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General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: Jctoronto on July 11, 2023, 04:49:08 AM

Title: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: Jctoronto on July 11, 2023, 04:49:08 AM
Two lesser lights to keep eye on

Race 1
ANYONE can give you #2 and #3's chances:
both threats. BUT its what you do, if anything, with ADAM MOYKENS #4 ROCK ON LINE - his second trip since B. Parker left him..the #9 yr old finally gets post relief in shorter field.
4th logical, third hopeful, 2nd if it all breaks right, and 1st..well, that'd be an upset..but not impossible.

Race 2
Mr F. Bourgault, training at .261 and driving at 'improving'.223 and dropping board 'price bombs' with much regularity, has 4 in today (2nd 4th 6th 8th)..last three all with board hits last wk.
But its the 2nd race that intrigues today. Not that outside #7 MISS QUALITY 8-1 m/l is expected to deliver fm8000 ticket today, but might. No, its more likely, this is the 'final tune-up' for a top finish next week. Three weeks fresh and with tightener last week under her belt, the 7 yr old mare has dropped from two fm10,000clm wins april and may. Only real question: Was the #7 'worked too hard' may 20- jun 7? Pay close attention to form from this week. Mr Bourgault has rep for being rough on his horses in the past. Now, I dont know. BUT this I do know..He's playing nice in the Monti yard over the last year plus and is being 'allowed' to make a dent there.  No Sowers, someone has to pick up some of the slack. Include #7 in early double here just in case next week..is this week.
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: EPM on July 11, 2023, 08:16:21 AM
 10k guar..pick 5..GL. JC
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: bello on July 11, 2023, 09:48:05 AM
Enjoy your comments JC but we will likely differ in race 1 and 2

In race 1, I totally agree with you on the 4 having a big shot. But I believe he gains class relief with a loss today and that would be a logical thing for the connections to do.

In race 2, also agree on the 7 . Dirty him up one more race but tossed due to post.
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: dougie on July 11, 2023, 09:58:36 AM
JcToronto, i enjoy your observations. Thanks!
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: bello on July 11, 2023, 12:15:30 PM
Race 1
2 safeandsound hanover...gets a huge driver change. Tommy Merton had this one floundering 3 wide in last with no shot
3 Comanche Creek...one horse barn for hernandez and he has this one in great form
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: bello on July 11, 2023, 12:33:48 PM
Race 2

Need 2 sweet ginger for the DD. Zeke trainer really liked Mike Merton in the bike.

BTW DD with the 3 was pounded only with the 2 in race 1...
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: bello on July 11, 2023, 12:57:46 PM
Race 3  starts p5 ...lots of newcomers with the 8 opening up with $200 on his nose.

6 Dragon Hunter is my choice.Baby vs older but the race at Goshen and the Qs at Chester were vs much better than anything in this race.
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: Easy Irv on July 11, 2023, 01:17:15 PM
Race 3  starts p5 ...lots of newcomers with the 8 opening up with $200 on his nose.

6 Dragon Hunter is my choice.Baby vs older but the race at Goshen and the Qs at Chester were vs much better than anything in this race.
Nice handicapping!
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: bello on July 11, 2023, 01:20:19 PM
Race 4

1 diva...down the road. Originally going to also use the 8 in the p5 but I backed off and singled the 1. Hope I am not sorry.
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: bello on July 11, 2023, 01:26:49 PM
I cant believe I got wiped out of the p5 with a nose loss rase 4...no excuse for Merton to not leave strong
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: bello on July 11, 2023, 01:44:25 PM
Race 5
4 bestfriendever... has some speed to sit pocket behind
7 Betting Hannah....on a downward spiral but still logical here with weaklings
Title: Re: Monti tuesday july 11. horses to watch..
Post by: Yonkers1A on July 11, 2023, 02:33:43 PM
Race 8, betting #5, Murray’s feed bill is due
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