HORSEPLOP.COM
General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: Jctoronto on March 28, 2020, 10:35:47 AM
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always good to laugh
had one this am...one of my toronto off track buddies texted :betting cal expo fri night 'last night was just practice..im a BIG GO there tonight'
translation, ass got kicked.
that guy's always a clown....but as everyone reading this knows..there are NO PRACTICE DAY$$ in horse betting.
a bad $$ fri night can hurt just as bad as an error-prone holiday monday afternoon, etc.
and while my favorite harness betting nights of the week are:
wed (cause stock is usually younger and mistake-prone and chock full of xx trots and prices)
fri (full fields every track AND definitely not quite the high end horse o'nights,open and hdcp.. and the much tougher 'angles' of sat nights)
sun (cause i actually have the time in the day to read a program)
It IS a saturday..oh oh..and the heat is on.....quality bettors have NO interest in this sacramento downs stuff.
But most of us aren't quality bettors..the action beckons...it looks so damned easy...most tracks' races have horses coming from diff tracks with variety of race conditions, blah blah.
But this place doesnt. It looks so damned easy and tempting and this is the ONLY joint in gambling town tonight so..
(and we're not even to the more tempting cal expo eves (next week's moved to tue and wed 630et post times yet)
Cal Expo for just about everyone here is no more than just a weekly betting rumor...twenty bucks, let alone two bucks, ever finding its way to their pari-mutuels....BUT if you need that covid-19 bored out of your mind sat night fix, ya gotta jump in. Let their big handle (a mil last night) be your assurance that you will be rewarded if you hit.
Pouring over this pgm. yesterday,,,short on horses here this eve.
I'm not sure if originally expected three day schedule turnaround might have a few hurting animals sitting out or a stable or two have headed home to 'who knows what'
(tonight's card incl a ridiculous 6 horse 10th race finale -last leg win 4--and crazier, a 20cent hi-5)
one race looks like a bettable and potentially 'quality payout' event,,,,its the 6-horse third.
the question: CAN YOU BOUNCE THE LIKELY FAVE #4 NICK ROLAND HORSE OUT OF THE EXACTOR? WHILE IT WONT BE EASY, I SAY YES. AND THAT SETS UP THE EXACTOR PRICE OF THE NIGHT.
precise detail to be posted later,,solid handle and a tasty treat awaits...but gotta get back to quarantine 'duties' for a bit.
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R7 435
R8 952 don't blame anybody for going deep in this one..I might sprinkle a few more on me ticket
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JUST ONE PLAY
race 3 tonight
a competitive 6 horse 3rd race
better animals are 456, BUT counting on front end battling, incl cheaper inside 1 and 2!!!,,THUS eliminating #4 roland 'faux fave' in the stretch drive..from not just the exactor spots, but also bouncing out of top three...so
throw it all in by 10pet!!!!
on
coming on late #3 MYSTICAL STORM and dave magee 5-1 m/l ---not the best horse, just the most 'fortuitous' this eve.
expecting sizeable wps pools again tonight so..
#3 5 win
#3 25 place
#3 70 show
****
100 in
**and as always, NO BET if magee off or any scratch(s)
good luck
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this is how I see the first 4 races...
R1--#7 Two Beat(12-1 ML)--Has earned his new connections $0 since being claimed 5 back Race solid at Northfield last year versus 8 claimers He will wake up soon. I cant let it be tonight as the longest shot in the race so I gotta take a stab.
R2--#5 Ahead By A Century(7/2 ML)--Has one nice burst that can take this field by surprise. Coming from last in a short field will likely get you better odds than the morning line starts. Owner/trainer/driver Cutting tries to end his lifetime 0 for20 losing streak.
R3--#1 Cut A Rug(4-1 ML)--Made a quarter pole brush to the top, in his first race off a layoff, and although he started to tire late, was able to hold them all off for the win. With a tighter effort, being his 2nd race off the layoff, he may be able to handle this move up.
R4--#2 June Morning(7/2 ML)--She is better than she appears in the program. Driver has been finding poor trips, hence the poor results. Getting an upgrade to Luke Plano could make all the difference here. Finally flashes his potential tonight.
