0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
The #1 horse at Freehold in the 12th race today has now drawn the #1 post 7 times in a row!!! How is that possible?
oh boy here we go again:the condition clearl;y states MAIDENS DRAW INSIDEnow there are 2 other maidens in the raceso maybe a 33.3% chance?
Oh OK but the odds of that happening seven times in a row, assuming there are three maidens in every race, is still .045%
The odds are 33% every time they draw, its not a parlay!
CONSEQUENTLY
You can't look at it that way, the odds of drawing the rail with the same entries on the next draw will be 33%. You can say the odds of him drawing the rail in the next 7 races might be that low though!
The gripe was that he drew the rail 7 times in a row - not that he drew the rail in this race as that would not be a quirk or Suspicious - as That happens at once in every draw - so the .045% probability was correct.