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General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: TW on August 01, 2018, 03:35:11 PM

Title: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: TW on August 01, 2018, 03:35:11 PM
Here are the results from the 8th Race at Scioto Downs on Tuesday, August 31.  The payout prices noted for exotic wagers are $2 exacta, $2 tri and .10 super. 

I realize it is not an exact science, etc., but when the win horse pays $83 (40.5:1) and the place horse pays $21.60 (34.6:1), Doesn't it look suspicious as hell that a $2 exacta only paid $150.20?  It sure seems like someone should look into this.  Maybe some lucky fan bet their dog's birthday several dozen times????

7    K`s Boy    Kayne Kauffman   83.00    21.60    9.80    
9    Elijah`s Jack    Josh Sutton               21.20    21.60    
8    Mcfehr    Jason Brewer                                   25.20    

 Wager Type    Numbers/Payouts   Pool    

 Exacta    (7-9 $150.20)       
 Trifecta    (7-9-8 $6,895.00)       
 Superfecta    (7-9-8-2 $792.95)
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: TW on August 01, 2018, 03:36:50 PM
By the way, the show horse went off at 115.9:1 and the 1/9 horse finished fourth.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Rabbi Of Racing on August 01, 2018, 03:42:09 PM
TRAVESTY
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: EPO on August 01, 2018, 05:12:57 PM
we all should make money if its august 31, 2018
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Broken Feet Stable on August 01, 2018, 05:13:26 PM
Here are the results from the 8th Race at Scioto Downs on Tuesday, August 31.  The payout prices noted for exotic wagers are $2 exacta, $2 tri and .10 super. 

I realize it is not an exact science, etc., but when the win horse pays $83 (40.5:1) and the place horse pays $21.60 (34.6:1), Doesn't it look suspicious as hell that a $2 exacta only paid $150.20?  It sure seems like someone should look into this.  Maybe some lucky fan bet their dog's birthday several dozen times????

7    K`s Boy    Kayne Kauffman   83.00    21.60    9.80    
9    Elijah`s Jack    Josh Sutton               21.20    21.60    
8    Mcfehr    Jason Brewer                                   25.20    

 Wager Type    Numbers/Payouts   Pool    

 Exacta    (7-9 $150.20)       
 Trifecta    (7-9-8 $6,895.00)       
 Superfecta    (7-9-8-2 $792.95)


The #7 and #9 both blasted the gate...and the b1/9 fave was a laggard

its obvious what happened here--this was observed and bet after the bell by the Lexington sharp shooters
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: PIGLAND on August 01, 2018, 05:14:49 PM

The #7 and #9 both blasted the gate...and the b1/9 fave was a laggard

its obvious what happened here--this was observed and bet after the bell by the Lexington sharp shooters
maybe predetermind?
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: goblue on August 01, 2018, 05:16:26 PM

The #7 and #9 both blasted the gate...and the b1/9 fave was a laggard

its obvious what happened here--this was observed and bet after the bell by the Lexington sharp shooters

I guarantee this is what happened.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Broken Feet Stable on August 01, 2018, 05:17:05 PM
maybe predetermind?

NO--the gatepunchers pounded this after they saw the obvious lineup develop

not pre-determined--just past posted --thats all tmbz1
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: PIGLAND on August 01, 2018, 05:18:33 PM
NO--the gatepunchers pounded this after they saw the obvious lineup develop

not pre-determined--just past posted --thats all tmbz1
ty
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Fatboy on August 01, 2018, 05:19:31 PM
NO--the gatepunchers pounded this after they saw the obvious lineup develop

not pre-determined--just past posted --thats all tmbz1

ty coldpunch
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Broken Feet Stable on August 01, 2018, 05:21:16 PM
ty coldpunch

need translation again

What is a Coldpunch?
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: PIGLAND on August 01, 2018, 05:27:20 PM
need translation again

What is a Coldpunch?
no box
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Broken Feet Stable on August 01, 2018, 05:31:55 PM
no box

Oh, I get it.........like a Dave Weaver "Ice Cold exacta"

not a terrible way to wager--very gutsy-- very risky as well

not for the faint hearted

anyway--if you look at the chart of this race--its pretty blatant
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Fatboy on August 01, 2018, 05:35:41 PM
no box
ty
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Dave PassStone on August 01, 2018, 05:39:27 PM
these odd payouts happen when theres only 3k bet in the exacta pool (i looked at today, not the date in question, but all the pools were rancid today)..someone with a $5 exacta kills the pool.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Calhoun on August 01, 2018, 05:46:37 PM
Here are the results from the 8th Race at Scioto Downs on Tuesday, August 31.  

 It sure seems like someone should look into this. 
How many times do I need to explain this?

Before I do, you tell me why you think the Win-Place-Show payouts are ok.

I'll wait but please hurry.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: comeonman on August 01, 2018, 05:49:49 PM
Of course the answer is small pools. a 5 dollar or ten dollar exacta kills the prices. But that would be too logical for this site
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: swoodall on August 01, 2018, 05:55:46 PM
These small pools can be so skewed in the payoffs when someone over bets.

Last night at Mohawk 8th race chalks ran 1-2-3-4 in order and here were the payouts:

3    2.50  2.20  3.10
5            2.60  3.50
2                    4.20

I was like how in the hell can that be right?

So I logged on to expressbet where I can see the pools and here was the show pool:
Show Pool Total: $5,171.00
1.) 829
2.) 583
3.) 1,005
4.) 208
5.) 811
6.) 143
7.) 73
8.) 1,515

The #8 was The Captains Angel with Mike Saftic who went off at 99-1! ngc3

Saftic only had $87 to win and $44 to place on him.

