 05:08:25 PM
.50 key tri on Blue Hunt worked out. $137
Title: Re: Thursday handicapping thread LBJ et al comments welcome
Post by: Stan durbread on September 21, 2023, 05:13:16 PM
2/6 In next elimination. Not sure if worth betting yet
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