GSB
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Out of curiosity does anyone know what the approximate average of what the win pools were last night?
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this is how I see the first 4 races...
R1--#7 Two Beat(12-1 ML)--Has earned his new connections $0 since being claimed 5 back Race solid at Northfield last year versus 8 claimers He will wake up soon. I cant let it be tonight as the longest shot in the race so I gotta take a stab.
R2--#5 Ahead By A Century(7/2 ML)--Has one nice burst that can take this field by surprise. Coming from last in a short field will likely get you better odds than the morning line starts. Owner/trainer/driver Cutting tries to end his lifetime 0 for20 losing streak.
R3--#1 Cut A Rug(4-1 ML)--Made a quarter pole brush to the top, in his first race off a layoff, and although he started to tire late, was able to hold them all off for the win. With a tighter effort, being his 2nd race off the layoff, he may be able to handle this move up.
R4--#2 June Morning(7/2 ML)--She is better than she appears in the program. Driver has been finding poor trips, hence the poor results. Getting an upgrade to Luke Plano could make all the difference here. Finally flashes his potential tonight.
GSB
thanks Bob ---
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Looks CROOKED
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Did he save dave magee?????? Dean there bud
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$10,000,000.00 in the GP p-6 pool tmbz1
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What does gulfstream got anything to do with cal ex nothing .whole different conversation
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Has Burke shipped a bunch there
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Looks CROOKED
The cynical might think this is a chance these clowns have to make a few books to tide them over. Not likely to have pools the size of this often. So shenanigans once again make sense.
I'd look for the card to be formful except for a few races that will be head scratchers.
No reason a ploppers can't share in the cash though. GL to all you playing and enjoy the racing!
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True very true good luck to all playing
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Pick Three Pool $884,254 .
Pick Four Pool $1,577,398 .
Pick Five Pool $1,294,650 .
Pick 6 Jackpot Pool $9,211,773 .
Daily Double Pool $667,959 .
fans want real racing, not this shit where you put bands around their legs and look like chuckwagons
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Lots of scratches tonight in sacramento
Has the bug jumped in..or horses 'unravelling'
*Just 3 starters in race 2..
..and 3 more in 8th
Race 3 stays intact..and ill stand by my earlier prognostication.
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Lots of scratches tonight in sacramento
Has the bug jumped in..or horses 'unravelling'
*Just 3 starters in race 2..
..and 3 more in 8th
Race 3 stays intact..and ill stand by my earlier prognostication.
PEOPLE GETTING THE FUCK OUT OF DODGE... DONT WANT TO BE GUINEA PIGS FOR WATCH AND WAGER
CHEAP FUCKS SHOULD ADD AT LEASE A GRAND TO EACH PURSE FOR PUTTING PEOPLES LIVES IN DANGER, FOR WHAT?
SOMETHING AS INSIGNIFICANT AS A HARNESS RACE
A TOTAL SHAME
RUN, WHILE YOU CAN STILL GET AWAY
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I got shut out watching Australian harness!
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I don't care what anyone says and i did not bet,but that stretch drive by Roberts in the second was real weak
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ngc3 ngc3 - 2 was the only single on the p5 the boys played.
Sticking around to see how jc does in the 3rd. IMHO he usually scopes out something live. I'm not playing but rooting for him. I could see his play 2nd or 3rd - have a tough time seeing that play on top. As I think jc did also.
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Plus a few $ jc tmbz1
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There's the bomb in the late p4 that made that sequence tough unless you used the all button. The 8 in the 8th pays almost $84.
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I'm alive..went 4 deep in p4 and after scratches 8 became 2nd pick went 2 deep in p3..145 if then 1245 for p4. P3 for a duece on accident 15/25
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Went dead 11.gn
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Ther horses are so iffy it's hard to guess if they will run a good race every week bye choice or no gas or whatever they want to do horse goes 152 last week cant go 155 this week
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Did Plano try to win the 9th? Watch that stretch drive to just miss.
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Hard to say I'd just say this it wasn't best effort driving