So what drunk clown bet the wrong track and bet $1,500 to show on Saftic? 74zac.1

Sometimes, but not often, these mysterious payoffs are a result of inexperienced or careless Sam machine bettors not selecting the right track or being too drunk to notice what track they are playing.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Broken Feet Stable on August 01, 2018, 06:15:58 PM
These small pools can be so skewed in the payoffs when someone over bets.

Last night at Mohawk 8th race chalks ran 1-2-3-4 in order and here were the payouts:

3    2.50  2.20  3.10
5            2.60  3.50
2                    4.20

I was like how in the hell can that be right?

So I logged on to expressbet where I can see the pools and here was the show pool:
Show Pool Total: $5,171.00
1.) 829
2.) 583
3.) 1,005
4.) 208
5.) 811
6.) 143
7.) 73
8.) 1,515

The #8 was The Captains Angel with Mike Saftic who went off at 99-1! ngc3

Saftic only had $87 to win and $44 to place on him.

So what drunk clown bet the wrong track and bet $1,500 to show on Saftic? 74zac.1

Sometimes, but not often, these mysterious payoffs are a result of inexperienced or careless Sam machine bettors not selecting the right track or being too drunk to notice what track they are playing.

Its possible this was an intentional "dump" pari-mutuel to inflate show prices for some type of offshore wager that pays track odds

back in the day when Beulah Park was open--some guy performed this on occasion there and never missed
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: TW on August 01, 2018, 06:23:35 PM
we all should make money if its august 31, 2018

Whoops.  July 31.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Broken Feet Stable on August 01, 2018, 07:13:51 PM



That is 100 % correct and has been happening during various periods over the last couple of years, just at much lower levels than Mohawk. Some offshore book allows larger show bets outside the track pools and gets manipulated through the track prices.

Yes--but the guy must have a network of betors/separate accounts

just about all offshore books have limits--i doubt they take over a $200 show bet

also if you keep stinging them--they will terminate your account

might not be offshore--but it mighjt be an old school street bookie taking these bets

I am sure the guy dumping is getting a good rebate on the dead cash
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: spaheaven on August 01, 2018, 08:21:21 PM
The tri pool had 1 winner, the exacta pool had like 20 tickets...the winner wager was skewed by some moron betting $2000 on the fav.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: spaheaven on August 01, 2018, 08:25:13 PM
Its possible this was an intentional "dump" pari-mutuel to inflate show prices for some type of offshore wager that pays track odds

back in the day when Beulah Park was open--some guy performed this on occasion there and never missed
[/quot


Yep bet 10k offshore to show on the fav thru various accts and get 3.20...used to happen at saratoga harness alot.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Powerful Patricks Ghost on August 01, 2018, 08:32:56 PM
Breaking News at 10: Dump tracks have dump payoffs.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Calhoun on August 01, 2018, 08:45:31 PM
Its possible this was an intentional "dump" pari-mutuel to inflate show prices for some type of offshore wager that pays track odds

back in the day when Beulah Park was open--some guy performed this on occasion there and never missed
Is there any offshore place that will let you bet enough on a harness race that chasing $3.10 is worthwhile?

You would need to
1.  Bet $3k just to get back your $1500 dump
2.  Bet another $3k to get to +$1500
3.  Bet enough more to make it all worthwhile for the 1 time out of X wagers you get wiped out.

So, my questions to you

1.  Can you bet $6,000 to show on Mohawk non-parimutuel?
2.  $10,000
3.  If so, where?

Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: swoodall on August 02, 2018, 02:28:26 PM
Well what you guys say makes sense in that at Mohawk Saftic was a cinch not to be in the money. tmbz1

That horse was bad against this field even for 2 year olds.

Which to me begs another question: Why are you dumping or bridge jumping in a 2 year old race?

Even the good ones can be too unpredictable.
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Ohracing on August 02, 2018, 05:14:16 PM
What was the exacta pool at Scioto downs?  I would be surprised if there was $1000 in the whole pool.  Scioto downs has almost no handle. 
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Broken Feet Stable on August 04, 2018, 02:53:16 PM
Three months back offshore bodog wrote me letter
..no more exotic wagering for you..i made about 3700 over three weeks..superfecta s b tracks..midweek miami valley, pompano carryovers among them.....to their credit they paid me out in full..but today they only allow me 10 dollar max on any wp or s...i dont play from here in canada anymore..
And yes live pool manipulation happens to sweeten offshore hit
....but you dont have to go offshore to see' b 'track manipulation...de liberately wrong $500 to $1000 win tickets go down for the many programless numbnuts playing midweek places like monticello so horsemen can take down big tri and super hauls.

how does the win pool dumped cash help the trifecta/superfecta?

you dont make sense here
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Jctoronto on August 04, 2018, 02:54:40 PM
Perso ally..id like no more about punching tickets after start...an old greenwood teller here in toronto tells me yes..it happened..and he was happyto be part og
f it.
..how long was the bell shutoff machine lag..one second? three seconds?  Yikes

That scioto ex is a disgrace...a damned disgrace....trace able? Chargeable?
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: Rabbi Of Racing on August 13, 2018, 10:30:35 PM
Someone is manipulating the pools,they are putting money into the show pool on a throw out and betting the logical horse or horses to show offshore,contrary to what the idiots on here will say,it is very smart,they will make money for awhile until they get caught,then they will get banned offshore and stiffed,however they will collect in the meantime and show a nice profit,been going on for years and years
Title: Re: Suspicious Payouts
Post by: John1417 on August 13, 2018, 11:34:49 PM
Someone is manipulating the pools,they are putting money into the show pool on a throw out and betting the logical horse or horses to show offshore,contrary to what the idiots on here will say,it is very smart,they will make money for awhile until they get caught,then they will get banned offshore and stiffed,however they will collect in the meantime and show a nice profit,been going on for years and years
At least 10 years that I know of.
100% correct.
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